Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL HOU Orange | 10 | 1 | 20 | 93 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 10% | 2.0 | 19.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 6.64 | 5.52 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL HOU Orange | 10 | 1 | 20 | 93 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 10% | 2.0 | 28.0% | 6.5% | 21.5% | 3.2% | 6.64 | 3.35 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 13 | 2 | 27 | 131 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 15% | 2.1 | 14.5% | 15.3% | -0.7% | 2.4% | 5.93 | 5.11 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 13 | 2 | 27 | 131 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 15% | 2.1 | 21.4% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 1.5% | 5.93 | 3.76 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | FCL Astros | 8 | 2 | 21 | 102 | 25 | 17 | 0 | 25% | 2.6 | 16.7% | 20.8% | -4.2% | 0.0% | 5.23 | 4.33 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | FCL Astros | 8 | 2 | 21 | 102 | 25 | 17 | 0 | 25% | 2.6 | 24.5% | 16.7% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 5.23 | 3.15 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 6 | 43 | 187 | 45 | 24 | 0 | 38% | 2.7 | 16.8% | 15.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 2.72 | 3.64 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 6 | 43 | 187 | 45 | 24 | 0 | 38% | 2.7 | 24.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 2.72 | 2.68 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | HOU | 20 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 3.98 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 199 | 88 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 47 | 11 | 111 | 513 | 85 | 78 | 8 | 23% | 2.4 | 16.6% | 15.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 4.69 | 4.49 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 20 | 200 | 922 | 153 | 139 | 15 | 23% | 2.4 | 16.6% | 15.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 4.69 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| David Landeta (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 2.7% | — | 4.36 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 21 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.60 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .239 | 5.26 | 21.3% | 3.7% | 54 | +1.66 | 3.60 | 127 | 85 |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 85 |
| Trent Fennell R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 85 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 83 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 83 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 83 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 82 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 82 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 81 |
| Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 81 |
| Zac Ryan R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 81 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 81 |
| Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 79 |
| Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .341 | 4.64 | 15.7% | 4.0% | 343 | +0.30 | 3.76 | 467 | 78 |
| Tyler Santana R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.36 | 20.3% | 15.1% | 1.9% | .333 | 4.38 | 16.0% | 5.7% | 259 | +0.02 | 3.41 | 390 | 78 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 78 |
| Todd Peterson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.37 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.87 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 124 | -0.50 | 4.46 | 175 | 78 |
| Chris Powell R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.81 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .266 | 3.42 | 18.8% | 15.1% | 28 | -0.39 | 3.31 | 102 | 78 |
| William Kempner R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .277 | 3.32 | 29.2% | 14.5% | 112 | -0.62 | 3.29 | 173 | 78 |
| Carlos Espinosa R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.33 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 3.2% | .325 | 4.98 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 42 | +0.65 | 3.69 | 247 | 78 |