Vinny Nittoli
P
Norfolk Tides
Age 35
RHP
6'0" / 204 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
K%24.8%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%15.5%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CT+2.9 (58%)
SL (30%)
FB (1%)
SI (2%)
CU (8%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 7 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.4% | 5.3% | 13.2% | 2.6% | 3.60 | 3.66 | — |
| 2015 | 24 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 7 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.4% | 5.3% | 13.2% | 2.6% | 3.60 | 3.60 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 65 | 273 | 74 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 3.88 | 4.71 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 65 | 273 | 74 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.1% | 8.4% | 18.7% | 2.9% | 3.88 | 3.48 | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 4 | 61 | 263 | 60 | 17 | 7 | 12% | 1.8 | 19.0% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 5.49 | 4.36 | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 4 | 61 | 263 | 60 | 17 | 7 | 12% | 1.8 | 22.8% | 6.5% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 5.49 | 3.46 | — |
| 2021 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 6 | 42 | 175 | 52 | 11 | 9 | 19% | 1.4 | 26.6% | 5.6% | 21.0% | 4.2% | 5.36 | 3.87 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 6 | 42 | 175 | 52 | 11 | 9 | 19% | 1.4 | 29.7% | 6.3% | 23.4% | 5.1% | 5.36 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 4 | 54 | 216 | 65 | 15 | 7 | 10% | 1.4 | 27.1% | 7.1% | 20.0% | 3.4% | 3.67 | 3.59 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 4 | 54 | 216 | 65 | 15 | 7 | 10% | 1.4 | 30.1% | 6.9% | 23.1% | 3.2% | 3.67 | 3.21 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 2 | 46 | 202 | 50 | 19 | 11 | 5% | 1.2 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 4.47 | 6.12 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 2 | 46 | 202 | 50 | 19 | 11 | 5% | 1.2 | 24.8% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 5.4% | 4.47 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 42 | 173 | 51 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.8% | 9.9% | 19.9% | 3.9% | 3.00 | 3.97 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 42 | 173 | 51 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.5% | 8.1% | 21.4% | 3.5% | 3.00 | 3.53 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 34 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 37 | 1 | 39 | 178 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 3% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 4.2% | 4.58 | 4.59 | — |
| 2025 | 34 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 37 | 1 | 39 | 178 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 3% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 8.4% | 17.4% | 3.4% | 4.58 | 3.89 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | BAL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 3.5% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 3.8% | 4.66 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.9% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 3.8% | 4.66 | 4.79 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 15 | 0 | 19 | 76 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.4% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 2.43 | 3.95 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 161 | 0 | 200 | 804 | 138 | 53 | 21 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.4% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 2.43 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 261 | 17 | 359 | 1518 | 355 | 126 | 63 | 7% | 1.4 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 4.2% | 4.33 | 4.46 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 145 | 9 | 200 | 845 | 198 | 70 | 35 | 7% | 1.4 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 4.2% | 4.33 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Vinny Nittoli (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 24.8% | 9.3% | 3.5% | — | 4.79 | 23.9% | 14.1% | 20 | +0.32 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 74 |
| Will Harris R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.31 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 315 | 73 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.03 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | .303 | 3.28 | 25.5% | 17.9% | 140 | -0.75 | 2.03 | 804 | 72 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.60 | 22.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 227 | 71 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 71 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 69 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 69 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.15 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 69 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 69 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 68 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 68 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.43 | 28.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .246 | 3.44 | 25.1% | 17.7% | 60 | +0.01 | 2.01 | 380 | 68 |
| Luke Gregerson R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.59 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 192 | 68 |
| Yusmeiro Petit R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.15 | 19.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | .254 | 4.78 | 12.7% | 8.7% | 90 | +0.63 | 2.64 | 517 | 67 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 67 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 66 |
| Sergio Romo R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.01 | 26.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | .303 | 3.70 | 24.0% | 17.4% | 142 | -0.31 | 1.71 | 371 | 66 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 65 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.26 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 5.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 212 | 65 |
| Shawn Kelley R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.02 | 21.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 232 | 65 |