Jeff Brigham
P
Reno Aces
+0.1
WAR
Age 34
RHP
6'0" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.94
FIP4.74
xFIP4.55
SIERA4.41
K%26.6%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%15.6%
IP22
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†6060
FB Velo
p3693.5
Whiff%
p6727.9%
K%
p7226.3%
xwOBA vs
p350.329
CT+0.8 (35%)
SI (3%)
SL-0.7 (24%)
FB-2.1 (41%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | 25 | 19 | 109 | 483 | 97 | 47 | 8 | 14.5% | 11.3% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.81 | +0.6 |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | 27 | 23 | 123 | 529 | 112 | 47 | 6 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.5% | 4.04 | 3.84 | +2.0 |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | 11 | 11 | 59 | 244 | 53 | 20 | 2 | 16.7% | 9.4% | 1.1% | 2.90 | 3.47 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 21 | 21 | 112 | 450 | 106 | 35 | 10 | 20.2% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 2.90 | 3.91 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 49 | 0 | 62 | 250 | 69 | 19 | 8 | 26.2% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 3.32 | 3.61 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 46 | 1 | 67 | 284 | 97 | 31 | 11 | 31.2% | 11.3% | 4.1% | 3.76 | 4.14 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | New York Mets | 47 | 0 | 47 | 207 | 48 | 27 | 12 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 6.17 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 33 | 1 | 43 | 185 | 59 | 26 | 8 | 28.1% | 14.8% | 4.6% | 4.64 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 22 | 1 | 25 | 108 | 35 | 12 | 6 | 32.7% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 5.40 | 5.50 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | — | 22 | — | 22 | 92 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 26.6% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 4.95 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | — | 20 | — | 20 | 87 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 25.8% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 4.91 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 282 | 77 | 647 | 2745 | 584 | 284 | 83 | 21.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 3.95 | 4.26 | +7.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 24 | 200 | 849 | 181 | 88 | 26 | 21.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 3.95 | 4.26 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeff Brigham (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.74 | 26.6% | 11.0% | 3.8% | — | 4.89 | 25.8% | 14.6% | 20 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.10 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 277 | 76 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 73 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.85 | 26.8% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .380 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 268 | 73 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.96 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.52 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.56 | 2.57 | 251 | 73 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 72 |
| Bud Norris R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.63 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 316 | 72 |
| Kodai Senga R 2025 · 3.69 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.69 | 29.7% | 10.9% | 3.1% | .417 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 305 | 71 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 71 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 69 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.75 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.7% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.31 | 187 | 69 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 69 |
| Nate Jones R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.46 | 26.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | .377 | 6.57 | 16.1% | 6.9% | 19 | +2.11 | 2.61 | 157 | 69 |
| Jason Motte R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.89 | 22.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | .306 | 5.24 | 16.3% | 4.9% | 41 | +0.35 | 3.06 | 113 | 69 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.81 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.64 | 3.81 | 208 | 69 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.18 | 23.7% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .253 | 5.14 | 25.0% | 13.8% | 32 | +0.96 | 3.38 | 212 | 67 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.53 | 27.3% | 10.7% | 4.3% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.55 | 266 | 66 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.77 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 2.5% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 533 | 66 |
| Radhames Liz R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 66 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.42 | 25.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | .258 | 4.20 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 87 | -0.22 | 2.41 | 339 | 64 |
| Justin Miller R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 27.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 279 | 64 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.