Shane Rademacher

Shane Rademacher P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 249 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.51

FIP5.51

K%11.9%

BB%7.1%

K-BB%4.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL6565

CMD4545

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	2	1	4	15	5	1	0	50%	2.0	33.3%	6.7%	26.7%	0.0%	2.25	1.13	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	2	1	4	15	5	1	0	50%	2.0	33.3%	6.7%	26.7%	0.0%	2.25	1.13	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Orange	2	1	4	15	5	1	0	50%	2.0	33.3%	6.7%	26.7%	0.0%	2.25	1.35	—
2024	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	26	7	85	376	102	29	14	27%	3.3	20.1%	9.1%	11.0%	5.1%	4.89	5.33	—
2024	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	26	7	85	376	102	29	14	27%	3.3	20.1%	9.1%	11.0%	5.1%	4.89	5.33	—
2024	23	A RAW	San Jose Giants	26	7	85	376	102	29	14	27%	3.3	27.1%	7.7%	19.4%	3.7%	4.89	3.87	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	21	127	518	83	31	23	75%	4.5	12.4%	6.7%	5.7%	5.2%	3.69	5.73	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	21	127	518	83	31	23	75%	4.5	12.4%	6.7%	5.7%	5.2%	3.69	5.73	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	21	127	518	83	31	23	75%	4.5	16.0%	6.0%	10.0%	4.4%	3.69	4.88	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	30	2	61	266	52	24	13	7%	2.0	15.8%	9.9%	5.9%	5.9%	4.84	6.24	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	30	2	61	266	52	24	13	7%	2.0	15.8%	9.9%	5.9%	5.9%	4.84	6.24	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	SF	30	2	61	266	52	24	13	7%	2.0	19.5%	9.0%	10.5%	4.9%	4.84	5.27	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	SF	6	0	6	25	3	2	1	0%	1.0	11.9%	7.1%	4.8%	3.9%	5.51	5.51	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	SF	—	—	67	291	55	26	14	—	—	18.9%	8.9%	10.0%	4.8%	4.90	6.18	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SF	109	0	114	481	68	34	18	0%	1.0	14.0%	7.1%	6.9%	3.8%	5.33	5.29	-0.9
2028	27	MLB MLE	SF	107	0	112	474	69	34	18	0%	1.0	14.6%	7.3%	7.3%	3.8%	5.25	5.25	-0.9
2029	28	MLB MLE	SF	104	0	109	460	68	34	18	0%	1.0	14.9%	7.4%	7.4%	3.9%	5.25	5.28	-0.9
2030	29	MLB MLE	SF	99	0	104	439	65	34	17	0%	1.1	14.8%	7.7%	7.1%	4.0%	5.32	5.39	-0.9
2031	30	MLB MLE	SF	93	0	98	413	60	33	17	0%	1.1	14.4%	8.0%	6.5%	4.2%	5.47	5.57	-1.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	SF	48	0	50	211	30	15	8	0%	1.0	14.0%	7.1%	6.9%	3.8%	5.33	5.29	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	SF	68	0	71	300	44	22	11	0%	1.0	14.6%	7.3%	7.3%	3.8%	5.25	5.25	-0.5
2029	28	MLB CTX	SF	78	0	82	346	51	26	13	0%	1.1	14.9%	7.4%	7.4%	3.9%	5.25	5.28	-0.6
2030	29	MLB CTX	SF	81	0	85	359	53	28	14	0%	1.0	14.8%	7.7%	7.1%	4.0%	5.32	5.39	-0.8
2031	30	MLB CTX	SF	80	0	84	355	51	28	15	0%	1.1	14.4%	8.0%	6.5%	4.2%	5.47	5.57	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		355	0	372	1572	230	119	62	0%	1.0	14.6%	7.5%	7.1%	3.9%	5.33	4.99	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	124	64	33	0%	1.1	14.6%	7.5%	7.1%	3.9%	5.33	4.99	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		86	31	277	1175	187	96	61	36%	3.2	15.9%	8.2%	7.7%	5.2%	4.29	5.66	-5.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	22	200	849	135	70	44	36%	3.2	15.9%	8.2%	7.7%	5.2%	4.29	5.66	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Shane Rademacher (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.51	11.9%	7.1%	3.9%	—	5.27	14.5%	7.2%	335	-0.24	—	—	—
Drasen Johnson R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	24	SW	4.70	9.6%	5.7%	3.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.70	110	86
Dominic DeMasi R 2018 · 5.07 FIP	25	SW	5.07	13.0%	6.9%	4.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	275	82
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	81
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	81
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	81
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	81
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	81
Tyler Santana R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	25	SW	4.43	15.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.306	4.90	15.1%	4.9%	191	+0.47	3.37	399	79
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	79
Geno Encina R 2019 · 4.86 FIP	25	SW	4.86	10.4%	7.0%	3.2%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	4.22	200	78
Tyler Thornburg R 2015 · 5.59 FIP	26	SW	5.59	15.4%	8.9%	4.9%	.295	3.65	28.7%	19.3%	104	-1.94	2.56	301	78
Marco Camarena R 2016 · 4.49 FIP	25	SW	4.49	11.0%	9.3%	2.1%	.365	3.75	8.4%	0.9%	73	-0.74	3.75	142	78
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	77
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	77
Abel Amaya R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	24	SW	4.38	7.0%	4.9%	2.3%	.264	6.88	8.5%	5.1%	12	+2.50	4.38	109	77
Zach Mort R 2022 · 4.95 FIP	25	SW	4.95	16.3%	7.7%	4.1%	.298	—	—	—	—	—	4.95	237	77
Jordan Desguin R 2017 · 5.61 FIP	23	SW	5.61	13.4%	7.1%	5.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	2.57	187	77
Alex Sanabia R 2015 · 4.44 FIP	26	SP-	4.44	11.4%	7.9%	2.4%	.358	3.66	11.1%	6.2%	161	-0.78	3.42	378	77
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	76
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	103	14.2%	7.4%	1.52	5.34
Ty Blach ('24)	2.5	84	12.8%	6.9%	1.23	5.56
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Wade LeBlanc ('21)	2.4	81	18.0%	6.0%	1.67	4.61
Jaime Barria ('23)	2.3	77	17.9%	7.7%	1.61	4.38
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Chi Chi González ('22)	1.3	64	13.3%	9.0%	1.41	5.44