Reynardo Cruz — OGILVIE

Reynardo Cruz P Dayton Dragons

+0.0 WAR

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 165 lbs A+ peak 0.4 · 2027

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.5%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%10.2%

IP66

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2027

STUF3535

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†4550

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	ACL Reds	11	6	38	169	56	20	2	22.5%	14.8%	1.5%	2.35	3.90	+0.5
2022	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	14	6	40	175	38	27	3	16.1%	18.2%	2.7%	5.40	5.55	-0.3
2025	23	A	Daytona Tortugas	20	7	66	295	67	43	4	16.3%	17.5%	1.6%	4.36	4.84	+0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	A+	Dayton Dragons	2	2	9	41	11	5	0	—	—	—	3.00	—	—
ROS	24	MLB	CIN	12	12	66	279	55	40	8	19.7%	14.2%	2.8%	5.17	5.17	-0.1
2026 Total	24	MLB	CIN	—	—	75	320	66	45	8	20.6%	13.9%	2.5%	4.91	4.55	+0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	25	MLB	CIN	12	12	67	282	58	37	8	20.5%	13.2%	2.8%	5.02	4.98	+0.0
2028	26	MLB	CIN	12	12	67	282	59	36	8	20.9%	12.8%	2.9%	4.93	4.91	+0.1
2029	27	MLB	CIN	12	12	66	280	59	35	8	21.1%	12.7%	2.9%	4.89	4.88	+0.1
2030	28	MLB	CIN	12	12	65	276	58	35	8	21.1%	12.6%	2.9%	4.89	4.90	+0.1
2031	29	MLB	CIN	12	12	64	269	56	34	8	20.9%	12.7%	3.0%	4.92	4.94	+0.0
2032	30	MLB	CIN	11	11	62	261	54	33	8	20.7%	12.8%	3.0%	4.97	5.00	-0.0
2033	31	MLB	CIN	60	—	60	252	52	33	8	20.5%	12.9%	3.1%	5.03	5.08	-0.1
2034	32	MLB	CIN	57	—	57	242	49	32	8	20.2%	13.1%	3.2%	5.11	5.16	-0.1
2035	33	MLB	CIN	55	—	55	231	46	31	8	19.9%	13.3%	3.3%	5.20	5.26	-0.2
2036	34	MLB	CIN	52	—	52	220	43	30	7	19.6%	13.5%	3.4%	5.30	5.37	-0.2
2037	35	MLB	CIN	49	—	49	207	40	28	7	19.2%	13.7%	3.5%	5.42	5.49	-0.3
2038	36	MLB	CIN	46	—	46	193	36	27	7	18.8%	13.9%	3.6%	5.54	5.63	-0.4
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			47	21	153	680	125	114	12	18.4%	16.7%	1.8%	4.05	4.64	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—			61	27	200	887	163	149	16	18.4%	16.7%	1.8%	4.05	4.64	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reynardo Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.17	19.7%	14.2%	2.8%	—	4.92	20.8%	7.9%	200	-0.25	—	—	—
David Trexler R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	17.7%	13.4%	2.3%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.14	4.44	100	93
Max Alba R 2026 · 4.50 FIP	24	SW	4.50	20.6%	12.6%	2.8%	.290	4.91	17.8%	11.6%	162	+0.41	4.50	217	92
Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.59 FIP	25	SW	4.59	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.54	16.5%	2.8%	182	-0.05	3.49	237	92
Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	3.96	20.3%	11.1%	143	-0.28	3.84	206	92
Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	24	SW	4.56	19.8%	15.3%	2.2%	.283	4.53	18.5%	9.4%	111	-0.03	3.33	223	91
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.72	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.14	4.04	404	91
Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.56 FIP	24	SW	5.56	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.02	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.54	3.62	109	90
Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.61 FIP	24	SW	4.61	22.7%	15.4%	2.7%	.298	4.70	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.09	4.23	222	90
David Griffin R 2027 · 4.42 FIP	25	SW	4.42	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.32	15.6%	5.5%	168	+0.90	4.42	239	90
Pat Light R 2026 · 4.34 FIP	24	SW	4.34	20.9%	14.5%	2.1%	.270	4.39	16.4%	2.8%	110	+0.05	4.15	172	90
Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.91 FIP	24	SW	4.91	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.68	22.3%	12.1%	127	-0.23	3.38	188	90
Matt Lollis R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	24	SW	4.56	18.5%	12.2%	2.7%	.237	5.00	19.2%	4.7%	56	+0.44	4.56	120	89
Carlos Contreras R 2026 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.48	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.31	107	88
Aaron Kurcz R 2026 · 4.00 FIP	24	SW	4.00	22.4%	13.6%	2.0%	.331	4.03	16.1%	8.0%	105	+0.03	3.31	213	88
Ryan Ledbetter R 2026 · 4.75 FIP	24	SW	4.75	18.5%	12.3%	3.0%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	4.75	124	88
Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.51 FIP	24	SW	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.42	155	88
Antonio Knowles R 2026 · 4.57 FIP	24	SW	4.57	20.9%	15.1%	2.4%	.250	3.24	23.1%	15.7%	44	-1.33	3.24	201	88
Jack Sinclair R 2026 · 4.92 FIP	24	SW	4.92	19.2%	12.5%	3.4%	.258	4.01	20.2%	8.2%	121	-0.91	2.86	245	87
Jairo Díaz R 2026 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	18.8%	13.6%	2.4%	.281	3.31	20.2%	10.3%	18	-1.23	2.97	190	87
Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.47 FIP	24	SW	5.47	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.60	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.87	4.27	132	87

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.