Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 15 | 1 | 32 | 141 | 33 | 11 | 3 | 7% | 2.1 | 15.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.51 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 15 | 1 | 32 | 141 | 33 | 11 | 3 | 7% | 2.1 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 15.6% | 2.1% | 4.22 | 3.29 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 18 | 0 | 23 | 113 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 12.0% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.48 | 5.96 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 18 | 0 | 23 | 113 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.7% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 5.48 | 3.97 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 12 | 9 | 47 | 218 | 28 | 14 | 1 | 75% | 3.9 | 8.7% | 8.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 6.65 | 3.79 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 12 | 9 | 47 | 218 | 28 | 14 | 1 | 75% | 3.9 | 12.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 0.5% | 6.65 | 3.08 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Stockton Ports | 14 | 6 | 38 | 177 | 39 | 13 | 8 | 43% | 2.7 | 14.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.34 | 6.80 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | OAK | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 24 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 10.0% | 11.6% | -1.6% | 2.9% | 5.70 | 5.70 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.0% | 11.6% | -1.6% | 2.9% | 5.70 | 5.70 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 95 | 418 | 63 | 41 | 15 | — | — | 15.1% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.36 | 6.14 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 32 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.9% | 11.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.41 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 36 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.30 | 5.24 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.9% | 11.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.41 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 24 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.30 | 5.24 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 37 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.0% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.37 | 4.92 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 117 | 95 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.0% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.37 | 4.92 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 59 | 16 | 140 | 649 | 80 | 55 | 24 | 27% | 2.4 | 12.4% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.09 | 5.15 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 23 | 200 | 925 | 115 | 78 | 34 | 27% | 2.4 | 12.4% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.09 | 5.15 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josnier Parra (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.70 | 10.0% | 11.6% | 2.9% | — | 5.32 | 13.8% | 2.6% | 116 | -0.38 | — | — | — |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 91 |
| Cooper Adams R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.35 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .275 | 3.92 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 118 | -1.43 | 2.99 | 197 | 85 |
| Kevin Johnson R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.59 | 11.0% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.48 | 9.9% | -2.0% | 26 | +0.89 | 4.59 | 106 | 83 |
| LJ Brewster R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.90 | 9.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 143 | 82 |
| Sam Whiting R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.13 | 14.3% | 15.1% | 2.4% | .309 | 7.73 | 17.8% | 2.4% | 17 | +2.60 | 4.17 | 152 | 81 |
| Marco Camarena R 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .365 | 3.81 | 8.4% | 0.9% | 73 | -0.72 | 3.81 | 142 | 81 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 81 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2028 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 81 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2025 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 80 |
| Kyle Miller R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 12.1% | 12.0% | 2.1% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 164 | 80 |
| Tyler Barnette R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.53 | 13.0% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .333 | 3.99 | 10.7% | -3.5% | 13 | -0.54 | 3.53 | 173 | 80 |
| Juan Perez R 2024 · 4.63 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.63 | 10.8% | 10.8% | 2.0% | .230 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 113 | 78 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 78 |
| Brady Dragmire R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.71 | 8.9% | 9.4% | 2.1% | .304 | 4.32 | 11.9% | 5.8% | 173 | -0.39 | 3.04 | 391 | 78 |
| Daniel Concepcion R 2024 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.38 | 13.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 110 | 77 |
| Paul Clemens R 2029 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 77 |
| Braxton Hyde R 2026 · 5.67 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.67 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 4.0% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 198 | 77 |
| Michael Matuella R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.01 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 3.3% | .316 | 3.60 | 20.1% | 2.8% | 42 | -1.41 | 3.60 | 169 | 77 |
| Dane Myers R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.39 | 12.2% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 125 | 76 |
| James Pugliese R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.90 | 12.5% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .226 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 218 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 12.5% | 11.3% | 1.12 | 5.49 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |