Luis Rujano
P
Knoxville Smokies
Age 23
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148139vR 130
ERA5.76
FIP5.76
K%18.6%
BB%18.6%
K-BB%-0.1%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 19 | 9 | 53 | 242 | 56 | 34 | 3 | 47% | 2.8 | 17.1% | 16.6% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 4.10 | 4.72 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 19 | 9 | 53 | 242 | 56 | 34 | 3 | 47% | 2.8 | 23.1% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 1.2% | 4.10 | 3.65 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 20 | 7 | 53 | 239 | 55 | 25 | 4 | 35% | 2.7 | 17.0% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 5.40 | 4.69 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 20 | 7 | 53 | 239 | 55 | 25 | 4 | 35% | 2.7 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 1.7% | 5.40 | 3.42 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 3 | 52 | 237 | 59 | 39 | 3 | 9% | 1.6 | 19.5% | 19.4% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 3.96 | 4.67 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 3 | 52 | 237 | 59 | 39 | 3 | 9% | 1.6 | 24.9% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 1.3% | 3.96 | 3.83 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 21 | 0 | 38 | 179 | 37 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 11.8% | 20.7% | -8.9% | 2.1% | 6.93 | 5.85 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CHC | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 41 | 41 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 18.6% | -0.1% | 2.7% | 5.76 | 5.76 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CHC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 18.6% | -0.1% | 2.7% | 5.76 | 5.76 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 90 | 400 | 78 | 71 | 10 | — | — | 19.5% | 17.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 6.25 | 5.80 | -0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 18.6% | 18.6% | -0.1% | 2.7% | 5.76 | 5.38 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 44 | 37 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 16.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.47 | 5.37 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 47 | 34 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 14.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 5.23 | 5.12 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 47 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 14.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 5.11 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 20 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 16.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.47 | 5.37 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 14.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 5.23 | 5.12 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 37 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 14.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 5.11 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 99 | 0 | 104 | 440 | 89 | 66 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 14.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5.24 | 4.78 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 171 | 127 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 14.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5.24 | 4.78 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 93 | 19 | 196 | 897 | 149 | 153 | 18 | 20% | 2.1 | 16.7% | 17.0% | -0.4% | 2.0% | 4.96 | 4.92 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 95 | 19 | 200 | 915 | 152 | 156 | 18 | 20% | 2.1 | 16.7% | 17.0% | -0.4% | 2.0% | 4.96 | 4.92 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Rujano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.76 | 18.6% | 18.6% | 2.7% | — | 5.18 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 162 | -0.58 | — | — | — |
| Kris Hall R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.65 | 18.3% | 17.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 7.02 | 12.7% | -7.8% | 34 | +2.37 | 4.65 | 106 | 87 |
| James Acuna R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.89 | 21.3% | 17.0% | 2.6% | .302 | 4.23 | 19.4% | 4.6% | 60 | -0.66 | 4.23 | 107 | 87 |
| Will McAffer R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.59 | 20.4% | 18.1% | 1.7% | .270 | 6.10 | 18.5% | -4.0% | 77 | +1.51 | 4.59 | 133 | 85 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2027 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 85 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 84 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.20 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .297 | 4.19 | 17.9% | 5.9% | 182 | -1.01 | 3.59 | 327 | 84 |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 84 |
| Cole Hillier R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.69 | 16.9% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .297 | 4.61 | 18.4% | 4.4% | 95 | -0.08 | 3.72 | 153 | 84 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 84 |
| Jacob Morris R 2027 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% | .218 | 4.72 | 18.7% | -2.4% | 46 | -1.00 | 4.72 | 102 | 83 |
| Luis Ledo R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.45 | 17.1% | 17.6% | 2.9% | .329 | 3.60 | 20.8% | 8.0% | 85 | -1.85 | 3.22 | 376 | 83 |
| Hunter Mann R 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.68 | 18.4% | 18.5% | 3.3% | .303 | 4.27 | 19.6% | 8.1% | 49 | -1.41 | 3.01 | 135 | 83 |
| Junior Rincon R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 83 |
| Cody Adcock R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.54 | 18.6% | 16.5% | 3.5% | .253 | 3.69 | 25.7% | 3.9% | 26 | -1.85 | 3.34 | 139 | 82 |
| Tommy DeJuneas R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.09 | 20.8% | 18.8% | 2.5% | .324 | 5.52 | 13.7% | -3.9% | 51 | +0.43 | 3.90 | 178 | 82 |
| Jon Keller R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.41 | 15.3% | 20.9% | 1.7% | .265 | 3.84 | 8.9% | -2.9% | 15 | -1.57 | 3.62 | 156 | 82 |
| Sal Biasi R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.19 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.3% | .295 | 7.85 | 15.3% | -0.2% | 23 | +2.66 | 4.68 | 188 | 82 |
| Josue Gerardo R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.33 | 17.8% | 23.5% | 1.4% | .220 | 5.99 | 16.5% | -6.0% | 30 | +0.66 | 4.59 | 122 | 82 |
| Nicholas Regalado R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.62 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 132 | 81 |
| Luis Germán R 2026 · 5.67 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.67 | 16.0% | 19.6% | 2.6% | .305 | 8.13 | 12.2% | -10.4% | 19 | +2.46 | 5.21 | 115 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 54 | 19.8% | 15.9% | 1.05 | 5.39 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |