Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 11 | 3 | 26 | 117 | 27 | 14 | 2 | 27% | 2.4 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 6.49 | 4.75 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 11 | 3 | 26 | 117 | 27 | 14 | 2 | 27% | 2.4 | 23.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 1.7% | 6.49 | 3.63 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 22 | 15 | 84 | 348 | 75 | 21 | 12 | 68% | 3.8 | 15.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.55 | 5.87 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 22 | 15 | 84 | 348 | 75 | 21 | 12 | 68% | 3.8 | 21.6% | 6.0% | 15.5% | 3.4% | 3.55 | 3.92 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 5 | 38 | 171 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 42% | 3.1 | 11.0% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 5.50 | 4.49 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 5 | 38 | 171 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 42% | 3.1 | 14.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 5.50 | 3.84 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 9.82 | 8.73 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 9.82 | 9.65 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 21 | 0 | 22 | 95 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.01 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 74 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.01 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 47 | 23 | 151 | 654 | 95 | 56 | 29 | 49% | 3.2 | 14.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.70 | 5.39 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 30 | 200 | 864 | 126 | 75 | 38 | 49% | 3.2 | 14.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.70 | 5.39 | +0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tanner Cooper (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.39 | 22.9% | 13.6% | 22 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 83 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 81 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 78 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 73 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.65 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .319 | 4.96 | 18.4% | 6.6% | 242 | +0.31 | 4.39 | 353 | 73 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 72 |
| Chase Centala R 2024 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 72 |
| Jake Walkinshaw R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.66 | 17.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .296 | 4.92 | 13.3% | 3.1% | 116 | +0.26 | 2.20 | 286 | 72 |
| Chad Dallas R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 71 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 71 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 71 |
| TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.63 | 23.7% | 8.7% | 4.4% | .317 | 3.95 | 22.5% | 14.7% | 87 | -0.68 | 3.36 | 432 | 70 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.52 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 1.1% | .341 | 3.55 | 23.0% | 13.0% | 41 | +0.03 | 3.06 | 222 | 70 |
| Sean Mooney R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 70 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 70 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 69 |
| Daniel Federman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.34 | 23.8% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 119 | 69 |
| Jake Lyons R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 69 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 69 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 69 |