Jacob Wosinski — OGILVIE

Jacob Wosinski P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 27 RHP 6'8" / 220 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%16.9%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%5.6%

ROS IP41

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	12	6	33	161	42	16	6	50%	2.8	17.7%	12.4%	5.3%	5.7%	6.21	6.31	—
2023	24	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	12	6	33	161	42	16	6	50%	2.8	17.7%	12.4%	5.3%	5.7%	6.21	6.31	—
2023	24	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	12	6	33	161	42	16	6	50%	2.8	26.1%	9.9%	16.1%	3.7%	6.21	4.36	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	64	277	66	33	9	6%	1.8	18.4%	14.0%	4.5%	3.6%	4.20	5.29	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	64	277	66	33	9	6%	1.8	18.4%	14.0%	4.5%	3.6%	4.20	5.29	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	2	64	277	66	33	9	6%	1.8	23.8%	11.9%	11.9%	3.2%	4.20	4.41	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	61	254	49	23	3	0%	1.4	15.2%	10.0%	5.2%	1.5%	3.98	3.89	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	61	254	49	23	3	0%	1.4	15.2%	10.0%	5.2%	1.5%	3.98	3.89	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	61	254	49	23	3	0%	1.4	19.3%	9.1%	10.2%	1.2%	3.98	3.26	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	16	0	26	110	24	10	4	0%	1.6	17.0%	10.1%	6.9%	4.5%	4.78	5.39	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	16	0	26	110	24	10	4	0%	1.6	17.0%	10.1%	6.9%	4.5%	4.78	5.39	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	A+ RAW	MIN	8	0	14	56	19	2	2	0%	1.8	33.9%	3.6%	30.4%	3.6%	2.51	2.65	—
2026	27	AA RAW	MIN	8	0	12	54	5	8	2	0%	1.5	9.3%	14.8%	-5.6%	3.7%	7.50	6.23	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	38	0	39	166	29	19	5	0%	1.0	17.4%	11.2%	6.2%	2.9%	4.97	5.01	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	13	0	14	59	10	7	2	0%	1.1	17.4%	11.2%	6.2%	2.9%	4.97	5.01	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	61	11	7	2	0%	1.0	17.4%	11.2%	6.2%	2.9%	4.97	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	152	97	28	0%	1.1	17.4%	11.2%	6.2%	2.9%	4.97	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		107	8	185	802	137	95	28	7%	1.7	17.1%	11.9%	5.2%	3.5%	4.57	5.06	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	9	200	867	148	103	30	7%	1.7	17.1%	11.9%	5.2%	3.5%	4.57	5.06	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jacob Wosinski (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	16.9%	11.2%	2.8%	—	5.01	17.4%	6.2%	39	+0.02	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	90
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	89
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	86
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	86
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	86
Gonzalez Germen R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	27	SU	4.24	18.0%	12.5%	1.9%	.296	3.88	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.36	3.70	146	85
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	85
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	85
Tucker Healy R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	15.6%	11.5%	2.0%	.321	5.20	19.2%	8.7%	24	+0.87	2.82	174	85
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	85
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	85
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	84
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	84
David Martinez R 2015 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	14.2%	8.3%	1.8%	.284	4.76	15.0%	7.9%	230	+0.84	3.92	297	84
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	84
Chris Jefferson R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	26	SU	4.45	16.6%	11.8%	2.3%	.333	5.65	16.4%	2.8%	46	+1.20	3.53	140	83
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	83
Jonathan Aro R 2018 · 3.97 FIP	27	SU	3.97	17.3%	10.9%	1.7%	.280	3.28	12.7%	9.3%	64	-0.69	2.57	323	83
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	40	17.1%	11.2%	1.09	4.98
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58