Cam Sanders — OGILVIE

Cam Sanders P Indianapolis Indians

+0.2 WAR

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

xFIP1.64

SIERA3.09

K%25.2%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%11.2%

IP52

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2026

K†6060

SI (4%)

SL (31%)

CH-0.5 (17%)

FB-0.8 (53%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	1	0	1	6	2	3	0	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
2019	22	A	South Bend Cubs	21	20	101	429	84	53	8	14.5%	14.6%	2.6%	2.94	5.16	+0.2
2021	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	18	18	90	386	107	44	16	22.5%	12.5%	4.6%	5.32	5.29	-0.1
2022	25	AAA	Iowa Cubs	35	17	98	429	111	60	12	22.2%	14.8%	3.2%	4.94	4.83	+0.5
2023	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	51	0	65	311	97	67	6	27.4%	22.6%	2.2%	5.15	4.84	+0.1
2024	27	AAA	Iowa Cubs	49	1	54	260	77	45	8	25.3%	18.3%	3.3%	5.83	5.09	-0.1
2025	28	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	47	0	58	237	66	30	5	26.0%	13.2%	1.8%	2.81	3.58	+0.9
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	7	0	6	28	11	7	1	—	—	—	3.00	—	—
ROS	29	MLB	PIT	52	—	52	220	56	31	6	25.2%	14.0%	2.8%	4.66	4.66	+0.2
2026 Total	29	MLB	PIT	—	—	58	248	67	38	7	26.8%	15.2%	2.9%	4.49	4.18	+0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	30	MLB	PIT	51	—	51	214	53	29	6	24.8%	13.6%	2.9%	4.66	4.69	+0.1
2028	31	MLB	PIT	49	—	49	206	50	28	6	24.5%	13.4%	3.0%	4.69	4.73	+0.1
2029	32	MLB	PIT	47	—	47	198	48	26	6	24.2%	13.3%	3.0%	4.75	4.80	+0.1
2030	33	MLB	PIT	45	—	45	189	45	25	6	23.8%	13.4%	3.1%	4.82	4.88	+0.0
2031	34	MLB	PIT	42	—	42	179	42	24	6	23.5%	13.6%	3.2%	4.92	4.99	-0.0
2032	35	MLB	PIT	40	—	40	169	39	23	6	23.1%	13.8%	3.3%	5.04	5.11	-0.1
2033	36	MLB	PIT	38	—	38	158	36	22	5	22.7%	14.1%	3.5%	5.17	5.25	-0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			229	56	472	2086	470	334	63	22.5%	16.0%	3.0%	4.42	4.88	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—			97	24	200	884	199	142	27	22.5%	16.0%	3.0%	4.42	4.88	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cam Sanders (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	25.2%	14.0%	2.8%	—	4.74	24.5%	11.1%	146	+0.08	—	—	—
Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.72 FIP	30	SW	3.72	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.88	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	75
Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.30 FIP	30	SW	4.30	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.87	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.43	3.01	260	74
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.03 FIP	29	SW	4.03	24.4%	10.9%	2.9%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.65	2.38	160	74
Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.56 FIP	29	SW	3.56	21.4%	11.1%	1.6%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.33	2.83	228	73
Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP	30	SU	4.83	18.6%	12.2%	3.2%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.52	1.30	218	73
Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.95 FIP	29	SU	3.95	26.8%	10.0%	3.4%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.03	3.51	134	73
Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.25 FIP	29	SW	4.25	22.7%	13.7%	2.4%	.310	4.90	15.3%	5.5%	154	+0.65	3.99	748	73
J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP	29	SU	4.26	27.4%	12.7%	3.4%	.360	6.40	17.2%	8.0%	96	+2.14	4.26	258	72
Jake Cousins R 2026 · 4.50 FIP	29	SU	4.50	27.9%	13.3%	3.8%	.379	3.49	34.2%	21.9%	38	-1.01	1.11	160	72
Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.82 FIP	28	SW	4.82	20.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.275	6.70	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+1.88	3.88	180	72
Ariel Peña R 2025 · 3.96 FIP	28	SW	3.96	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.11	3.79	223	71
Pedro Báez R 2026 · 4.23 FIP	29	SW	4.23	22.9%	9.6%	3.4%	.261	3.16	24.7%	16.1%	143	-1.07	2.29	332	71
Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.30 FIP	27	SU	4.30	20.4%	12.1%	2.5%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	113	71
Jeff Johnson R 2024 · 3.71 FIP	27	SW	3.71	23.6%	15.6%	1.1%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	160	71
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.16 FIP	27	SU	5.16	21.1%	13.8%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.84	153	70
Jose Cuas R 2026 · 4.07 FIP	29	SW	4.07	24.3%	12.0%	2.8%	.309	4.37	22.6%	8.2%	69	+0.30	2.70	282	70
Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.33 FIP	29	SU	4.33	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.99	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.34	3.47	149	70
Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.38 FIP	28	SW	4.38	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.82	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.44	4.38	101	69
Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.46 FIP	29	SW	4.46	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.47	22.5%	15.8%	120	-0.99	2.97	230	69
Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.52 FIP	29	SU	3.52	22.1%	7.5%	2.4%	.283	3.61	22.2%	13.6%	174	+0.09	3.17	272	69

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.