Cam Sanders — OGILVIE

Cam Sanders P Norfolk Tides

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111102vR 94

ERA4.07

FIP4.07

K%28.8%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%13.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF7575

CTRL2020

CMD4545

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7095.9

Whiff%

p9036.6%

p8127.9%

xwOBA vs

p510.311

SI (3%)

SL (37%)

CH-0.5 (14%)

FB-0.8 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	1	0	1	6	2	3	0	0%	0.7	33.3%	50.0%	-16.7%	0.0%	0.00	6.62	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 2	1	0	1	6	2	3	0	0%	0.7	33.3%	50.0%	-16.7%	0.0%	0.00	10.60	—
2019	22	A MLE	South Bend Cubs	21	20	101	429	84	53	8	95%	4.8	14.5%	14.6%	-0.1%	2.7%	2.94	5.18	—
2019	22	A RAW	South Bend Cubs	21	20	101	429	84	53	8	95%	4.8	19.6%	12.4%	7.2%	1.9%	2.94	4.04	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	18	18	90	386	107	44	16	100%	5.0	22.5%	12.5%	9.9%	4.7%	5.32	5.39	—
2021	24	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	18	18	90	386	107	44	16	100%	5.0	27.7%	11.4%	16.3%	4.1%	5.32	4.51	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	17	98	429	111	60	12	49%	2.8	22.2%	14.8%	7.4%	3.1%	4.94	4.83	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	17	98	429	111	60	12	49%	2.8	25.9%	14.0%	11.9%	2.8%	4.94	4.26	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	51	0	65	311	97	67	6	0%	1.3	25.9%	19.4%	6.5%	2.2%	5.15	4.58	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	51	0	65	311	97	67	6	0%	1.3	25.9%	19.4%	6.5%	2.2%	5.15	4.58	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	51	0	65	311	97	67	6	0%	1.3	31.2%	21.5%	9.6%	1.9%	5.15	4.41	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	54	260	77	45	8	2%	1.1	24.4%	16.0%	8.3%	3.3%	5.83	4.88	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	54	260	77	45	8	2%	1.1	24.4%	16.0%	8.3%	3.3%	5.83	4.88	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	1	54	260	77	45	8	2%	1.1	29.6%	17.3%	12.3%	3.1%	5.83	4.67	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	47	0	58	237	66	30	5	0%	1.2	25.1%	12.3%	12.8%	1.8%	2.81	3.55	+0.7
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	47	0	58	237	66	30	5	0%	1.2	25.1%	12.3%	12.8%	1.8%	2.81	3.55	+0.7
2025	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	47	0	58	237	66	30	5	0%	1.2	27.8%	12.7%	15.2%	2.1%	2.81	3.50	+0.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			31	0	34	156	38	23	3	0%	1.1	24.4%	14.7%	9.6%	1.9%	5.61	4.05	+0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	53	1	58	254	85	36	5	2%	1.1	30.1%	13.5%	16.6%	2.1%	4.06	3.43	+0.8
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	53	1	58	254	85	36	5	2%	1.1	30.1%	13.5%	16.6%	2.1%	4.06	3.43	+0.8
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	BAL	28	1	31	132	51	18	4	4%	1.1	38.6%	13.6%	25.0%	3.0%	3.23	3.23	—
2026	29	MLB RAW	BAL	25	0	27	122	34	18	1	0%	1.1	27.9%	14.8%	13.1%	0.8%	5.00	3.07	+0.5
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	BAL	25	0	27	122	34	18	1	0%	1.1	27.9%	14.8%	13.1%	0.8%	5.00	3.07	+0.5
ROS	29	MLB MLE	BAL	6	0	6	25	7	4	1	0%	1.0	28.8%	15.1%	13.7%	2.7%	4.07	4.07	+0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	BAL	6	0	6	25	7	4	1	0%	1.0	28.8%	15.1%	13.7%	2.7%	4.07	4.07	+0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	BAL	—	—	64	279	92	40	6	—	—	33.1%	14.3%	18.8%	2.0%	4.06	3.48	+0.9
