Alejandro Hidalgo

Alejandro Hidalgo P St. Paul Saints

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 160 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 125

ERA5.71

FIP5.71

K%19.4%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%4.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	7	6	27	118	31	9	6	86%	3.9	17.9%	9.5%	8.3%	6.0%	4.67	6.11	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	7	6	27	118	31	9	6	86%	3.9	26.3%	7.6%	18.6%	5.1%	4.67	4.69	—
2022	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	10	10	39	175	58	19	3	100%	3.9	24.5%	12.8%	11.7%	2.5%	4.62	4.03	—
2022	19	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	10	10	39	175	58	19	3	100%	3.9	33.1%	10.9%	22.3%	1.7%	4.62	2.59	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	21	8	58	275	57	52	7	38%	2.8	16.0%	21.7%	-5.8%	2.8%	5.28	6.05	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	21	8	58	275	57	52	7	38%	2.8	16.0%	21.7%	-5.8%	2.8%	5.28	6.05	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	21	8	58	275	57	52	7	38%	2.8	20.7%	18.9%	1.8%	2.5%	5.28	5.39	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	85	387	99	46	15	100%	3.5	19.9%	13.5%	6.4%	4.9%	6.48	5.82	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	85	387	99	46	15	100%	3.5	19.9%	13.5%	6.4%	4.9%	6.48	5.82	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	85	387	99	46	15	100%	3.5	25.6%	11.9%	13.7%	3.9%	6.48	4.69	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	41	0	63	282	84	32	23	0%	1.5	24.5%	11.0%	13.5%	9.2%	6.71	7.49	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	41	0	63	282	84	32	23	0%	1.5	24.5%	11.0%	13.5%	9.2%	6.71	7.49	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	AA RAW	MIN	12	0	21	93	34	11	7	0%	1.7	36.6%	11.8%	24.7%	7.5%	6.10	5.64	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	MIN	29	0	42	189	50	21	16	0%	1.5	26.5%	11.1%	15.3%	8.5%	7.02	6.92	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	MIN	5	0	6	24	5	4	1	0%	1.1	19.4%	15.1%	4.3%	3.6%	5.71	5.71	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	69	306	89	36	24	—	—	29.0%	11.6%	17.3%	7.8%	6.63	7.34	-2.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIN	74	0	78	330	68	44	11	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.4%	7.2%	3.5%	5.44	5.34	-0.7
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIN	75	0	79	334	71	41	11	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.2%	9.0%	3.4%	5.22	5.12	-0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIN	75	0	79	334	72	40	11	0%	1.1	21.5%	12.0%	9.5%	3.4%	5.11	5.06	-0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIN	74	0	78	329	71	40	11	0%	1.1	21.5%	12.0%	9.5%	3.4%	5.08	5.08	-0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIN	72	0	76	319	68	39	11	0%	1.0	21.4%	12.2%	9.2%	3.5%	5.13	5.16	-0.5
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIN	69	0	72	305	65	38	11	0%	1.0	21.2%	12.4%	8.8%	3.7%	5.23	5.29	-0.6
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIN	65	0	68	287	60	36	11	0%	1.0	20.8%	12.7%	8.1%	3.9%	5.37	5.47	-0.7
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIN	36	0	38	160	33	21	6	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.4%	7.2%	3.5%	5.44	5.34	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIN	52	0	55	232	49	28	8	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.2%	9.0%	3.4%	5.22	5.12	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIN	61	0	64	270	58	33	9	0%	1.0	21.5%	12.0%	9.5%	3.4%	5.11	5.06	-0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIN	64	0	67	283	61	34	10	0%	1.0	21.5%	12.0%	9.5%	3.4%	5.08	5.08	-0.4
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIN	65	0	68	287	61	35	10	0%	1.0	21.4%	12.2%	9.2%	3.5%	5.13	5.16	-0.5
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIN	63	0	66	279	59	35	10	0%	1.0	21.2%	12.4%	8.8%	3.7%	5.23	5.29	-0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIN	60	0	63	266	55	34	10	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.7%	8.1%	3.9%	5.37	5.47	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		401	0	421	1776	377	220	63	0%	1.0	21.2%	12.4%	8.9%	3.6%	5.21	4.83	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	105	30	0%	1.0	21.2%	12.4%	8.9%	3.6%	5.21	4.83	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		103	48	272	1237	254	177	64	47%	2.6	20.5%	14.3%	6.2%	5.2%	5.83	6.03	-4.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	35	200	911	187	130	47	47%	2.6	20.5%	14.3%	6.2%	5.2%	5.83	6.03	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alejandro Hidalgo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.71	19.4%	15.1%	3.6%	—	5.17	21.1%	8.6%	236	-0.54	—	—	—
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	88
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	87
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	84
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	84
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	83
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	81
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	81
Yohan Ramírez R 2018 · 4.72 FIP	23	SW	4.72	18.2%	14.6%	2.4%	.243	4.16	27.6%	10.7%	172	-0.56	2.80	678	80
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	80
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	79
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	79
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	79
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	78
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	78
James McArthur R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	18.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.304	4.41	20.0%	10.7%	131	-0.63	3.53	352	78
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	78
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	78
Nic Swanson R 2022 · 6.18 FIP	23	SP-	6.18	18.5%	15.9%	4.8%	.302	4.74	18.6%	7.7%	284	-1.44	4.29	438	78
Danny Cody R 2021 · 6.32 FIP	24	SW	6.32	20.5%	15.0%	5.6%	.369	6.32	11.4%	-6.9%	37	+0.00	6.32	106	78
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	74	21.0%	12.7%	1.37	5.27
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39