Jack Noble — OGILVIE

Jack Noble P Bradenton Marauders

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.93

FIP4.93

K%21.0%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%9.3%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	2	0	2	10	3	1	0	0%	1.0	30.0%	10.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.83	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	2	0	2	10	3	1	0	0%	1.0	30.0%	10.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.60	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	12	66	275	63	30	4	92%	5.1	16.5%	13.1%	3.5%	1.9%	2.98	4.42	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	12	66	275	63	30	4	92%	5.1	16.5%	13.1%	3.5%	1.9%	2.98	4.42	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	12	66	275	63	30	4	92%	5.1	22.9%	10.9%	12.0%	1.5%	2.98	3.34	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	1	65	291	77	30	12	3%	1.8	20.3%	12.1%	8.1%	5.7%	5.29	6.03	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	1	65	291	77	30	12	3%	1.8	20.3%	12.1%	8.1%	5.7%	5.29	6.03	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	1	65	291	77	30	12	3%	1.8	26.5%	10.3%	16.2%	4.1%	5.29	4.52	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	0	17	74	13	5	4	0%	1.2	17.6%	6.8%	10.8%	5.4%	5.94	5.44	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	0	17	74	13	5	4	0%	1.2	17.6%	6.8%	10.8%	5.4%	5.94	5.44	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	0	17	74	13	5	4	0%	1.2	17.6%	6.8%	10.8%	5.4%	5.94	5.56	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	MIN	4	0	4	17	4	2	1	0%	1.0	21.0%	11.7%	9.3%	3.2%	4.93	4.93	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55	0	57	242	51	28	8	0%	1.0	21.2%	11.5%	9.7%	3.2%	4.89	4.90	-0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIN	53	0	56	235	50	27	8	0%	1.0	21.2%	11.5%	9.7%	3.3%	4.91	4.94	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIN	20	0	21	89	19	10	3	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.5%	9.7%	3.2%	4.89	4.90	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIN	31	0	33	139	30	16	5	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.5%	9.7%	3.3%	4.91	4.94	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	0	54	226	48	26	7	0%	1.0	21.2%	11.5%	9.7%	3.2%	4.90	4.55	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	97	26	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.5%	9.7%	3.2%	4.90	4.55	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		64	13	150	650	120	77	26	20%	2.3	18.5%	11.9%	6.7%	4.0%	4.27	5.22	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	17	200	869	161	103	34	20%	2.3	18.5%	11.9%	6.7%	4.0%	4.27	5.22	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Noble (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.93	21.0%	11.7%	3.2%	—	4.92	21.2%	9.7%	113	-0.01	—	—	—
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	88
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	84
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	83
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	83
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	83
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	82
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	82
Spencer Stockton R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	26	SU	4.18	20.2%	10.3%	2.7%	.276	5.46	18.7%	6.2%	63	+1.28	1.93	233	82
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	81
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	81
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	81
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	81
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	81
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	80
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	80
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	80
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	80
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	80
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	80
Roman Mendez R 2016 · 4.12 FIP	26	SU	4.12	19.5%	10.3%	2.5%	.246	4.68	20.9%	10.7%	116	+0.56	4.12	230	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	52	21.2%	11.6%	1.25	4.91
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10