FULL	29	MLB A+C	BAL	—	—	33	139	92	40	6	—	—	66.4%	28.6%	37.8%	4.1%	7.85	3.36	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	BAL	108	0	114	480	130	72	13	0%	1.1	27.1%	14.9%	12.2%	2.6%	4.46	4.53	+0.0
2028	31	MLB MLE	BAL	101	0	106	448	118	66	13	0%	1.0	26.3%	14.7%	11.6%	2.9%	4.60	4.71	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	BAL	103	0	108	456	123	68	12	0%	1.0	27.1%	14.9%	12.2%	2.6%	4.46	4.53	+0.0
2028	31	MLB CTX	BAL	96	0	101	426	112	63	12	0%	1.1	26.3%	14.7%	11.6%	2.9%	4.60	4.71	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		235	0	248	1062	280	157	28	0%	1.1	26.4%	14.8%	11.6%	2.6%	4.66	4.19	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	856	226	126	23	0%	1.1	26.4%	14.8%	11.6%	2.6%	4.66	4.19	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		275	57	524	2312	526	343	68	21%	1.9	22.7%	14.8%	7.9%	3.0%	4.40	4.68	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		105	22	200	883	201	131	26	21%	1.9	22.7%	14.8%	7.9%	3.0%	4.40	4.68	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cam Sanders (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.60	28.1%	15.6%	2.8%	—	4.62	26.7%	11.9%	220	+0.02	—	—	—
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	72
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	72
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	71
Cody Hall R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	26.8%	10.0%	3.5%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.11	3.51	134	68
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	68
Shintaro Fujinami R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	23.2%	12.3%	2.5%	.290	4.55	21.2%	-0.6%	51	+0.46	4.09	130	67
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	67
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	67
Jake Cousins R 2023 · 4.46 FIP	29	SU	4.46	26.3%	11.4%	3.9%	.379	3.42	34.2%	21.9%	38	-1.04	1.11	160	67
Jeff Johnson R 2017 · 3.69 FIP	27	SU	3.69	23.6%	15.6%	1.1%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	160	66
J.J. Hoover R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	27.4%	12.7%	3.5%	.360	6.40	17.2%	8.0%	96	+2.08	4.22	258	66
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	66
Parker Markel R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	28	SU	4.87	29.7%	16.5%	4.0%	.250	4.33	28.9%	11.6%	97	-0.54	3.18	266	66
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	66
Zack Weiss R 2021 · 3.99 FIP	29	SU	3.99	27.1%	11.5%	3.1%	.287	4.20	25.6%	15.2%	144	+0.21	3.05	368	65
Zack Jones R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	27	SU	5.00	27.7%	24.1%	2.2%	.167	—	—	—	—	—	2.57	109	65
Dillon Maples R 2021 · 4.42 FIP	29	SU	4.42	27.1%	18.9%	2.2%	.203	5.16	20.6%	-9.4%	14	+0.74	3.18	278	65
Leonel Campos R 2016 · 3.58 FIP	29	SU	3.58	24.9%	13.8%	1.5%	.328	3.70	25.7%	13.9%	46	+0.12	2.62	168	64
Art Warren R 2022 · 4.51 FIP	29	SU	4.51	24.2%	12.7%	3.4%	.316	6.82	17.6%	3.1%	27	+2.31	1.40	322	64
Alex Powers R 2021 · 4.24 FIP	29	SU	4.24	25.0%	10.3%	3.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	264	64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	114	27.2%	15.1%	1.07	4.55
Ian Anderson ('22)	1.4	91	22.5%	10.4%	0.96	3.97
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Brandon Finnegan ('18)	1.2	80	19.7%	11.6%	1.57	4.19
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Triston McKenzie ('24)	2.1	105	26.0%	9.4%	1.52	3.94