Blake Treinen
P
Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 38
RHP
6'5" / 225 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9989vR 80
ERA3.33
FIP3.45
K%27.7%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%18.8%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p5325.7%
K%
p6525.0%
xwOBA vs
p200.348
CT (10%)
SI (37%)
FB-0.6 (49%)
SL-1.0 (42%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 80 | 323 | 79 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 1.4% | 3.28 | 3.10 | +1.7 |
| 2015 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 80 | 323 | 79 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.5% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 1.2% | 3.28 | 2.79 | +2.0 |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 73 | 0 | 67 | 263 | 63 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 1.9% | 2.28 | 3.32 | +1.1 |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 73 | 0 | 67 | 263 | 63 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 1.9% | 2.28 | 3.31 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 29 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 72 | 0 | 76 | 325 | 74 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 6.8% | 16.0% | 1.9% | 3.93 | 3.10 | +1.6 |
| 2017 | 29 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 72 | 0 | 76 | 325 | 74 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 6.8% | 16.0% | 1.8% | 3.93 | 3.05 | +1.6 |
| 2018 | 30 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 68 | 0 | 80 | 315 | 100 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.7% | 5.7% | 26.0% | 0.7% | 0.78 | 1.51 | +3.3 |
| 2018 | 30 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 68 | 0 | 80 | 315 | 100 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.7% | 5.7% | 26.0% | 0.6% | 0.78 | 1.61 | +3.2 |
| 2019 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 60 | 272 | 59 | 36 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 5.28 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 60 | 272 | 59 | 36 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 5.28 | 5.33 | -0.5 |
| 2020 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 27 | 0 | 26 | 107 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 6.5% | 14.0% | 1.0% | 3.86 | 2.74 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 27 | 0 | 26 | 107 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 6.5% | 14.0% | 0.9% | 3.86 | 2.71 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 33 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 72 | 0 | 72 | 286 | 85 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.7% | 8.4% | 21.3% | 1.9% | 1.99 | 2.67 | +1.8 |
| 2021 | 33 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 72 | 0 | 72 | 286 | 85 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.7% | 8.4% | 21.3% | 1.7% | 1.99 | 2.64 | +1.8 |
| 2022 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 31.9% | 2.1% | 29.8% | 2.1% | 3.27 | 1.84 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 31.9% | 2.1% | 29.8% | 2.1% | 3.27 | 1.83 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 33% | 0.8 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 11.57 | 2.72 | — |
| 2023 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 33% | 0.8 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 11.57 | 2.67 | — |
| 2024 | 36 | MIX | 3 levels | 56 | 1 | 52 | 207 | 65 | 11 | 5 | 2% | 0.9 | 30.4% | 6.0% | 24.5% | 2.9% | 2.60 | 2.87 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 36 | MIX | 3 levels | 56 | 1 | 52 | 207 | 65 | 11 | 5 | 2% | 0.9 | 31.4% | 5.3% | 26.1% | 2.4% | 2.60 | 2.48 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 37 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 1 | 34 | 153 | 46 | 16 | 5 | 3% | 0.9 | 27.9% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 3.3% | 4.54 | 4.02 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 37 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 1 | 34 | 153 | 46 | 16 | 5 | 3% | 0.9 | 30.1% | 10.5% | 19.6% | 3.3% | 4.54 | 3.72 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 29 | 0 | 23 | 100 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 17.0% | 2.0% | 3.52 | 3.10 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 38 | MLB | LAD | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.7% | 8.9% | 18.8% | 2.8% | 3.33 | 3.45 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 38 | MLB | LAD | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.7% | 8.9% | 18.8% | 2.8% | 3.33 | 3.45 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 38 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 45 | 192 | 50 | 16 | 5 | — | — | 26.3% | 8.4% | 17.8% | 2.4% | 3.43 | 3.27 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 38 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 45 | 189 | 50 | 16 | 5 | — | — | 26.7% | 8.6% | 18.1% | 2.4% | 3.43 | 3.27 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 39 | MLB | LAD | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 47 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 3.3% | 4.01 | 4.23 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 40 | MLB | LAD | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 39 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 3.7% | 4.40 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 41 | MLB | LAD | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 4.2% | 4.82 | 5.10 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 39 | MLB | LAD | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 48 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 3.3% | 4.01 | 4.23 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 40 | MLB | LAD | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 39 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 3.7% | 4.40 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 41 | MLB | LAD | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 4.2% | 4.82 | 5.10 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 669 | 0 | 679 | 2823 | 735 | 248 | 64 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 2.3% | 3.21 | 3.25 | +17.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 197 | 0 | 200 | 831 | 216 | 73 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 2.3% | 3.21 | 3.25 | +5.0 | ||
| Career | — | 574 | 3 | 582 | 2409 | 627 | 203 | 48 | 1% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 8.4% | 17.6% | 2.0% | 3.03 | 3.06 | +15.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 197 | 1 | 200 | 827 | 215 | 70 | 16 | 1% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 8.4% | 17.6% | 2.0% | 3.03 | 3.06 | +5.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Blake Treinen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.84 | 29.0% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.62 | 25.8% | 15.6% | 109 | +0.78 | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 79 |
| Ryan Madson R 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.65 | 23.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 240 | 79 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 75 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.04 | 23.2% | 13.3% | 0.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 102 | 67 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.61 | 18.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .211 | 4.77 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 28 | +1.16 | 3.10 | 174 | 62 |
| Joe Blanton R 2024 · 4.94 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.94 | 20.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 240 | 58 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 58 |
| Ervin Santana R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.38 | 18.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 720 | 58 |
| Zack Segovia R 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 55 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.59 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 174 | 52 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.08 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 0.9% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 219 | 49 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2024 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 49 |
| Daniel Bard R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.81 | 20.3% | 19.8% | 1.7% | .224 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 200 | 47 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.66 | 13.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | .388 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 119 | 47 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2024 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.52 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 183 | 45 |
| Hector Navarro R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.41 | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 126 | 44 |
| Brad Ziegler R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.88 | 16.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | 257 | 40 |
| Luis Ayala R 2026 · 2.99 FIP | 38 | SU | 2.99 | 10.9% | 4.5% | 0.4% | .320 | 3.94 | 15.9% | 4.2% | 14 | +0.95 | 2.99 | 119 | 40 |
| Neal Cotts L 2025 · 3.24 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.24 | 25.5% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 156 | 39 |
| Tony Pena Jr. R 2024 · 3.54 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.54 | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 128 | 39 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 38 | 26.7% | 9.9% | 1.35 | 4.18 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Dominic Leone ('23) | 7 | 46 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 1.33 | 3.81 |