Jack Noble
P
Bradenton Marauders
+0.3
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.6%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%12.8%
IP60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Twins | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 13 | 12 | 66 | 275 | 63 | 30 | 4 | 16.5% | 13.1% | 1.9% | 2.98 | 4.42 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 35 | 1 | 65 | 291 | 77 | 30 | 12 | 20.3% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 5.29 | 6.05 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 14 | 0 | 17 | 74 | 13 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | 5.94 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 58 | 25 | 8 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.55 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 57 | 25 | 8 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.54 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 59 | — | 59 | 249 | 57 | 24 | 8 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.55 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 58 | — | 58 | 243 | 55 | 24 | 8 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 53 | 23 | 8 | 22.4% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.60 | 4.64 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 51 | 23 | 8 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 52 | — | 52 | 218 | 48 | 22 | 7 | 21.9% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 4.75 | 4.80 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 49 | — | 49 | 209 | 45 | 22 | 7 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 4.84 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 42 | 21 | 7 | 21.3% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 4.94 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | MIN | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 39 | 20 | 7 | 20.9% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 5.05 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 36 | 19 | 7 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 5.18 | 5.26 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 13 | 150 | 650 | 120 | 77 | 26 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 4.27 | 5.22 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 86 | 17 | 200 | 869 | 160 | 103 | 35 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 4.27 | 5.22 | +0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jack Noble (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | — | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 176 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 91 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.28 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.23 | 3.34 | 187 | 91 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .273 | 4.53 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.31 | 3.70 | 187 | 90 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.33 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .282 | 3.20 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -1.13 | 1.79 | 618 | 90 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.86 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 3.0% | .242 | 2.97 | 25.1% | 15.7% | 62 | -0.89 | 2.97 | 167 | 88 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .318 | 3.29 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.61 | 2.45 | 362 | 88 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.84 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 206 | 88 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.52 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .244 | 3.73 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.21 | 3.18 | 253 | 88 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .303 | 4.06 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.23 | 3.05 | 290 | 88 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.45 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.78 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.33 | 2.65 | 315 | 87 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.3% | .274 | 6.70 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.77 | 4.76 | 183 | 87 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 117 | 87 |
| Héctor Neris R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.5% | .298 | 3.00 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -0.97 | 1.99 | 682 | 87 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 86 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .300 | 3.68 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.92 | 3.09 | 377 | 86 |
| Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .293 | 4.50 | 12.8% | -1.5% | 34 | -0.43 | 1.27 | 164 | 86 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 159 | 86 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.50 | 3.08 | 219 | 86 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.86 | 22.4% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .324 | 5.86 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 49 | +2.00 | 3.86 | 157 | 86 |
| Joe Broussard R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.82 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .316 | 3.73 | 21.1% | 12.0% | 95 | -0.09 | 2.62 | 304 | 85 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.