Reynardo Cruz
P
Dayton Dragons
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 165 lbs
A+
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION72 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153144vR 135
ERA6.00
FIP6.00
K%15.3%
BB%17.8%
K-BB%-2.5%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 136 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Reds | 11 | 6 | 38 | 169 | 56 | 20 | 2 | 55% | 3.5 | 22.5% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 2.35 | 3.94 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Reds | 11 | 6 | 38 | 169 | 56 | 20 | 2 | 55% | 3.5 | 33.1% | 11.8% | 21.3% | 1.2% | 2.35 | 2.42 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 14 | 6 | 40 | 175 | 38 | 27 | 3 | 43% | 2.9 | 16.1% | 18.2% | -2.1% | 2.9% | 5.40 | 5.65 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 14 | 6 | 40 | 175 | 38 | 27 | 3 | 43% | 2.9 | 21.7% | 15.4% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 5.40 | 4.20 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 7 | 66 | 295 | 67 | 43 | 4 | 35% | 3.3 | 16.3% | 17.5% | -1.2% | 1.6% | 4.36 | 4.79 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 7 | 66 | 295 | 67 | 43 | 4 | 35% | 3.3 | 22.7% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 4.36 | 3.81 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 16 | 16 | 72 | 324 | 75 | 51 | 10 | 100% | 4.5 | 17.8% | 18.1% | -0.3% | 3.9% | 5.65 | 6.01 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CIN | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 42 | 49 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 15.3% | 17.8% | -2.5% | 2.8% | 6.00 | 6.00 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.3% | 17.8% | -2.5% | 2.8% | 6.00 | 6.00 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 136 | 598 | 117 | 100 | 18 | — | — | 19.5% | 16.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.82 | 6.00 | -1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 15.3% | 17.8% | -2.5% | 2.8% | 6.00 | 5.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 48 | 45 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.8% | 15.8% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 5.70 | 5.62 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 51 | 44 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.6% | 15.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.53 | 5.49 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.9% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.47 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 21 | 19 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.8% | 15.8% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 5.70 | 5.62 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 33 | 29 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.6% | 15.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.53 | 5.49 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.9% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.47 | 5.47 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 21 | 127 | 534 | 94 | 82 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.5% | 15.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.55 | 5.13 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 149 | 130 | 24 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.5% | 15.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.55 | 5.13 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 61 | 35 | 216 | 963 | 172 | 167 | 25 | 57% | 3.5 | 17.9% | 17.4% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 4.62 | 5.21 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 32 | 200 | 892 | 159 | 155 | 23 | 57% | 3.5 | 17.9% | 17.4% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 4.62 | 5.21 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reynardo Cruz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.00 | 15.3% | 17.8% | 2.8% | — | 5.53 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 203 | -0.47 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Thurman R 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 24 | SP- | 6.01 | 14.4% | 16.9% | 3.6% | .291 | 2.59 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 25 | -3.42 | 2.59 | 237 | 88 |
| Ramsey David R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 18.6% | 17.4% | 2.7% | .219 | 7.27 | 19.1% | -0.7% | 30 | +2.04 | 5.23 | 107 | 83 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 83 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 81 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.30 | 16.1% | 17.9% | 2.4% | .285 | 4.38 | 20.9% | 5.2% | 137 | -0.92 | 4.13 | 217 | 80 |
| Carlson Reed R 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.9% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 237 | 80 |
| Boone Whiting R 2027 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.21 | 11.3% | 13.9% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.78 | 10.9% | 4.8% | 132 | -0.43 | 4.78 | 227 | 79 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 77 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.33 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.0% | .227 | 4.60 | 17.4% | 5.6% | 142 | -0.73 | 4.60 | 529 | 77 |
| Carlos Tavera R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.54 | 19.6% | 17.3% | 3.5% | .267 | 5.35 | 19.4% | 4.8% | 114 | -0.19 | 4.12 | 263 | 75 |
| Sam Whiting R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.13 | 14.3% | 15.1% | 2.4% | .309 | 7.73 | 17.8% | 2.4% | 17 | +2.60 | 4.17 | 152 | 75 |
| Cory Lewis R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 20.9% | 19.5% | 2.6% | .354 | 5.34 | 19.5% | 4.8% | 44 | +0.11 | 3.39 | 284 | 75 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 75 |
| Paul Clemens R 2029 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 74 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2025 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 74 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2025 · 5.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.93 | 17.4% | 15.3% | 4.3% | .228 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 74 |
| Tanner Hall R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.39 | 10.1% | 14.7% | 2.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 137 | 73 |
| John West R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.06 | 14.0% | 15.1% | 2.2% | .255 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.06 | 161 | 73 |
| R.J. Freure R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.83 | 21.7% | 16.2% | 4.6% | .298 | 6.05 | 20.3% | 0.1% | 26 | +0.22 | 5.19 | 196 | 72 |
| Oscar Verdugo R 2027 · 6.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 6.84 | 10.5% | 13.9% | 5.2% | .241 | 6.16 | 10.8% | -1.8% | 74 | -0.68 | 5.39 | 144 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 16.9% | 16.0% | 1.10 | 5.67 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |