Carson Fulmer
P
Indianapolis Indians
+0.1
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'0" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.58
FIP4.59
xFIP4.38
SIERA4.06
K%20.7%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%11.3%
IP48
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†5050
FB Velo
p2592.7
Whiff%
p4724.9%
K%
p4321.1%
xwOBA vs
p530.309
FB+2.4 (47%)
CH+0.6 (29%)
SI (21%)
CU (6%)
CT-0.7 (18%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 9 | 9 | 23 | 93 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.5% | 1.96 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| 2016 | 22 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 29 | 21 | 115 | 511 | 114 | 63 | 10 | 18.6% | 13.4% | 2.4% | 5.02 | 4.56 | +1.0 |
| 2017 | 23 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 32 | 30 | 149 | 671 | 115 | 78 | 22 | 15.4% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 5.48 | 5.05 | +0.4 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 34 | 17 | 100 | 468 | 91 | 65 | 18 | 17.9% | 14.3% | 3.5% | 6.21 | 5.34 | -0.0 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 44 | 2 | 61 | 285 | 76 | 41 | 7 | 24.5% | 14.8% | 2.3% | 5.43 | 4.18 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 10 | 0 | 10 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 4.35 | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 57 | 2 | 67 | 303 | 75 | 34 | 7 | 22.7% | 11.6% | 2.2% | 5.40 | 3.88 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | 49 | 1 | 57 | 242 | 62 | 33 | 4 | 22.5% | 14.3% | 1.8% | 2.86 | 4.01 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 16 | 13 | 55 | 245 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 15.4% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 5.37 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 38 | 9 | 90 | 394 | 83 | 38 | 11 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 4.12 | 4.10 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 35 | 6 | 84 | 361 | 76 | 32 | 10 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.26 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 5 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 9 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 5.56 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | PIT | 48 | — | 48 | 201 | 40 | 20 | 6 | 20.1% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 4.69 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 59 | 248 | 49 | 24 | 8 | 19.9% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.86 | 3.85 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 46 | — | 46 | 192 | 37 | 19 | 6 | 19.4% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.81 | 4.90 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | PIT | 41 | — | 41 | 172 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 18.0% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 5.09 | 5.19 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | PIT | 38 | — | 38 | 161 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 17.2% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 5.25 | 5.35 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 358 | 110 | 822 | 3666 | 707 | 457 | 103 | 19.3% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.91 | 4.59 | +6.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 27 | 200 | 892 | 172 | 111 | 25 | 19.3% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.91 | 4.59 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carson Fulmer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.77 | 20.1% | 10.0% | 3.1% | — | 5.04 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 129 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 82 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 79 |
| Logan Kensing R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 78 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 76 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.08 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .292 | 3.82 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.26 | 3.17 | 272 | 76 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 76 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.77 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% | .280 | 3.48 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.29 | 3.02 | 363 | 76 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.19 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.6% | .362 | 4.14 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.05 | 2.99 | 227 | 75 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 75 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 75 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 108 | 74 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | .319 | 2.59 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.78 | 2.00 | 380 | 74 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 74 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.31 | 14.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 131 | 73 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.75 | 20.5% | 10.7% | 3.7% | .265 | 3.96 | 21.3% | 15.8% | 110 | -0.79 | 2.89 | 227 | 73 |
| Hector Navarro R 2029 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 72 |
| Jeff Manship R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 114 | 72 |
| André Rienzo R 2025 · 5.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.33 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.1% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 200 | 72 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 72 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.82 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 101 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.