Sunayro Martina
P
FCL Yankees
+0.1
WAR
Age 22
RHP
6'3" / 165 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.3 · 2029
ERA4.71
FIP4.71
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.5%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%9.7%
IP32
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2029
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 12 | 6 | 28 | 131 | 34 | 23 | 1 | 17.6% | 21.9% | 0.7% | 3.86 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 11 | 3 | 19 | 96 | 23 | 13 | 1 | 16.3% | 16.9% | 1.2% | 8.53 | 4.51 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 18 | 4 | 48 | 239 | 50 | 40 | 4 | 14.6% | 20.4% | 1.4% | 5.96 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | NYY | 32 | — | 32 | 135 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 21.5% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.71 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 33 | — | 33 | 140 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 22.4% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.48 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 34 | — | 34 | 143 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 23.0% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.33 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 34 | — | 34 | 145 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.24 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 34 | — | 34 | 145 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.22 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 4.24 | 4.23 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 34 | — | 34 | 141 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.26 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 33 | — | 33 | 138 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.30 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 32 | — | 32 | 134 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 23.2% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.36 | +0.2 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 31 | — | 31 | 129 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.44 | +0.2 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 29 | — | 29 | 124 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.52 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 41 | 13 | 95 | 466 | 74 | 94 | 5 | 15.8% | 20.1% | 1.1% | 5.85 | 4.95 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 86 | 27 | 200 | 978 | 155 | 197 | 10 | 15.8% | 20.1% | 1.1% | 5.85 | 4.95 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sunayro Martina (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 21.5% | 11.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.35 | 22.9% | 12.9% | 101 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| Jordan Mikel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.49 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 2.8% | .330 | 4.17 | 19.2% | 9.0% | 109 | -0.32 | 3.05 | 195 | 93 |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.30 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -0.86 | 2.92 | 367 | 92 |
| Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.89 | 439 | 92 |
| Kyle Marman R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 2.0% | .270 | 5.16 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 71 | +1.19 | 3.97 | 117 | 91 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.42 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.54 | 3.19 | 181 | 91 |
| Cole Gordon R 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.10 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.3% | .243 | 5.19 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.09 | 4.10 | 112 | 90 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.48 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.10 | 4.15 | 338 | 90 |
| Peyton Williams R 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.66 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.87 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.21 | 3.66 | 123 | 90 |
| Ismael Cabrera R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 3.2% | .276 | 5.22 | 16.9% | 6.5% | 95 | +0.43 | 3.56 | 133 | 90 |
| Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.81 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.1% | .258 | 4.53 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.72 | 3.81 | 145 | 90 |
| Hunter Dula R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.90 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .340 | 4.56 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 91 | +0.66 | 3.90 | 132 | 90 |
| Chad Patrick R 2027 · 3.82 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.82 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.1% | .315 | 4.23 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.41 | 3.72 | 483 | 89 |
| Will Kincanon R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.75 | 20.2% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.76 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 58 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 122 | 89 |
| Sean Isaac R 2027 · 4.27 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.27 | 19.5% | 12.3% | 2.3% | .342 | 3.77 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 128 | -0.50 | 3.27 | 155 | 89 |
| TJ Shook R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.90 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 3.4% | .311 | 4.99 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 296 | +0.09 | 3.35 | 394 | 89 |
| Juan Mendez R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.50 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.08 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.58 | 3.73 | 156 | 89 |
| Austin Smith R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.85 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .274 | 5.19 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.34 | 3.85 | 100 | 89 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 3.95 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 96 | -0.00 | 3.37 | 134 | 89 |
| Mason Fox R 2025 · 3.59 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.59 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .260 | 6.61 | 21.3% | 4.8% | 30 | +3.02 | 3.59 | 112 | 88 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2028 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .261 | 3.88 | 20.1% | 9.3% | 114 | -0.55 | 3.82 | 142 | 88 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.0M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.6M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.7M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.4M |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $4M | $6M | +$2M | ||