Nelfy Ynfante — OGILVIE

Nelfy Ynfante P Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 168 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION70 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 123

ERA5.61

FIP5.61

K%14.3%

BB%13.9%

K-BB%0.4%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 75 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†3050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	11	8	41	175	39	19	1	73%	3.8	15.2%	13.6%	1.6%	0.8%	1.96	3.96	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	11	8	41	175	39	19	1	73%	3.8	22.3%	10.9%	11.4%	0.6%	1.96	2.91	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	9	9	30	128	34	11	2	100%	3.3	18.1%	10.7%	7.3%	2.3%	4.50	4.22	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	9	9	30	128	34	11	2	100%	3.3	18.1%	10.7%	7.3%	2.3%	4.50	4.22	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	9	9	30	128	34	11	2	100%	3.3	26.6%	8.6%	18.0%	1.6%	4.50	2.80	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	11	65	280	74	24	3	52%	3.1	18.2%	10.5%	7.7%	1.5%	3.17	3.70	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	11	65	280	74	24	3	52%	3.1	18.2%	10.5%	7.7%	1.5%	3.17	3.70	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	11	65	280	74	24	3	52%	3.1	26.4%	8.6%	17.9%	1.1%	3.17	2.53	—
2025	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	24	13	90	409	83	44	8	54%	3.8	15.0%	12.7%	2.3%	2.6%	4.60	4.87	—
2025	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	24	13	90	409	83	44	8	54%	3.8	15.0%	12.7%	2.3%	2.6%	4.60	4.87	—
2025	20	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	24	13	90	409	83	44	8	54%	3.8	20.3%	10.8%	9.5%	2.0%	4.60	3.88	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	37	1	70	296	70	26	11	3%	1.9	17.8%	10.1%	7.8%	4.7%	4.50	5.44	—
YTD	21	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	37	1	70	296	70	26	11	3%	1.9	17.8%	10.1%	7.8%	4.7%	4.50	5.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	STL	21	1	43	177	45	11	6	5%	2.0	25.4%	6.2%	19.2%	3.4%	4.01	3.60	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	STL	9	0	14	62	18	6	1	0%	1.6	29.0%	9.7%	19.4%	1.6%	3.77	2.76	—
2026	21	AA RAW	STL	7	0	13	57	7	9	4	0%	1.9	12.3%	15.8%	-3.5%	7.0%	6.92	7.91	—
ROS	21	MLB MLE	STL	5	0	5	22	3	3	1	0%	1.1	14.3%	13.9%	0.4%	2.9%	5.61	5.61	-0.1
2026 TOT	21	MLB MLE	STL	—	—	75	318	73	29	12	—	—	23.0%	9.1%	13.8%	3.7%	4.58	5.45	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	STL	81	0	85	359	59	45	10	0%	1.0	16.5%	12.4%	4.1%	2.8%	5.32	5.21	-0.6
2028	23	MLB MLE	STL	84	0	88	372	67	43	10	0%	1.1	17.9%	11.5%	6.3%	2.8%	5.08	4.97	-0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	STL	86	0	90	382	71	42	11	0%	1.1	18.6%	11.0%	7.6%	2.8%	4.91	4.83	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	STL	87	0	92	386	74	42	11	0%	1.1	19.1%	10.8%	8.3%	2.8%	4.81	4.75	-0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	STL	87	0	92	386	74	41	11	0%	1.1	19.3%	10.7%	8.5%	2.8%	4.76	4.73	-0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	STL	86	0	90	380	73	41	11	0%	1.0	19.3%	10.8%	8.5%	2.8%	4.76	4.77	-0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	STL	83	0	87	369	71	40	11	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.0%	8.2%	2.9%	4.81	4.85	-0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	STL	80	0	84	353	67	39	11	0%	1.0	18.9%	11.2%	7.7%	3.1%	4.91	4.98	-0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	STL	75	0	78	331	68	35	11	0%	1.0	20.6%	10.7%	9.9%	3.3%	4.90	4.89	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	STL	40	0	42	177	29	22	5	0%	1.1	16.5%	12.4%	4.1%	2.8%	5.32	5.21	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	STL	61	0	64	270	48	31	8	0%	1.0	17.9%	11.5%	6.3%	2.8%	5.08	4.97	-0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	STL	71	0	75	317	59	35	9	0%	1.1	18.6%	11.0%	7.6%	2.8%	4.91	4.83	-0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	STL	77	0	81	342	65	37	9	0%	1.1	19.1%	10.8%	8.3%	2.8%	4.81	4.75	-0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	STL	80	0	84	355	68	38	10	0%	1.1	19.3%	10.7%	8.5%	2.8%	4.76	4.73	-0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	STL	80	0	84	355	68	38	10	0%	1.1	19.3%	10.8%	8.5%	2.8%	4.76	4.77	-0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	STL	78	0	82	346	66	38	10	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.0%	8.2%	2.9%	4.81	4.85	-0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	STL	75	0	79	334	63	37	10	0%	1.1	18.9%	11.2%	7.7%	3.1%	4.91	4.98	-0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	STL	71	0	75	317	65	34	10	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.7%	9.9%	3.3%	4.90	4.89	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		633	0	665	2806	532	310	81	0%	1.0	19.0%	11.0%	7.9%	2.9%	4.89	4.48	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	93	24	0%	1.1	19.0%	11.0%	7.9%	2.9%	4.89	4.48	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		102	42	297	1288	215	149	33	41%	2.9	16.7%	11.5%	5.1%	2.6%	3.88	4.56	-3.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	28	200	868	145	100	22	41%	2.9	16.7%	11.5%	5.1%	2.6%	3.88	4.56	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nelfy Ynfante (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.61	14.3%	13.9%	2.9%	—	5.00	17.7%	6.0%	264	-0.61	—	—	—
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	91
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	86
Garrett Nuss R 2015 · 5.71 FIP	22	SW	5.71	14.1%	14.9%	3.5%	.352	4.58	15.0%	5.3%	92	-1.13	4.57	174	86
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	85
Axel Rios R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	23	SW	4.70	13.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.06	15.2%	3.2%	97	-0.64	3.50	153	85
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	85
Kelvin Vasquez R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	14.8%	13.8%	2.6%	.248	5.38	15.0%	-3.0%	103	+0.35	5.01	180	85
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	84
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	83
Zach Mort R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	22	SW	5.01	10.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.240	5.35	17.0%	8.8%	176	+0.34	4.95	237	83
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	83
Ezequiel Ventura R 2023 · 5.62 FIP	21	SW	5.62	13.5%	11.7%	4.0%	.302	4.71	14.1%	5.7%	32	-0.91	3.77	151	82
Willians Vasquez R 2018 · 5.45 FIP	21	SU	5.45	12.2%	13.9%	3.0%	.292	3.20	13.9%	3.9%	30	-2.25	3.20	154	82
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	81
Torey Deshazier R 2015 · 5.45 FIP	21	SW	5.45	12.7%	12.8%	3.3%	.319	5.33	14.8%	-10.6%	41	-0.12	5.33	127	81
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	81
Cole Percival R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	22	SU	4.99	16.5%	14.9%	2.5%	.243	4.70	16.6%	3.7%	218	-0.29	3.58	327	81
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	81
Deyvis Julian R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	21	SW	4.74	11.2%	14.7%	1.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	116	81
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.2	85	18.5%	11.3%	1.11	4.97
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25