Alejandro Hidalgo
P
St. Paul Saints
Age 23
RHP
6'1" / 160 lbs
AAA
peak 0.5 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 128
ERA5.67
FIP5.67
K%19.4%
BB%14.6%
K-BB%4.8%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 104 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Angels | 7 | 6 | 27 | 118 | 31 | 9 | 6 | 86% | 3.9 | 17.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.67 | 5.67 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Angels | 7 | 6 | 27 | 118 | 31 | 9 | 6 | 86% | 3.9 | 26.3% | 7.6% | 18.6% | 5.1% | 4.67 | 4.69 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 10 | 10 | 39 | 175 | 58 | 19 | 3 | 100% | 3.9 | 24.5% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.23 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 10 | 10 | 39 | 175 | 58 | 19 | 3 | 100% | 3.9 | 33.1% | 10.9% | 22.3% | 1.7% | 4.62 | 2.59 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 21 | 8 | 58 | 275 | 57 | 52 | 7 | 38% | 2.8 | 16.0% | 21.7% | -5.8% | 2.5% | 5.28 | 5.89 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 21 | 8 | 58 | 275 | 57 | 52 | 7 | 38% | 2.8 | 20.7% | 18.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.28 | 5.39 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 85 | 387 | 99 | 46 | 15 | 100% | 3.5 | 19.9% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.48 | 5.91 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 85 | 387 | 99 | 46 | 15 | 100% | 3.5 | 25.6% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 3.9% | 6.48 | 4.69 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 27 | 0 | 42 | 187 | 59 | 22 | 14 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.5% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 6.21 | 7.19 | -1.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIN | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 51 | 38 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 14.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.67 | 5.67 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIN | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 14.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.67 | 5.67 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 104 | 447 | 110 | 60 | 23 | — | — | 24.5% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 5.89 | 6.29 | -1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 6 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 19.4% | 14.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.67 | 5.29 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIN | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 55 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 5.40 | 5.31 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 57 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 5.19 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 58 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 5.08 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 57 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 55 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 5.11 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIN | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 26 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 5.40 | 5.31 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 39 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 5.19 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 47 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 5.08 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 49 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 50 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 5.11 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 230 | 0 | 241 | 1020 | 217 | 123 | 36 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 5.16 | 4.75 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 180 | 102 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 5.16 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 89 | 48 | 251 | 1142 | 234 | 169 | 54 | 54% | 2.8 | 20.5% | 14.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.67 | 5.83 | -1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 38 | 200 | 911 | 187 | 135 | 43 | 54% | 2.8 | 20.5% | 14.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.67 | 5.83 | -1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alejandro Hidalgo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.67 | 19.4% | 14.6% | 3.6% | — | 5.15 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 191 | -0.52 | — | — | — |
| Grant Ford R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 88 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2027 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 84 |
| Danny Cody R 2027 · 6.00 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.00 | 20.5% | 15.0% | 5.0% | .369 | 6.37 | 11.4% | -6.9% | 37 | +0.37 | 6.00 | 106 | 83 |
| Anyelo Gómez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.85 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 2.69 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 68 | -2.16 | 2.69 | 145 | 83 |
| James McArthur R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.37 | 18.8% | 15.5% | 3.5% | .304 | 4.20 | 20.0% | 10.7% | 131 | -1.17 | 3.53 | 352 | 83 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 82 |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 82 |
| Dawson Netz R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 81 |
| Ray Gaither R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 81 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 6.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 6.33 | 18.5% | 15.9% | 5.1% | .302 | 4.59 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 284 | -1.74 | 4.09 | 414 | 80 |
| Adrian Chaidez R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.66 | 20.1% | 15.0% | 4.3% | .281 | 4.68 | 19.4% | 3.1% | 45 | -0.98 | 4.68 | 144 | 80 |
| Peyton Pallette R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.86 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .309 | 3.87 | 26.0% | 13.1% | 101 | -0.99 | 3.80 | 255 | 80 |
| Joey Matulovich R 2025 · 5.48 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.48 | 19.8% | 14.6% | 4.0% | .378 | 5.06 | 20.5% | 8.9% | 133 | -0.42 | 3.22 | 201 | 80 |
| Yohan Ramírez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.2% | 14.6% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.16 | 27.6% | 10.7% | 172 | -0.60 | 3.19 | 652 | 79 |
| Heath Slatton R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 17.9% | 12.9% | 4.2% | .382 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.46 | 120 | 78 |
| Ben Casparius R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.20 | 20.6% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .306 | 4.44 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 274 | -0.76 | 3.49 | 364 | 78 |
| Houston Roth R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.58 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .263 | 4.63 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 228 | +0.05 | 3.57 | 389 | 77 |
| Ramsey David R 2027 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 18.6% | 17.4% | 2.7% | .219 | 7.27 | 19.1% | -0.7% | 30 | +2.04 | 5.23 | 107 | 77 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 77 |
| Jacob Cravey R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.13 | 15.7% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 7.57 | 11.0% | -7.2% | 28 | +2.44 | 5.13 | 204 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 63 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 1.36 | 5.25 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Trevor Cahill ('21) | 7 | 67 | 21.3% | 10.1% | 1.29 | 4.66 |