Reny Artiles
P
Lynchburg Hillcats
Age 24
RHP
6'0" / 160 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 32 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.54
FIP4.54
K%22.5%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%11.9%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians/Brewers | 16 | 0 | 29 | 139 | 23 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 11.3% | 16.2% | -4.9% | 3.0% | 6.28 | 5.86 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians/Brewers | 16 | 0 | 29 | 139 | 23 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 16.5% | 12.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 6.28 | 4.74 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Indians | 9 | 8 | 27 | 121 | 43 | 12 | 4 | 89% | 3.0 | 24.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 2.3% | 4.94 | 3.91 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Indians | 9 | 8 | 27 | 121 | 43 | 12 | 4 | 89% | 3.0 | 35.5% | 9.9% | 25.6% | 3.3% | 4.94 | 3.17 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 15 | 3 | 29 | 166 | 23 | 46 | 3 | 20% | 1.9 | 10.3% | 32.7% | -22.4% | 2.3% | 10.99 | 7.63 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 15 | 3 | 29 | 166 | 23 | 46 | 3 | 20% | 1.9 | 13.9% | 27.7% | -13.9% | 1.8% | 10.99 | 7.67 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 20 | 0 | 28 | 148 | 23 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 11.5% | 17.5% | -6.0% | 1.7% | 7.07 | 5.28 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 20 | 0 | 28 | 148 | 23 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.5% | 14.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 7.07 | 4.74 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 32 | 0 | 52 | 240 | 62 | 35 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.1% | 17.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.63 | 4.96 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 32 | 0 | 52 | 240 | 62 | 35 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.8% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 1.2% | 3.63 | 3.48 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | CLE | 31 | 0 | 32 | 136 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 31 | 0 | 33 | 138 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.03 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 201 | 86 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 92 | 11 | 165 | 814 | 125 | 159 | 19 | 12% | 1.8 | 15.3% | 19.5% | -4.2% | 2.3% | 6.18 | 5.56 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 112 | 13 | 200 | 989 | 152 | 193 | 23 | 12% | 1.8 | 15.3% | 19.5% | -4.2% | 2.3% | 6.18 | 5.56 | -0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reny Artiles (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 22.5% | 10.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.41 | 23.0% | 13.0% | 33 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 90 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 88 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 88 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 87 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 87 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 86 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 85 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 85 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 84 |
| Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 84 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 84 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 84 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 84 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2028 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 84 |
| Cole Ayers R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.1% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .298 | 5.00 | 15.2% | -0.4% | 32 | +1.14 | 3.52 | 171 | 84 |
| Austin Smith R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 83 |
| Johnny Barbato R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 22.4% | 11.2% | 2.0% | .282 | 4.95 | 21.1% | 11.6% | 105 | +1.22 | 2.65 | 304 | 83 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 83 |
| Zach Franklin R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 83 |
| Cody Tucker R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.98 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | .272 | 5.11 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.13 | 4.98 | 105 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 32 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 1.14 | 4.49 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |