Trayson Kubo — OGILVIE

Trayson Kubo P Midland RockHounds

Age 28 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%22.4%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics Gold	11	5	18	96	28	12	2	45%	1.7	19.8%	15.6%	4.2%	2.9%	8.84	5.01	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	AZL Athletics Gold	11	5	18	96	28	12	2	45%	1.7	29.2%	12.5%	16.7%	2.1%	8.84	3.43	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	2	21	114	20	14	1	18%	1.9	12.8%	14.8%	-1.9%	1.1%	5.91	4.48	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	2	21	114	20	14	1	18%	1.9	17.5%	12.3%	5.3%	0.9%	5.91	3.80	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	51	228	61	32	4	0%	1.3	19.8%	17.0%	2.8%	2.5%	4.21	4.96	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	51	228	61	32	4	0%	1.3	26.8%	14.0%	12.7%	1.8%	4.21	3.61	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	21	0	23	116	28	20	3	0%	1.1	19.6%	19.0%	0.6%	3.2%	9.13	5.63	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	21	0	23	116	28	20	3	0%	1.1	19.6%	19.0%	0.6%	3.2%	9.13	5.63	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	21	0	23	116	28	20	3	0%	1.1	24.1%	17.2%	6.9%	2.6%	9.13	5.00	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	OAK	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	22.4%	12.0%	10.4%	3.0%	4.76	4.76	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	OAK	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.0%	10.3%	3.2%	4.79	4.85	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	OAK	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.3%	12.0%	10.3%	3.2%	4.79	4.85	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.3%	12.0%	10.3%	3.2%	4.79	4.47	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.0%	10.3%	3.2%	4.79	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		82	7	114	554	101	93	14	9%	1.4	18.3%	16.7%	1.6%	2.4%	6.26	5.01	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		144	12	200	975	179	163	24	9%	1.4	18.3%	16.7%	1.6%	2.4%	6.26	5.01	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trayson Kubo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	22.4%	12.0%	3.0%	—	4.85	22.3%	10.3%	20	+0.09	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	83
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	81
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	81
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	80
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	79
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	79
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	79
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	79
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	78
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	28	SU	4.43	23.3%	13.6%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	315	78
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	78
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	78
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	78
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	78
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	78
José Cisnero R 2016 · 4.50 FIP	27	SU	4.50	26.1%	11.7%	3.9%	.367	3.90	24.5%	13.3%	75	-0.60	2.26	279	77
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	77
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	77