Peyton Stumbo
P
Altoona Curve
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION77 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.98
FIP4.98
K%15.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%6.0%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 142 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 5 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.0% | 0.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 1.42 | 2.00 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 5 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.0% | 0.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 1.42 | 2.15 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 37 | 3 | 68 | 296 | 76 | 26 | 10 | 8% | 1.8 | 19.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 4.92 | 5.02 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 37 | 3 | 68 | 296 | 76 | 26 | 10 | 8% | 1.8 | 25.7% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 3.4% | 4.92 | 3.93 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 21 | 90 | 382 | 81 | 27 | 7 | 84% | 3.6 | 16.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 4.30 | 4.15 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 21 | 90 | 382 | 81 | 27 | 7 | 84% | 3.6 | 21.2% | 7.1% | 14.1% | 1.8% | 4.30 | 3.21 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 17 | 16 | 77 | 348 | 64 | 25 | 14 | 94% | 4.5 | 14.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.84 | 5.49 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 42 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 15.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 15.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 142 | 622 | 106 | 50 | 22 | — | — | 17.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 5.45 | 5.26 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 15.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 4.98 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 48 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 51 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 33 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 13 | 77 | 323 | 56 | 30 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.41 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 146 | 78 | 24 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.41 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 84 | 40 | 241 | 1049 | 172 | 89 | 38 | 48% | 2.9 | 16.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 4.89 | 4.79 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 33 | 200 | 871 | 143 | 74 | 32 | 48% | 2.9 | 16.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 4.89 | 4.79 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Peyton Stumbo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.98 | 15.3% | 9.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.79 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 136 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 87 |
| Matt Peacock R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.22 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .300 | 4.20 | 13.6% | 5.2% | 202 | -0.02 | 3.96 | 354 | 86 |
| Justin Dillon R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .265 | 4.34 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 124 | -0.89 | 3.63 | 239 | 83 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 83 |
| Carlos Frías R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .320 | 4.70 | 13.0% | 2.6% | 74 | +0.54 | 3.64 | 204 | 82 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 82 |
| Matt Marsh R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.87 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.34 | 3.13 | 143 | 82 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 82 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2029 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 81 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 81 |
| Nick Payero R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.06 | 16.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | .285 | 5.72 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 107 | +1.66 | 4.06 | 178 | 81 |
| Carlos Sano R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 81 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 81 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 80 |
| Kyle Haynes R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.3% | 10.3% | 1.7% | .302 | 4.58 | 15.7% | 5.8% | 124 | +0.45 | 4.13 | 240 | 80 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 80 |
| Ryan Long R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.90 | 15.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .239 | 4.63 | 17.0% | 6.5% | 132 | -0.27 | 4.13 | 405 | 80 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.46 | 14.7% | 10.6% | 4.1% | .330 | 4.19 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 139 | -1.27 | 3.27 | 339 | 80 |
| Marco Camarena R 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .365 | 3.81 | 8.4% | 0.9% | 73 | -0.72 | 3.81 | 142 | 80 |
| Thomas Ponticelli R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.73 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.29 | 15.3% | 2.9% | 163 | +0.56 | 2.59 | 367 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 16.6% | 9.2% | 1.14 | 4.87 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |