Shane Rademacher
P
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 249 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 79 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 125
ERA5.54
FIP5.54
K%11.9%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%4.3%
ROS IP79
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 117 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2.0 | 33.3% | 6.7% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 1.13 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2.0 | 33.3% | 6.7% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 1.35 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | 26 | 7 | 85 | 376 | 102 | 29 | 14 | 27% | 3.3 | 20.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 4.89 | 5.45 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | 26 | 7 | 85 | 376 | 102 | 29 | 14 | 27% | 3.3 | 27.1% | 7.7% | 19.4% | 3.7% | 4.89 | 3.87 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 21 | 127 | 518 | 83 | 31 | 23 | 75% | 4.5 | 12.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.69 | 5.63 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 21 | 127 | 518 | 83 | 31 | 23 | 75% | 4.5 | 16.0% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 3.69 | 4.88 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 20 | 0 | 38 | 165 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 0% | 1.9 | 15.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.70 | 6.99 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 75 | 0 | 79 | 333 | 40 | 25 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.54 | 5.54 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.54 | 5.54 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 117 | 498 | 71 | 39 | 23 | — | — | 14.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.26 | 6.01 | -0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.54 | 5.16 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 75 | 0 | 79 | 333 | 47 | 26 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.36 | 5.32 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 74 | 0 | 78 | 328 | 49 | 26 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 5.28 | 5.28 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SF | 72 | 0 | 75 | 318 | 48 | 26 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 5.28 | 5.32 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.36 | 5.32 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 5.28 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SF | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 36 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 5.28 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 136 | 0 | 142 | 601 | 89 | 48 | 23 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.30 | 4.93 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 125 | 67 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.30 | 4.93 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 76 | 29 | 254 | 1074 | 170 | 85 | 58 | 38% | 3.3 | 15.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.22 | 5.71 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 23 | 200 | 847 | 134 | 67 | 45 | 38% | 3.3 | 15.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.22 | 5.71 | -0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Shane Rademacher (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.54 | 11.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% | — | 5.31 | 14.7% | 6.8% | 232 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2027 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 84 |
| Drasen Johnson R 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.44 | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 110 | 83 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 81 |
| Michael Ross R 2025 · 5.83 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.83 | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 146 | 80 |
| Dominic DeMasi R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.45 | 13.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 275 | 80 |
| Marco Camarena R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .365 | 3.81 | 8.4% | 0.9% | 73 | -0.72 | 3.81 | 142 | 80 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2028 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 80 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 79 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 78 |
| Jordan Desguin R 2024 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.27 | 13.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 187 | 78 |
| Jose Reyes R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.03 | 11.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 225 | 78 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 77 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 77 |
| Geno Encina R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.84 | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 200 | 77 |
| Alec Baker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .315 | 6.18 | 14.1% | 3.7% | 44 | +1.20 | 3.80 | 205 | 77 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 77 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 77 |
| Jake Dunning R 2027 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 77 |
| Colin Bates R 2028 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 77 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 78 | 14.0% | 7.8% | 1.46 | 5.37 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |