Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | ROK | FCL Twins | 12 | 6 | 33 | 161 | 42 | 16 | 6 | 50% | 2.8 | 17.7% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.21 | 6.64 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK | FCL Twins | 12 | 6 | 33 | 161 | 42 | 16 | 6 | 50% | 2.8 | 26.1% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 3.7% | 6.21 | 4.36 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 64 | 277 | 66 | 33 | 9 | 6% | 1.8 | 18.4% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.20 | 5.01 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 64 | 277 | 66 | 33 | 9 | 6% | 1.8 | 23.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 4.20 | 4.41 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 61 | 254 | 49 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.2% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 3.98 | 3.91 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 61 | 254 | 49 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 1.2% | 3.98 | 3.26 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 16 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.78 | 5.39 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIN | 39 | 0 | 41 | 171 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.65 | 4.65 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 67 | 281 | 58 | 28 | 9 | — | — | 20.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.70 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.65 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 38 | 0 | 39 | 166 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 15 | 62 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.32 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 164 | 96 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 107 | 8 | 185 | 802 | 137 | 95 | 27 | 7% | 1.7 | 17.1% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.57 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 116 | 9 | 200 | 867 | 148 | 103 | 30 | 7% | 1.7 | 17.1% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.57 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Wosinski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.65 | 19.7% | 10.5% | 2.7% | — | 4.70 | 19.9% | 9.4% | 39 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 88 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 86 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 86 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 85 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 85 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 84 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 84 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 84 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 84 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 83 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 83 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.53 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 1.2% | .306 | 4.31 | 23.1% | 11.7% | 66 | +0.78 | 3.53 | 134 | 83 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 3.74 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.37 | 3.74 | 146 | 82 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 82 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 82 |
| Guido Knudson R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.83 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.4% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 106 | 82 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.52 | 17.4% | 10.0% | 1.1% | .317 | 2.96 | 17.5% | 13.1% | 49 | -0.56 | 2.96 | 137 | 82 |
| Roman Mendez R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.13 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .246 | 4.87 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 116 | +0.74 | 4.12 | 230 | 82 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .325 | 4.53 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 279 | +0.65 | 3.88 | 500 | 82 |
| Bayden Root R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.63 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 102 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 40 | 19.8% | 10.5% | 1.08 | 4.66 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |