Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates 2 | 10 | 10 | 39 | 169 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 100% | 3.9 | 18.1% | 12.6% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 2.54 | 4.07 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates 2 | 10 | 10 | 39 | 169 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 100% | 3.9 | 26.6% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 1.2% | 2.54 | 2.77 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Pirates Black | 10 | 8 | 34 | 145 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 80% | 3.4 | 20.6% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 3.15 | 4.11 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Pirates Black | 10 | 8 | 34 | 145 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 80% | 3.4 | 30.3% | 10.3% | 20.0% | 1.4% | 3.15 | 2.60 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 19 | 15 | 70 | 309 | 88 | 45 | 7 | 79% | 3.7 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.13 | 4.82 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 19 | 15 | 70 | 309 | 88 | 45 | 7 | 79% | 3.7 | 28.5% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 2.3% | 4.13 | 3.82 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 3 | 13 | 62 | 21 | 15 | 0 | 43% | 1.9 | 33.9% | 24.2% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 3.30 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 3 | 13 | 62 | 21 | 15 | 0 | 43% | 1.9 | 33.9% | 24.2% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 3.33 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 11 | 76 | 348 | 92 | 69 | 5 | 42% | 2.9 | 19.8% | 23.7% | -3.9% | 1.8% | 3.33 | 5.42 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 11 | 76 | 348 | 92 | 69 | 5 | 42% | 2.9 | 26.4% | 19.8% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 3.33 | 4.26 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 34 | 1 | 43 | 192 | 57 | 34 | 6 | 3% | 1.3 | 22.9% | 20.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.98 | 5.70 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 34 | 1 | 43 | 192 | 57 | 34 | 6 | 3% | 1.3 | 29.7% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 3.98 | 4.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | PIT | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 53 | 51 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 21.1% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 5.94 | 5.94 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 55 | 44 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 18.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.61 | 5.50 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 55 | 42 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 5.44 | 5.38 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 24 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 18.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.61 | 5.50 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 36 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 5.44 | 5.38 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 60 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 60 | 47 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 17.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 5.51 | 5.05 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 149 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 17.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 5.51 | 5.05 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 106 | 48 | 275 | 1225 | 259 | 230 | 26 | 45% | 2.6 | 21.2% | 18.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.44 | 4.87 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 35 | 200 | 892 | 189 | 167 | 19 | 45% | 2.6 | 21.2% | 18.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.44 | 4.87 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carlos Jimenez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.94 | 21.9% | 21.1% | 3.0% | — | 5.44 | 22.6% | 4.9% | 116 | -0.50 | — | — | — |
| Will Bednar R 2026 · 6.28 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.28 | 23.8% | 23.1% | 4.1% | .240 | 3.87 | 27.2% | 9.2% | 85 | -2.41 | 3.32 | 172 | 82 |
| Austin Vernon R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.61 | 22.1% | 16.8% | 4.1% | .325 | 3.74 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 100 | -1.87 | 3.40 | 261 | 80 |
| Cory Lewis R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 20.9% | 19.5% | 2.6% | .354 | 5.34 | 19.5% | 4.8% | 44 | +0.11 | 3.39 | 284 | 79 |
| Jordan Brink R 2025 · 5.96 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.96 | 18.3% | 19.2% | 3.6% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 132 | 79 |
| Matt Merrill R 2026 · 5.89 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.89 | 20.4% | 22.4% | 3.0% | .314 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 7.0% | 108 | -1.92 | 3.07 | 205 | 77 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 76 |
| Josh Hansell R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.18 | 17.6% | 16.1% | 2.8% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 169 | 76 |
| Grant Ford R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 75 |
| Yoel Espinal R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.34 | 21.4% | 23.1% | 2.0% | .255 | 4.16 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 99 | -1.18 | 3.88 | 231 | 75 |
| Cole McDonald R 2027 · 5.12 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.12 | 26.5% | 19.8% | 3.2% | .403 | 4.00 | 23.7% | 11.2% | 93 | -1.12 | 2.72 | 153 | 75 |
| Ramsey David R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 18.6% | 17.4% | 2.7% | .219 | 7.27 | 19.1% | -0.7% | 30 | +2.04 | 5.23 | 107 | 75 |
| Danny Cody R 2026 · 6.00 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.00 | 20.5% | 15.0% | 5.0% | .369 | 6.37 | 11.4% | -6.9% | 37 | +0.37 | 6.00 | 106 | 75 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.79 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .296 | 4.83 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 87 | +0.04 | 3.93 | 268 | 74 |
| Sam Whiting R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.13 | 14.3% | 15.1% | 2.4% | .309 | 7.73 | 17.8% | 2.4% | 17 | +2.60 | 4.17 | 152 | 74 |
| Josh Wolf R 2026 · 5.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.79 | 18.5% | 23.5% | 2.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 226 | 73 |
| Tyler Bradt R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.09 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 2.2% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 135 | 73 |
| Edwardo Melendez R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 20.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 139 | 73 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.78 | 22.0% | 17.9% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.87 | 21.0% | 7.0% | 73 | +0.09 | 4.09 | 196 | 73 |
| Elian Rodriguez R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.43 | 18.3% | 21.9% | 2.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.43 | 109 | 73 |
| Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.23 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.74 | 13.6% | 0.2% | 52 | -0.49 | 2.08 | 205 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 22.4% | 18.8% | 1.15 | 5.66 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |