Jake Cousins — OGILVIE

Jake Cousins P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 32 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10092vR 84

ERA3.71

FIP3.68

K%34.1%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%23.1%

ROS IP49

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF7070

CTRL3030

CMD6565

K†8080

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5594.9

Whiff%

p9035.8%

p9034.2%

xwOBA vs

p670.295

SL+6.0 (66%)

FB+0.6 (34%)

SI (33%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	23	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	3	0	3	18	4	3	0	0%	1.0	22.2%	16.7%	5.6%	0.0%	3.00	3.33	—
2017	23	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	3	0	3	18	4	3	0	0%	1.0	22.2%	16.7%	5.6%	0.0%	3.00	3.43	—
2018	24	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	7	1	11	49	8	2	0	14%	1.6	16.3%	4.1%	12.2%	0.0%	4.09	2.24	—
2018	24	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	7	1	11	49	8	2	0	14%	1.6	16.3%	4.1%	12.2%	0.0%	4.09	2.19	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	28	102	39	2	0	0%	2.0	27.1%	2.3%	24.7%	0.0%	1.91	1.11	—
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	28	102	39	2	0	0%	2.0	38.2%	2.0%	36.3%	0.0%	1.91	0.56	—
2021	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	47	1	49	201	74	23	5	2%	1.0	35.2%	14.4%	20.8%	2.3%	2.59	3.21	+0.8
2021	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	47	1	49	201	74	23	5	2%	1.0	36.8%	11.4%	25.4%	2.5%	2.59	2.81	+1.0
2022	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	0	37	159	54	18	3	0%	1.1	30.9%	11.9%	19.1%	2.1%	2.68	3.15	+0.6
2022	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	0	37	159	54	18	3	0%	1.1	34.0%	11.3%	22.6%	1.9%	2.68	2.69	+0.8
2023	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	38	176	50	28	5	0%	1.0	26.3%	11.4%	14.9%	3.9%	5.97	4.46	+0.0
2023	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	38	176	50	28	5	0%	1.0	26.3%	11.4%	14.9%	3.9%	5.97	4.46	+0.0
2023	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	38	176	50	28	5	0%	1.0	28.4%	15.9%	12.5%	2.8%	5.97	4.40	+0.1
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	44	181	61	23	5	0%	1.0	34.2%	12.3%	21.9%	3.0%	2.45	3.42	+0.6
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	44	181	61	23	5	0%	1.0	34.2%	12.3%	21.9%	3.0%	2.45	3.42	+0.6
2024	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	44	181	61	23	5	0%	1.0	33.7%	12.7%	21.0%	2.8%	2.45	3.37	+0.6
2025	31	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	2	0	2	11	4	0	0	0%	1.2	36.4%	0.0%	36.4%	0.0%	7.71	0.03	—
2025	31	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	2	0	2	11	4	0	0	0%	1.2	36.4%	0.0%	36.4%	0.0%	7.71	0.03	—
2025	31	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	2	0	2	11	4	0	0	0%	1.2	36.4%	0.0%	36.4%	0.0%	7.71	-0.33	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			88	0	91	384	125	54	10	0%	1.0	32.6%	14.1%	18.5%	2.6%	2.78	3.56	+1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	32	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	4	0	4	15	3	3	0	0%	1.0	—	—	—	—	2.25	—	—
YTD	32	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	4	0	4	15	3	3	0	0%	1.0	—	—	—	—	2.25	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	32	AAA RAW	LAD	4	0	4	15	3	3	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.0%	2.25	3.94	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	LAD	43	0	45	191	61	22	6	0%	1.1	32.2%	11.3%	20.9%	3.3%	3.92	4.02	+0.3
