Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rays | 8 | 7 | 24 | 101 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 88% | 3.0 | 17.5% | 13.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.04 | 5.08 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rays | 8 | 7 | 24 | 101 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 88% | 3.0 | 25.7% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 2.0% | 3.04 | 3.40 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rays | 14 | 11 | 54 | 225 | 52 | 12 | 5 | 79% | 3.9 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 2.4% | 4.14 | 3.91 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rays | 14 | 11 | 54 | 225 | 52 | 12 | 5 | 79% | 3.9 | 23.1% | 5.3% | 17.8% | 2.2% | 4.14 | 3.04 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | 12 | 6 | 38 | 173 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 50% | 3.1 | 9.8% | 12.3% | -2.5% | 6.5% | 4.54 | 7.42 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | 12 | 6 | 38 | 173 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 50% | 3.1 | 14.5% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.85 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | TB | 5 | 5 | 25 | 104 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 4.9 | 21.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TB | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.3% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TB | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.3% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.3% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.06 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 74 | 19 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.3% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 24 | 116 | 499 | 70 | 50 | 20 | 71% | 3.4 | 14.0% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.05 | 5.36 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 41 | 200 | 863 | 121 | 86 | 34 | 71% | 3.4 | 14.0% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.05 | 5.36 | +0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jharold Clemente (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 21.6% | 9.4% | 3.1% | — | 4.44 | 22.3% | 13.3% | 25 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 87 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 87 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 86 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 85 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 83 |
| Ray Gaither R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 83 |
| Ricky Castro R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 83 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 82 |
| Colin Fields R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 82 |
| Nick Fraze R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.68 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .271 | 4.64 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 162 | -0.04 | 3.81 | 278 | 81 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 81 |
| Grant Judkins R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.40 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.85 | 16.4% | 5.4% | 150 | +0.45 | 5.40 | 322 | 80 |
| Blair Henley R 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 79 |
| Keith Rogalla R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.55 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .344 | 3.62 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 65 | +0.07 | 3.00 | 113 | 79 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 79 |
| Clay Chandler R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.97 | 18.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .319 | 5.05 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 293 | +0.08 | 4.82 | 328 | 78 |
| J.C. Flowers R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.39 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 1.9% | 184 | +1.56 | 3.39 | 281 | 78 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2029 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 77 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 77 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 77 |