Vinny Nittoli — OGILVIE

Vinny Nittoli P Norfolk Tides

Age 35 RHP 6'0" / 204 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.42

FIP4.42

K%23.5%

BB%8.2%

K-BB%15.3%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

CT+2.9 (58%)

SL (30%)

FB (1%)

SI (2%)

CU (8%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	7	0	10	38	7	2	1	0%	1.4	18.4%	5.3%	13.2%	2.6%	3.60	3.66	—
2015	24	ROK RAW	AZL Mariners	7	0	10	38	7	2	1	0%	1.4	18.4%	5.3%	13.2%	2.6%	3.60	3.60	—
2016	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	65	273	74	23	8	0%	1.6	20.8%	9.7%	11.0%	3.8%	3.88	4.66	—
2016	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	65	273	74	23	8	0%	1.6	27.1%	8.4%	18.7%	2.9%	3.88	3.48	—
2019	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	4	61	263	60	17	7	12%	1.8	19.0%	6.9%	12.1%	3.3%	5.49	4.18	—
2019	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	4	61	263	60	17	7	12%	1.8	22.8%	6.5%	16.3%	2.7%	5.49	3.46	—
2021	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	6	42	175	52	11	9	19%	1.4	26.6%	5.6%	21.0%	4.6%	5.36	4.12	+0.2
2021	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	6	42	175	52	11	9	19%	1.4	29.7%	6.3%	23.4%	5.1%	5.36	4.20	+0.2
2022	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	4	54	216	65	15	7	10%	1.4	27.1%	7.1%	20.0%	3.6%	3.67	3.66	+0.6
2022	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	4	54	216	65	15	7	10%	1.4	30.1%	6.9%	23.1%	3.2%	3.67	3.21	+0.9
2023	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	2	46	202	50	19	11	5%	1.2	20.9%	9.1%	11.7%	6.5%	4.47	6.04	-0.8
2023	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	2	46	202	50	19	11	5%	1.2	20.9%	9.1%	11.7%	6.5%	4.47	6.04	-0.8
2023	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	2	46	202	50	19	11	5%	1.2	24.8%	9.4%	15.3%	5.4%	4.47	5.26	-0.4
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	42	173	51	14	6	0%	1.2	28.1%	8.5%	19.6%	4.1%	3.00	4.05	+0.2
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	42	173	51	14	6	0%	1.2	28.1%	8.5%	19.6%	4.1%	3.00	4.05	+0.2
2024	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	42	173	51	14	6	0%	1.2	29.5%	8.1%	21.4%	3.5%	3.00	3.53	+0.5
2025	34	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	37	1	39	178	46	15	6	3%	1.1	21.4%	7.6%	13.9%	3.9%	4.58	4.40	—
2025	34	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	37	1	39	178	46	15	6	3%	1.1	21.4%	7.6%	13.9%	3.9%	4.58	4.40	—
2025	34	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	37	1	39	178	46	15	6	3%	1.1	25.8%	8.4%	17.4%	3.4%	4.58	3.89	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			15	0	19	75	13	5	2	0%	1.2	17.3%	6.7%	10.7%	2.7%	2.41	3.90	+0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	35	MLB	BAL	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	23.5%	8.2%	15.3%	3.4%	4.42	4.42	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	BAL	19	0	20	84	19	7	3	0%	1.1	22.8%	8.9%	14.0%	3.8%	4.61	4.75	-0.0
2027	36	MLB CTX	BAL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.8%	8.9%	14.0%	3.8%	4.61	4.75	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	19	76	13	5	2	0%	1.3	17.4%	6.7%	10.7%	2.7%	2.43	3.95	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		161	0	200	804	138	53	21	0%	1.2	17.4%	6.7%	10.7%	2.7%	2.43	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		261	17	359	1518	348	119	63	7%	1.4	22.9%	7.8%	15.1%	4.1%	4.33	4.43	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	9	200	845	193	66	35	7%	1.4	22.9%	7.8%	15.1%	4.1%	4.33	4.43	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Vinny Nittoli (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	23.5%	8.2%	3.4%	—	4.75	22.8%	14.0%	20	+0.33	—	—	—
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	73
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	73
Rafael Martín R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	35	SU	4.71	22.5%	6.0%	5.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	227	72
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	71
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	71
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	70
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	69
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	68
Wade Davis R 2021 · 5.18 FIP	35	SU	5.18	20.0%	10.0%	4.5%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.00	320	68
Will Harris R 2020 · 4.31 FIP	35	SU	4.31	25.0%	10.7%	3.6%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	315	68
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	68
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	66
Ryan Madson R 2016 · 3.93 FIP	35	SU	3.93	18.1%	6.3%	2.9%	.284	2.40	27.2%	22.6%	112	-1.53	1.42	240	66
Shawn Kelley R 2019 · 4.97 FIP	35	SU	4.97	21.0%	4.4%	5.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.23	232	65
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	65
Spencer Patton R 2023 · 4.38 FIP	35	SU	4.38	18.3%	9.7%	2.9%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	239	64
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2019 · 4.50 FIP	34	SU	4.50	21.3%	5.1%	4.7%	.244	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	212	64
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2019 · 5.11 FIP	35	SW	5.11	25.0%	11.2%	4.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	212	64
Sergio Romo R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	35	SU	3.95	26.4%	7.0%	4.0%	.303	3.75	24.0%	17.4%	142	-0.20	1.71	371	64
Joakim Soria R 2019 · 3.52 FIP	35	SU	3.52	28.4%	6.8%	3.6%	.246	3.45	25.1%	17.7%	60	-0.07	2.01	380	64