2028	34	MLB MLE	LAD	39	0	41	174	53	20	6	0%	1.1	30.6%	11.6%	19.0%	3.6%	4.19	4.35	+0.1
2027	33	MLB CTX	LAD	26	0	27	114	37	13	4	0%	1.0	32.2%	11.3%	20.9%	3.3%	3.92	4.02	+0.2
2028	34	MLB CTX	LAD	22	0	23	97	30	11	4	0%	1.0	30.6%	11.6%	19.0%	3.6%	4.19	4.35	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		136	0	141	598	192	78	17	0%	1.0	32.2%	13.1%	19.0%	2.9%	3.23	3.64	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		193	0	200	846	272	110	24	0%	1.0	32.2%	13.1%	19.0%	2.9%	3.23	3.64	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		193	2	216	912	275	101	20	1%	1.1	30.1%	11.0%	19.1%	2.2%	3.21	3.17	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		179	2	200	844	254	93	19	1%	1.1	30.1%	11.0%	19.1%	2.2%	3.21	3.17	+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Cousins (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.68	34.1%	11.0%	3.1%	—	4.18	31.4%	20.0%	86	+0.50	—	—	—
Jay Jackson R 2019 · 2.80 FIP	31	SU	2.80	32.4%	9.1%	2.3%	.272	3.59	29.4%	19.9%	41	+0.79	2.36	261	79
C.C. Lee R 2018 · 3.03 FIP	31	SU	3.03	34.7%	9.1%	3.1%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	121	76
Spencer Patton R 2021 · 3.04 FIP	33	SU	3.04	27.9%	8.7%	2.2%	.305	5.01	20.8%	10.0%	88	+1.97	2.79	239	71
Ryan Tepera R 2020 · 3.15 FIP	32	SU	3.15	34.8%	13.5%	2.3%	.341	3.29	25.2%	18.0%	129	+0.14	2.35	445	70
Craig Kimbrel R 2020 · 3.35 FIP	32	SU	3.35	40.6%	15.9%	3.0%	.286	2.77	34.6%	24.9%	189	-0.58	0.94	601	69
Daniel Bard R 2020 · 2.82 FIP	35	SU	2.82	25.5%	7.5%	1.7%	.290	3.63	25.3%	12.0%	175	+0.81	2.56	200	69
Wade Davis R 2018 · 3.33 FIP	32	SU	3.33	29.9%	10.0%	2.7%	.235	5.00	20.2%	8.1%	85	+1.67	2.00	320	69
Chaz Roe R 2019 · 3.05 FIP	32	SU	3.05	28.4%	12.7%	1.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	1.72	257	69
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	67
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	66
Kenley Jansen R 2020 · 2.52 FIP	32	SU	2.52	32.4%	8.8%	1.9%	.293	2.95	30.7%	21.5%	178	+0.43	0.89	681	66
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	65
Tyler Clippard R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	32	SU	4.37	27.3%	11.4%	3.9%	.243	3.59	28.0%	21.3%	157	-0.78	2.49	417	63
Ryan Brasier R 2020 · 2.97 FIP	32	SU	2.97	27.3%	9.1%	1.9%	.324	3.30	23.4%	17.1%	134	+0.33	2.31	426	63
Bud Norris R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	32	SU	3.51	27.7%	9.0%	2.9%	.298	3.65	27.3%	20.0%	58	+0.14	3.51	316	63
Pedro Strop R 2017 · 3.08 FIP	32	SU	3.08	26.0%	10.0%	1.7%	.263	3.43	25.3%	16.4%	101	+0.35	2.56	277	63
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	62
Luke Gregerson R 2016 · 2.75 FIP	32	SU	2.75	29.1%	7.0%	2.2%	.232	4.47	25.7%	18.8%	74	+1.72	2.62	192	62
Chris Hatcher R 2017 · 4.31 FIP	32	SU	4.31	24.5%	7.4%	4.3%	.291	5.32	18.0%	8.4%	36	+1.01	2.92	176	62
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	61

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	44	32.4%	11.3%	1.29	3.93
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Corey Knebel ('22)	1.4	47	32.3%	11.2%	0.95	3.04
Michael Feliz ('21)	1.2	47	30.5%	9.8%	1.48	5.05
Keone Kela ('19)	1.1	43	30.1%	9.4%	0.92	3.23
Ryan Buchter ('19)	1.1	53	26.7%	10.8%	1.10	2.87