Edgar Leon — OGILVIE

Edgar Leon P DSL Tigers 2

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.88

FIP5.88

K%21.1%

BB%20.4%

K-BB%0.7%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	13	10	30	133	21	22	1	77%	2.3	10.7%	20.7%	-9.9%	1.1%	2.97	5.41	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	13	10	30	133	21	22	1	77%	2.3	15.8%	16.5%	-0.8%	0.8%	2.97	4.32	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	13	11	31	138	37	17	2	85%	2.4	18.2%	15.4%	2.8%	1.5%	3.73	4.36	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	13	11	31	138	37	17	2	85%	2.4	18.2%	15.4%	2.8%	1.5%	3.73	4.36	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	13	11	31	138	37	17	2	85%	2.4	26.8%	12.3%	14.5%	1.4%	3.73	3.20	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	11	10	40	174	39	21	1	91%	3.6	15.2%	15.1%	0.2%	0.7%	3.38	4.13	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	11	10	40	174	39	21	1	91%	3.6	15.2%	15.1%	0.2%	0.7%	3.38	4.13	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	11	10	40	174	39	21	1	91%	3.6	22.4%	12.1%	10.3%	0.6%	3.38	3.05	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	29	136	42	31	3	0%	1.8	21.1%	29.1%	-8.0%	1.8%	5.22	6.01	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	29	136	42	31	3	0%	1.8	21.1%	29.1%	-8.0%	1.8%	5.22	6.01	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	29	136	42	31	3	0%	1.8	30.9%	22.8%	8.1%	2.2%	5.22	4.74	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	9	2	14	78	20	12	1	22%	1.6	17.4%	19.2%	-1.8%	1.8%	8.79	5.05	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	9	2	14	78	20	12	1	22%	1.6	17.4%	19.2%	-1.8%	1.8%	8.79	5.05	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	LAA	9	2	14	78	20	12	1	22%	1.6	25.6%	15.4%	10.3%	1.3%	8.79	3.59	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAA	36	0	38	160	35	27	5	0%	1.0	22.2%	17.0%	5.3%	2.8%	5.48	5.32	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAA	18	0	19	80	18	14	2	0%	1.1	22.2%	17.0%	5.3%	2.8%	5.48	5.32	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	19	78	17	13	2	0%	1.0	22.2%	17.0%	5.3%	2.8%	5.48	4.94	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	140	22	0%	1.1	22.2%	17.0%	5.3%	2.8%	5.48	4.94	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		62	33	145	659	108	130	9	53%	2.3	16.4%	19.7%	-3.2%	1.3%	4.27	4.93	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	45	200	907	149	178	12	53%	2.3	16.4%	19.7%	-3.2%	1.3%	4.27	4.93	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edgar Leon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.88	21.1%	20.4%	2.9%	—	5.32	22.2%	5.3%	38	-0.56	—	—	—
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	83
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	82
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	82
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	211	81
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	81
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	81
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	80
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	80
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	80
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	79
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	76
Yeiber Cartaya R 2023 · 5.38 FIP	20	SW	5.38	16.4%	21.2%	1.8%	.307	4.38	20.4%	3.8%	235	-1.00	4.12	283	76
Sunayro Martina R 2023 · 4.79 FIP	19	SP-	4.79	17.6%	21.9%	0.7%	.247	5.46	14.4%	-4.0%	90	+0.67	4.57	118	76
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	76
Ronny Lopez R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	20	SW	5.33	15.1%	20.6%	1.6%	.232	5.01	13.7%	-5.7%	85	-0.32	4.23	121	75
Kevin Abel R 2022 · 5.92 FIP	23	SW	5.92	25.2%	22.4%	3.9%	.441	4.63	18.6%	4.5%	308	-1.29	4.50	448	75
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	75
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	75
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	75
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	21.8%	18.1%	1.11	5.61
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48