Josnier Parra — OGILVIE

Josnier Parra P Stockton Ports

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139130vR 122

ERA5.55

FIP5.55

K%10.0%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%-0.5%

ROS IP57

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL5050

CMD2525

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	15	1	32	141	33	11	3	7%	2.1	15.9%	9.8%	6.2%	2.9%	4.22	4.56	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	15	1	32	141	33	11	3	7%	2.1	15.9%	9.8%	6.2%	2.9%	4.22	4.56	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	15	1	32	141	33	11	3	7%	2.1	23.4%	7.8%	15.6%	2.1%	4.22	3.29	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	18	0	23	113	20	7	3	0%	1.3	12.0%	7.7%	4.3%	4.4%	5.48	5.46	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	18	0	23	113	20	7	3	0%	1.3	12.0%	7.7%	4.3%	4.4%	5.48	5.46	—
2024	22	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	18	0	23	113	20	7	3	0%	1.3	17.7%	6.2%	11.5%	2.7%	5.48	3.97	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	12	9	47	218	28	14	1	75%	3.9	8.7%	8.0%	0.7%	0.7%	6.65	3.76	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	12	9	47	218	28	14	1	75%	3.9	8.7%	8.0%	0.7%	0.7%	6.65	3.76	—
2025	23	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	12	9	47	218	28	14	1	75%	3.9	12.8%	6.4%	6.4%	0.5%	6.65	3.08	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A MLE	Stockton Ports	25	6	59	273	61	25	10	24%	2.3	15.5%	11.0%	4.4%	5.2%	6.75	6.04	—
YTD	24	A MLE	Stockton Ports	25	6	59	273	61	25	10	24%	2.3	15.5%	11.0%	4.4%	5.2%	6.75	6.04	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	ROK RAW	OAK	3	3	11	48	14	4	1	100%	3.8	29.2%	8.3%	20.8%	2.1%	3.18	2.84	—
2026	24	A RAW	OAK	22	3	47	225	47	21	9	14%	2.1	20.9%	9.3%	11.6%	4.0%	7.61	4.71	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	OAK	55	0	58	246	32	25	7	0%	1.1	12.9%	10.2%	2.7%	2.9%	5.33	5.27	-0.5
2028	26	MLB MLE	OAK	55	0	58	246	36	25	7	0%	1.1	14.7%	10.1%	4.6%	2.9%	5.17	5.11	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	OAK	24	0	25	106	14	11	3	0%	1.0	12.9%	10.2%	2.7%	2.9%	5.33	5.27	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	OAK	37	0	39	165	24	17	5	0%	1.1	14.7%	10.1%	4.6%	2.9%	5.17	5.11	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		60	0	63	268	37	27	8	0%	1.1	14.0%	10.1%	3.8%	2.9%	5.23	4.79	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	117	85	25	0%	1.1	14.0%	10.1%	3.8%	2.9%	5.23	4.79	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		70	16	161	745	97	70	25	23%	2.3	13.1%	9.4%	3.7%	3.3%	6.04	5.01	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	20	200	925	121	87	31	23%	2.3	13.1%	9.4%	3.7%	3.3%	6.04	5.01	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josnier Parra (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.55	10.0%	10.5%	2.9%	—	5.19	13.8%	3.6%	116	-0.36	—	—	—
Kevin Johnson R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	11.0%	8.5%	2.6%	.302	5.52	9.9%	-2.0%	26	+0.83	4.69	106	89
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	85
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	85
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	83
Tyler Barnette R 2016 · 4.46 FIP	24	SW	4.46	13.0%	10.0%	2.2%	.333	3.99	10.7%	-3.5%	13	-0.47	3.57	173	83
Brady Dragmire R 2017 · 4.78 FIP	24	SU	4.78	8.9%	9.4%	2.3%	.304	4.38	11.9%	5.8%	173	-0.40	3.05	391	83
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	82
Juan Perez R 2017 · 4.52 FIP	22	SW	4.52	10.8%	10.8%	1.8%	.230	—	—	—	—	—	4.52	113	81
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	81
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	80
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	80
James Pugliese R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	24	SW	4.72	12.5%	11.6%	2.2%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	2.52	218	79
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	79
LJ Brewster R 2017 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	9.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	143	79
Kyle Miller R 2017 · 4.68 FIP	23	SW	4.68	12.1%	12.0%	2.0%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.83	164	79
Marco Camarena R 2016 · 4.49 FIP	25	SW	4.49	11.0%	9.3%	2.1%	.365	3.75	8.4%	0.9%	73	-0.74	3.75	142	78
Carlos Felix R 2019 · 4.92 FIP	23	SW	4.92	8.7%	6.3%	3.2%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	4.92	121	78
Daniel Concepcion R 2016 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	13.0%	10.6%	4.6%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	110	78
Mark Peterson R 2015 · 4.89 FIP	24	SU	4.89	11.5%	8.5%	3.1%	.277	4.71	15.9%	5.6%	112	-0.18	4.65	185	78
Johendí Jiminian R 2017 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	11.5%	14.0%	3.3%	.300	4.77	13.9%	3.6%	164	-0.93	4.01	419	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	12.5%	10.3%	1.12	5.35
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77