Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 0.0% | 22.2% | -22.2% | 0.0% | 13.50 | 5.91 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 0.0% | 22.2% | -22.2% | 0.0% | 13.50 | 7.60 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 14 | 2 | 27 | 136 | 31 | 25 | 0 | 14% | 1.9 | 15.5% | 23.0% | -7.5% | 0.0% | 7.67 | 4.70 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 14 | 2 | 27 | 136 | 31 | 25 | 0 | 14% | 1.9 | 22.8% | 18.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 7.67 | 3.58 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 2 | 38 | 194 | 45 | 36 | 3 | 15% | 2.9 | 16.4% | 20.4% | -4.0% | 2.7% | 7.34 | 5.81 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 2 | 38 | 194 | 45 | 36 | 3 | 15% | 2.9 | 23.2% | 18.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 7.34 | 4.60 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 40 | 216 | 48 | 43 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 15.7% | 24.2% | -8.6% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 4.85 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 40 | 216 | 48 | 43 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 22.2% | 19.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.92 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 43 | 185 | 48 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.5% | 19.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.53 | 4.49 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 43 | 185 | 48 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.9% | 17.3% | 8.6% | 1.1% | 2.53 | 3.71 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | CHC | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.07 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 88 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 81 | 4 | 149 | 740 | 125 | 162 | 7 | 5% | 1.8 | 16.9% | 21.9% | -5.0% | 1.0% | 5.56 | 4.99 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 109 | 5 | 200 | 993 | 168 | 217 | 10 | 5% | 1.8 | 16.9% | 21.9% | -5.0% | 1.0% | 5.56 | 4.99 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dominic Hambley (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.65 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 2.7% | — | 4.45 | 22.9% | 11.8% | 21 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Cole Gordon R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 90 |
| Brandyn Sittinger R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.67 | 22.2% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .324 | 4.02 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 72 | -0.65 | 3.50 | 152 | 90 |
| Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 90 |
| Kyle Marman R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.98 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .270 | 5.27 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 71 | +1.29 | 3.98 | 117 | 89 |
| Owen Holt R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 89 |
| Sean Isaac R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.27 | 19.5% | 12.3% | 2.3% | .342 | 3.78 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 128 | -0.49 | 3.26 | 155 | 89 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 88 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.76 | 20.9% | 14.1% | 3.0% | .254 | 4.52 | 17.5% | 6.3% | 154 | -0.24 | 4.09 | 183 | 88 |
| Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 88 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 88 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 88 |
| Luke Bell R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 87 |
| Zac Ryan R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 87 |
| Tanner Jacobson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.8% | 13.8% | 2.1% | .313 | 4.97 | 21.1% | 5.4% | 115 | +0.89 | 4.08 | 168 | 86 |
| Bailey Dees R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.23 | 21.3% | 13.2% | 2.3% | .248 | 4.32 | 21.4% | 9.6% | 278 | +0.09 | 3.40 | 330 | 86 |
| Kasey Ford R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.68 | 20.3% | 14.5% | 2.6% | .310 | 4.31 | 21.9% | 5.8% | 98 | -0.37 | 2.53 | 114 | 86 |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 86 |
| Peyton Williams R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 86 |
| Vince Arobio R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.47 | 20.5% | 12.0% | 2.9% | .365 | 3.84 | 24.1% | 16.2% | 55 | -0.63 | 3.84 | 118 | 85 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 4.09 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 134 | +0.14 | 3.24 | 172 | 85 |