Nestor Lorant
P
Dayton Dragons
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
A+
peak 0.8 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION57 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133123vR 114
ERA5.04
FIP5.04
K%15.1%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%4.5%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 124 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Reds | 6 | 4 | 20 | 88 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 67% | 3.4 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 4.43 | 3.75 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Reds | 6 | 4 | 20 | 88 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 67% | 3.4 | 22.7% | 6.8% | 15.9% | 1.1% | 4.43 | 2.66 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Reds | 9 | 9 | 33 | 132 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 100% | 3.7 | 23.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 0.9% | 2.70 | 3.06 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Reds | 9 | 9 | 33 | 132 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 100% | 3.7 | 34.1% | 9.1% | 25.0% | 0.8% | 2.70 | 1.87 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Reds | 11 | 2 | 33 | 142 | 47 | 15 | 2 | 18% | 3.0 | 22.5% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 2.1% | 4.05 | 4.02 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Reds | 11 | 2 | 33 | 142 | 47 | 15 | 2 | 18% | 3.0 | 33.1% | 10.6% | 22.5% | 1.4% | 4.05 | 2.41 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 6 | 38 | 165 | 43 | 25 | 4 | 43% | 2.7 | 18.7% | 18.2% | 0.4% | 2.9% | 5.02 | 5.44 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 6 | 38 | 165 | 43 | 25 | 4 | 43% | 2.7 | 26.1% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 2.4% | 5.02 | 4.19 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 8 | 96 | 367 | 109 | 24 | 3 | 32% | 3.9 | 22.3% | 7.2% | 15.1% | 1.0% | 1.68 | 2.69 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 8 | 96 | 367 | 109 | 24 | 3 | 32% | 3.9 | 29.7% | 6.5% | 23.2% | 0.8% | 1.68 | 1.99 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 24 | 23 | 98 | 462 | 91 | 39 | 11 | 96% | 4.1 | 15.2% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 5.79 | 4.36 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 24 | 23 | 98 | 462 | 91 | 39 | 11 | 96% | 4.1 | 19.7% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 2.4% | 5.79 | 3.90 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 11 | 9 | 57 | 236 | 78 | 23 | 8 | 82% | 5.2 | 25.8% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 4.2% | 3.00 | 4.64 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 67 | 284 | 43 | 30 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.1% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.04 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.1% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.04 | 5.04 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 124 | 520 | 121 | 53 | 16 | — | — | 23.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.10 | 4.85 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 15.1% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.04 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 48 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 4.90 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 50 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 4.82 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 50 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 4.90 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 4.82 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 39 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 4.80 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 21 | 127 | 534 | 93 | 54 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 4.83 | 4.43 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 147 | 85 | 24 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 4.83 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 100 | 61 | 376 | 1592 | 320 | 169 | 35 | 61% | 3.8 | 20.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 2.2% | 3.73 | 3.96 | +6.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 32 | 200 | 847 | 170 | 90 | 19 | 61% | 3.8 | 20.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 2.2% | 3.73 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nestor Lorant (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.04 | 15.1% | 10.6% | 2.7% | — | 4.82 | 17.4% | 7.2% | 203 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 88 |
| Carlos Sano R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 86 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 85 |
| Nick Belzer R 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.23 | 14.5% | 9.1% | 2.2% | .291 | 4.55 | 12.8% | 4.2% | 63 | +0.32 | 4.23 | 112 | 85 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 83 |
| Justin Dillon R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .265 | 4.34 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 124 | -0.89 | 3.63 | 239 | 83 |
| Trenton Toplikar R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.30 | 14.8% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .248 | 5.60 | 16.5% | 6.4% | 123 | +1.30 | 4.30 | 232 | 83 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 82 |
| Carlos Frías R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .320 | 4.70 | 13.0% | 2.6% | 74 | +0.54 | 3.64 | 204 | 82 |
| Casey Steward R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.79 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 191 | 82 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2029 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 81 |
| Zach Lewis R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.04 | 14.9% | 9.4% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 266 | 81 |
| Matt Ager R 2025 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 146 | 81 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.22 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .293 | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 274 | -0.65 | 4.00 | 512 | 81 |
| Matt Solter R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.60 | 16.0% | 11.0% | 2.7% | .309 | 3.94 | 16.9% | 4.3% | 66 | -0.66 | 3.94 | 224 | 81 |
| Nick Payero R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.06 | 16.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | .285 | 5.72 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 107 | +1.66 | 4.06 | 178 | 81 |
| Drew Steckenrider R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.10 | 14.2% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .318 | 3.05 | 29.7% | 20.4% | 175 | -1.05 | 2.65 | 392 | 81 |
| Matt Peacock R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.22 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .300 | 4.20 | 13.6% | 5.2% | 202 | -0.02 | 3.96 | 354 | 81 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 81 |
| Matt Marsh R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.87 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.34 | 3.13 | 143 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 16.8% | 10.3% | 1.06 | 4.89 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |