Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 10 | 3 | 21 | 101 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 30% | 2.1 | 24.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 2.0% | 5.91 | 3.73 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 10 | 3 | 21 | 101 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 30% | 2.1 | 24.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 2.0% | 5.91 | 3.80 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 46 | 195 | 49 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 1.5% | 3.13 | 3.54 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 46 | 195 | 49 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.1% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 1.0% | 3.13 | 2.58 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 52 | 227 | 58 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 3.10 | 4.02 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 52 | 227 | 58 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.6% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 1.3% | 3.10 | 3.12 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 35 | 0 | 58 | 271 | 53 | 30 | 13 | 0% | 1.7 | 15.1% | 12.7% | 2.3% | 8.2% | 6.36 | 7.93 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 35 | 0 | 58 | 271 | 53 | 30 | 13 | 0% | 1.7 | 19.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 6.36 | 5.74 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 37 | 0 | 39 | 163 | 35 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 4.87 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 33 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 4.89 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 4.89 | 4.94 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 4.89 | 4.56 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 179 | 90 | 36 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 4.89 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 115 | 3 | 178 | 794 | 151 | 96 | 31 | 3% | 1.5 | 19.0% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.51 | 5.20 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 129 | 3 | 200 | 894 | 170 | 108 | 35 | 3% | 1.5 | 19.0% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.51 | 5.20 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dylan Hall (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.87 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 3.5% | — | 4.94 | 21.5% | 11.1% | 37 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 87 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 85 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 84 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 84 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 83 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 83 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 22.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | .350 | 5.85 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 137 | +1.16 | 4.26 | 258 | 83 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.18 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .307 | 6.22 | 17.6% | 10.6% | 13 | +2.04 | 2.75 | 299 | 82 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 81 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2029 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 81 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 81 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 81 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 81 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 81 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 81 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 80 |
| Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 80 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 80 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.20 | 21.9% | 8.4% | 3.4% | .275 | 3.73 | 22.1% | 12.1% | 103 | -0.47 | 2.59 | 309 | 80 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.21 | 21.0% | 9.2% | 5.0% | .268 | 4.58 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 62 | -0.63 | 4.12 | 230 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 38 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 1.37 | 4.88 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |