Adonis Villavicencio

Adonis Villavicencio P Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION1 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 128

ERA5.84

FIP5.84

K%15.4%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%-2.0%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	18	0	25	114	36	20	1	0%	1.4	21.5%	21.9%	-0.5%	1.1%	5.04	4.65	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	18	0	25	114	36	20	1	0%	1.4	31.6%	17.5%	14.0%	0.9%	5.04	3.14	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	8	0	9	47	15	7	1	0%	1.1	31.9%	14.9%	17.0%	2.1%	7.27	3.46	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	8	0	9	47	15	7	1	0%	1.1	31.9%	14.9%	17.0%	2.1%	7.27	3.46	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	8	0	9	47	15	7	1	0%	1.1	31.9%	14.9%	17.0%	2.1%	7.27	3.56	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	42	178	51	17	1	0%	1.8	20.5%	11.4%	9.1%	0.7%	3.00	3.21	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	42	178	51	17	1	0%	1.8	20.5%	11.4%	9.1%	0.7%	3.00	3.21	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	42	178	51	17	1	0%	1.8	28.7%	9.6%	19.1%	0.6%	3.00	2.20	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	37	0	48	239	49	34	3	0%	1.3	15.8%	16.4%	-0.6%	1.3%	6.33	4.55	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	37	0	48	239	49	34	3	0%	1.3	15.8%	16.4%	-0.6%	1.3%	6.33	4.55	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Hub City Spartanburgers	37	0	48	239	49	34	3	0%	1.3	20.5%	14.2%	6.3%	1.3%	6.33	3.99	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	2	0	1	10	3	3	0	0%	0.7	—	—	—	—	13.50	—	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	2	0	1	10	3	3	0	0%	0.7	—	—	—	—	13.50	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	TEX	2	0	1	10	3	3	0	0%	0.7	30.0%	30.0%	0.0%	0.0%	13.50	4.37	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	TEX	5	0	5	21	3	4	1	0%	1.0	15.4%	17.4%	-2.0%	2.7%	5.84	5.84	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	6	31	6	7	1	—	—	20.1%	21.4%	-1.4%	1.8%	7.45	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	57	0	60	251	42	42	7	0%	1.0	16.7%	16.5%	0.2%	2.7%	5.66	5.64	-0.7
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	56	0	59	247	43	40	7	0%	1.0	17.2%	16.1%	1.1%	2.8%	5.57	5.58	-0.7
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	25	0	26	110	18	18	3	0%	1.0	16.7%	16.5%	0.2%	2.7%	5.66	5.64	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	35	0	37	156	27	25	4	0%	1.1	17.2%	16.1%	1.1%	2.8%	5.57	5.58	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		60	0	62	264	45	43	7	0%	1.0	17.0%	16.3%	0.7%	2.7%	5.61	5.22	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	144	138	22	0%	1.1	17.0%	16.3%	0.7%	2.7%	5.61	5.22	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		88	0	125	588	117	94	7	0%	1.4	19.8%	16.0%	3.8%	1.1%	5.10	4.07	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		140	0	200	938	186	151	11	0%	1.4	19.8%	16.0%	3.8%	1.1%	5.10	4.07	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adonis Villavicencio (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.84	15.4%	17.4%	2.7%	—	5.61	16.9%	0.6%	118	-0.23	—	—	—
Aroni Nina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.8%	20.5%	1.1%	.312	3.04	18.8%	8.7%	64	-1.86	2.68	115	87
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	86
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	85
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	85
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	85
Danny Reynolds R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	25	SU	4.72	16.6%	16.8%	1.6%	.263	3.71	16.0%	4.3%	88	-1.01	3.29	165	85
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	85
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	84
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	84
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	83
Rob Huber R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	117	83
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	83
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	83
Yunior Thibo R 2023 · 5.32 FIP	25	SU	5.32	14.3%	15.6%	2.7%	.231	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	110	83
Miguel Rosario R 2017 · 4.83 FIP	24	SU	4.83	16.4%	18.6%	1.4%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	197	82
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	82
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	82
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	82
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	82
Austin Pettibone R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	23	SU	5.11	14.6%	16.2%	2.2%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	142	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	16.4%	16.7%	1.04	5.69
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77