Corey Knebel
P
Salt Lake Bees
+0.1
WAR
Age 34
RHP
6'3" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
xFIP4.85
SIERA4.69
K%23.3%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%13.6%
IP8
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL3535
CMD4545
K†6060
FB Velo
p6595.6
Whiff%
p6527.6%
K%
p4321.2%
xwOBA vs
p570.305
FB+4.6
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 64 | 0 | 66 | 274 | 80 | 22 | 9 | 28.2% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 3.56 | 3.69 | +1.0 |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 48 | 3 | 49 | 203 | 58 | 17 | 3 | 26.2% | 9.0% | 2.0% | 3.47 | 3.13 | +1.0 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 76 | 0 | 76 | 309 | 126 | 35 | 6 | 40.8% | 11.3% | 1.8% | 1.78 | 2.11 | +2.6 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 61 | 0 | 59 | 238 | 93 | 24 | 7 | 39.5% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 3.36 | 2.62 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 15 | 0 | 13 | 62 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 6.07 | 6.14 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 33 | 5 | 31 | 124 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 29.7% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 2.30 | 2.50 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 46 | 0 | 45 | 194 | 41 | 25 | 4 | 21.1% | 12.9% | 2.0% | 3.43 | 4.05 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 18 | 1 | 15 | 83 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 11.74 | 5.43 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 8 | — | 8 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24.7% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 23.9% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.50 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 361 | 9 | 355 | 1487 | 462 | 153 | 40 | 31.1% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 3.45 | 3.26 | +8.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 204 | 5 | 200 | 839 | 261 | 86 | 23 | 31.1% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 3.45 | 3.26 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Corey Knebel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 24.7% | 10.0% | 3.1% | — | 4.50 | 23.9% | 13.7% | 20 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.10 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 277 | 74 |
| Jake Petricka R 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.19 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 1.1% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 252 | 70 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 68 |
| Justin Miller R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 27.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 279 | 68 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.43 | 22.5% | 7.3% | 2.4% | .242 | 3.91 | 24.6% | 15.2% | 65 | +0.48 | 3.43 | 132 | 68 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 67 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.75 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.7% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.31 | 187 | 67 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.96 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.52 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.56 | 2.57 | 251 | 66 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 66 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 3.37 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.37 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .312 | 4.52 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +1.15 | 3.37 | 144 | 66 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.42 | 25.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | .258 | 4.20 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 87 | -0.22 | 2.41 | 339 | 66 |
| Rafael Dolis R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 162 | 66 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 65 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.81 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.64 | 3.81 | 208 | 65 |
| Jared Hughes R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.76 | 18.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .224 | 4.37 | 19.3% | 8.3% | 22 | -0.39 | 2.96 | 358 | 65 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.85 | 26.8% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .380 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 268 | 65 |
| Bud Norris R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.63 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 316 | 64 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 64 |
| Zach McAllister R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.41 | 26.4% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .312 | 3.63 | 27.4% | 16.8% | 55 | +0.22 | 2.83 | 363 | 63 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 63 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.