Blake Holub
P
Nashville Sounds
+0.2
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 237 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.9%
BB%13.2%
K-BB%10.7%
IP39
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL2525
CMD4545
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 32 | 4 | 52 | 235 | 68 | 31 | 5 | 21.7% | 15.3% | 2.6% | 6.23 | 4.62 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 48 | 0 | 65 | 259 | 76 | 17 | 9 | 23.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.03 | 4.44 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 45 | 0 | 50 | 219 | 59 | 27 | 2 | 22.8% | 13.1% | 1.1% | 4.17 | 3.42 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 39 | 0 | 41 | 185 | 53 | 31 | 1 | 25.2% | 17.6% | 0.5% | 3.70 | 3.50 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 7 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 3.52 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIL | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 41 | 25 | 4 | 24.5% | 14.9% | 2.3% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 47 | 201 | 48 | 29 | 5 | 23.7% | 14.3% | 2.4% | 4.37 | 3.80 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 39 | — | 39 | 163 | 40 | 23 | 4 | 24.4% | 14.3% | 2.4% | 4.54 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 38 | — | 38 | 160 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 24.2% | 14.0% | 2.5% | 4.55 | 4.57 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 37 | — | 37 | 155 | 37 | 22 | 4 | 23.9% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 4.59 | 4.62 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | MIL | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 35 | 21 | 4 | 23.7% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 4.65 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | MIL | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 34 | 20 | 4 | 23.4% | 14.1% | 2.7% | 4.73 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 32 | — | 32 | 137 | 32 | 20 | 4 | 23.1% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.82 | 4.87 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 31 | — | 31 | 130 | 30 | 19 | 4 | 22.8% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.92 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | MIL | 29 | — | 29 | 123 | 27 | 18 | 4 | 22.4% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 5.03 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 171 | 4 | 216 | 933 | 215 | 120 | 22 | 23.0% | 12.9% | 2.3% | 4.21 | 4.06 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 158 | 4 | 200 | 864 | 199 | 111 | 20 | 23.0% | 12.9% | 2.3% | 4.21 | 4.06 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Blake Holub (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 24.5% | 14.9% | 2.3% | — | 4.58 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 113 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.93 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.99 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +1.06 | 3.83 | 181 | 88 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.41 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.4% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 154 | 84 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 83 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.41 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .360 | 5.38 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.97 | 3.46 | 173 | 83 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 83 |
| Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 83 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 82 |
| Jeff Johnson R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.71 | 23.6% | 15.6% | 1.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 160 | 82 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 82 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 117 | 81 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.34 | 20.2% | 16.4% | 1.6% | .266 | 4.24 | 15.3% | 9.9% | 41 | -0.10 | 2.90 | 140 | 81 |
| Cayne Ueckert R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 23.4% | 14.0% | 1.9% | .337 | 5.65 | 19.2% | 4.6% | 64 | +1.71 | 3.94 | 205 | 80 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.68 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 142 | 80 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.24 | 24.3% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .324 | 5.10 | 16.4% | 0.9% | 62 | -0.14 | 3.46 | 183 | 80 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.34 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.29 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.05 | 4.00 | 138 | 80 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.65 | 25.5% | 12.6% | 2.0% | .272 | 2.48 | 19.9% | 14.3% | 37 | -1.17 | 2.48 | 138 | 79 |
| Alex Hoppe R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 2.0% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 176 | 79 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.47 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | -0.13 | 3.16 | 254 | 79 |
| Preston Johnson R 2024 · 5.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.12 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.9% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 104 | 79 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.02 | 24.7% | 17.3% | 1.5% | .189 | 4.24 | 22.4% | 9.7% | 54 | +0.22 | 3.65 | 197 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.