CJ Van Eyk
P
Buffalo Bisons
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'1" / 198 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA5.24
FIP5.24
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%18.0%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%8.2%
IP107
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
STUF4040
CTRL5050
CMD4040
K†4040
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 19 | 19 | 80 | 353 | 100 | 39 | 9 | 21.8% | 12.7% | 3.6% | 5.83 | 4.83 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 12 | 11 | 34 | 143 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16.5% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 3.67 | 5.33 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 30 | 16 | 95 | 430 | 78 | 38 | 10 | 14.7% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 5.68 | 4.39 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 27 | 24 | 126 | 554 | 109 | 51 | 20 | 16.9% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 4.79 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 3 | 3 | 14 | 58 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 3.21 | 2.74 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | TOR | 20 | 20 | 107 | 453 | 76 | 48 | 17 | 16.8% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 5.44 | 5.44 | -0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 121 | 511 | 86 | 52 | 17 | 16.8% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 5.18 | 5.13 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 20 | 20 | 108 | 455 | 78 | 47 | 17 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 5.34 | 5.35 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 19 | 19 | 105 | 445 | 78 | 45 | 16 | 17.5% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 5.29 | 5.31 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 19 | 19 | 102 | 431 | 75 | 44 | 16 | 17.5% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 5.29 | 5.32 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 18 | 18 | 98 | 416 | 72 | 43 | 16 | 17.4% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 5.33 | 5.37 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 17 | 17 | 95 | 399 | 68 | 41 | 15 | 17.1% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 5.40 | 5.45 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 16 | 16 | 90 | 381 | 64 | 40 | 15 | 16.8% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 5.49 | 5.55 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 16 | 16 | 86 | 362 | 60 | 39 | 15 | 16.4% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 5.59 | 5.66 | -0.5 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 15 | 15 | 81 | 342 | 55 | 38 | 14 | 16.0% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 5.71 | 5.78 | -0.6 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 14 | 14 | 76 | 319 | 56 | 33 | 14 | 17.6% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 5.67 | 5.65 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 91 | 73 | 350 | 1538 | 266 | 160 | 55 | 17.3% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 5.10 | 4.93 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 42 | 200 | 880 | 152 | 92 | 31 | 17.3% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 5.10 | 4.93 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| CJ Van Eyk (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.44 | 16.8% | 10.5% | 3.7% | — | 5.33 | 17.4% | 7.2% | 315 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Nestor Molina R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | .304 | 3.61 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.20 | 3.03 | 401 | 90 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.42 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .287 | 5.02 | 20.9% | 2.1% | 72 | +0.60 | 4.42 | 200 | 87 |
| Hector Noesí R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 250 | 87 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.72 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.12 | 3.22 | 221 | 86 |
| Jacob Turner R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.43 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 2.7% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 86 |
| Jose Pina R 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .231 | 3.67 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.19 | 3.65 | 424 | 86 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 157 | 85 |
| Sam Highfill R 2023 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 106 | 84 |
| Josh Roeder R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.72 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 175 | 84 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.5% | .263 | 4.25 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -1.02 | 3.92 | 272 | 84 |
| Luke Irvine R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.31 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 104 | 84 |
| Kyle Haynes R 2024 · 4.58 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.58 | 15.7% | 9.9% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 240 | 83 |
| Mike Connolly R 2025 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.12 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 328 | 83 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.94 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 239 | 83 |
| David Hale R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.26 | 16.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% | .343 | 4.14 | 13.8% | 8.1% | 251 | -0.12 | 3.32 | 493 | 82 |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.46 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 195 | 82 |
| Matthew Shepherd R 2024 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.04 | 13.7% | 9.5% | 3.4% | .390 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 116 | 81 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.43 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .393 | 4.26 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | -0.17 | 4.26 | 166 | 81 |
| Casey Kelly R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.30 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 4.5% | .318 | 4.41 | 16.4% | 10.2% | 160 | -0.89 | 4.06 | 607 | 81 |
| Scott McGregor R 2027 · 4.41 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.41 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.4% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 107 | 81 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.