Tanner Franklin
P
Peoria Chiefs
Age 22
RHP
6'5" / 225 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.7 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.65
FIP4.65
K%23.8%
BB%11.9%
K-BB%11.9%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 32.1% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 1.50 | 2.65 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 32.1% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 1.50 | 2.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 16 | 16 | 58 | 254 | 72 | 30 | 9 | 100% | 3.6 | 21.8% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 4.81 | 5.41 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | STL | 8 | 8 | 42 | 177 | 42 | 21 | 5 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.65 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | STL | — | — | 100 | 431 | 114 | 51 | 14 | — | — | 26.5% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 3.3% | 4.74 | 5.09 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | STL | 8 | 8 | 44 | 184 | 45 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.5 | 24.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | STL | 8 | 8 | 45 | 189 | 47 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 24.9% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | STL | 8 | 8 | 45 | 191 | 48 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 25.2% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.26 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | STL | 8 | 8 | 45 | 191 | 49 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 25.4% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.23 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | STL | 7 | 7 | 45 | 188 | 48 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 25.4% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | STL | 7 | 7 | 43 | 183 | 46 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 25.3% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | STL | 4 | 4 | 22 | 93 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 24.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | STL | 6 | 6 | 31 | 131 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 24.9% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | STL | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 39 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 6.2 | 25.2% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | STL | 7 | 7 | 40 | 169 | 43 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 25.4% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.23 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | STL | 7 | 7 | 40 | 169 | 43 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 25.4% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | STL | 7 | 7 | 40 | 169 | 43 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 25.3% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 36 | 36 | 210 | 885 | 223 | 91 | 26 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.2% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.92 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 213 | 87 | 25 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.2% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 19 | 19 | 64 | 282 | 64 | 39 | 11 | 100% | 3.4 | 22.9% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 4.50 | 5.13 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 59 | 200 | 881 | 201 | 123 | 35 | 100% | 3.4 | 22.9% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 4.50 | 5.13 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tanner Franklin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.65 | 23.8% | 11.9% | 3.1% | — | 4.35 | 24.9% | 14.4% | 134 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Garcia R 2028 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 86 |
| Nate Dohm R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 21.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.59 | 17.7% | 2.6% | 40 | -0.27 | 4.59 | 115 | 86 |
| Jaxon Wiggins R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.61 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .286 | 3.29 | 24.5% | 11.4% | 79 | -0.32 | 3.12 | 132 | 86 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 236 | -0.19 | 3.12 | 482 | 86 |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .292 | 5.42 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.35 | 4.07 | 378 | 85 |
| Chad Patrick R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 83 |
| Mike Vasil R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.71 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .264 | 4.60 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +0.89 | 3.71 | 429 | 83 |
| Levi Wells R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.32 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .360 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.8% | 132 | -0.47 | 3.70 | 192 | 83 |
| Brandon Young R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 24.5% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .297 | 3.46 | 22.4% | 14.1% | 150 | -0.61 | 3.11 | 420 | 82 |
| TJ Shook R 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.82 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.12 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 296 | +0.30 | 3.36 | 432 | 82 |
| Christian Roa R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.02 | 19.6% | 12.4% | 3.6% | .321 | 4.92 | 22.7% | 6.2% | 260 | -0.10 | 4.38 | 406 | 82 |
| River Ryan R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.58 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .321 | 3.86 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 134 | +0.28 | 2.13 | 218 | 82 |
| Chih-Jung Liu R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .331 | 6.04 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 233 | +1.32 | 4.72 | 283 | 81 |
| Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 81 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 81 |
| CJ Van Eyk R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.01 | 21.8% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.47 | 15.2% | 5.3% | 127 | -0.54 | 3.95 | 411 | 81 |
| Ricky DeVito R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.36 | 22.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.57 | 21.5% | 2.4% | 151 | +0.21 | 4.05 | 215 | 81 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 81 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2027 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.00 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 4.2% | .236 | 4.59 | 22.3% | 3.9% | 180 | -0.41 | 4.20 | 311 | 80 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 44 | 24.9% | 10.5% | 1.16 | 4.39 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Dominic Leone ('23) | 7 | 46 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 1.33 | 3.81 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Brad Boxberger ('23) | 8 | 43 | 27.1% | 11.7% | 1.17 | 3.86 |