Jake Eddington — OGILVIE

Jake Eddington P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.65

FIP5.65

K%18.4%

BB%17.7%

K-BB%0.8%

ROS IP33

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	3	41	193	50	38	2	12%	1.6	18.8%	24.1%	-5.3%	0.8%	3.54	5.02	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	3	41	193	50	38	2	12%	1.6	18.8%	24.1%	-5.3%	0.8%	3.54	5.02	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	3	41	193	50	38	2	12%	1.6	25.9%	19.7%	6.2%	1.0%	3.54	4.08	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	57	260	56	39	4	0%	1.8	16.3%	17.4%	-1.1%	1.8%	4.92	4.95	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	57	260	56	39	4	0%	1.8	16.3%	17.4%	-1.1%	1.8%	4.92	4.95	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	57	260	56	39	4	0%	1.8	21.5%	15.0%	6.5%	1.5%	4.92	4.11	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	39	0	49	219	48	36	2	0%	1.2	16.9%	18.9%	-2.0%	1.1%	4.62	4.70	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	39	0	49	219	48	36	2	0%	1.2	16.9%	18.9%	-2.0%	1.1%	4.62	4.70	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	PHI	39	0	49	219	48	36	2	0%	1.2	21.9%	16.4%	5.5%	0.9%	4.62	3.83	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PHI	49	0	51	215	42	36	6	0%	1.0	19.5%	16.8%	2.7%	2.7%	5.49	5.47	-0.5
2028	27	MLB MLE	PHI	48	0	50	212	42	35	6	0%	1.0	19.8%	16.3%	3.5%	2.8%	5.41	5.42	-0.5
2027	26	MLB CTX	PHI	21	0	22	93	18	16	3	0%	1.0	19.5%	16.8%	2.7%	2.7%	5.49	5.47	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	PHI	30	0	32	135	27	22	4	0%	1.1	19.8%	16.3%	3.5%	2.8%	5.41	5.42	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	0	54	226	44	37	6	0%	1.0	19.7%	16.5%	3.2%	2.8%	5.44	5.06	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	138	22	0%	1.1	19.7%	16.5%	3.2%	2.8%	5.44	5.06	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		96	3	146	672	116	133	9	3%	1.5	17.2%	19.8%	-2.6%	1.3%	4.44	4.89	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		132	4	200	921	158	183	12	3%	1.5	17.2%	19.8%	-2.6%	1.3%	4.44	4.89	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Eddington (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.65	18.4%	17.7%	2.7%	—	5.45	19.6%	3.1%	101	-0.20	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	90
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	89
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	88
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	87
Danny Reynolds R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	25	SU	4.72	16.6%	16.8%	1.6%	.263	3.71	16.0%	4.3%	88	-1.01	3.29	165	87
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	86
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	86
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	85
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	85
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	84
Aroni Nina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.8%	20.5%	1.1%	.312	3.04	18.8%	8.7%	64	-1.86	2.68	115	84
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	84
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	84
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	84
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	153	83
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	82
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	82
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	82
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	82
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	45	19.4%	16.8%	1.07	5.50
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99