CJ Van Eyk P Buffalo Bisons
Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 198 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION78 act + 75 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149140vR 131
ERA5.82
FIP5.82
K%15.1%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%4.4%
ROS IP75
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 153 IP
K: -7.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-7KBB: -0.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -3.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +20.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+21STAMTotal WAR: +0.95 (153 IP)+0.9WAR
-0.5-0.5-0.62628
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4040
CTRL5050
CMD4040
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202122A+Vancouver Canadians191980353100399100%4.221.8%12.7%9.1%3.9%5.835.01
202122A+Vancouver Canadians191980353100399100%4.228.3%11.0%17.3%2.5%5.833.52
202324MIX3 levels1211341433312592%2.916.5%10.3%6.2%3.7%3.675.03
202324MIX3 levels1211341433312592%2.923.1%8.4%14.7%3.5%3.674.12
202425AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats30169543078381053%3.214.7%9.7%5.0%2.2%5.684.28
202425AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats30169543078381053%3.218.1%8.8%9.3%2.3%5.684.03
202526MIX2 levels2724126554109512089%4.716.9%9.8%7.1%5.7%4.796.04
202526MIX2 levels2724126554109512089%4.719.7%9.2%10.5%3.6%4.794.65
▸ 2026 Season
202627AAABuffalo Bisons1713783275625676%4.615.1%8.0%7.0%2.0%3.793.95+0.9
ROS27MLBTOR121275317483413100%6.315.1%10.7%4.4%4.1%5.825.82-0.8
ROS27MLBTOR44239715104100%5.815.1%10.7%4.4%4.1%5.825.82-0.3
2026 TOT27MLBTOR153644104591916.1%9.2%7.0%3.0%4.784.87+1.0
2026 FULL27MLBTOR23951410415.1%10.7%4.4%4.1%5.825.44-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBTOR121273307493313100%6.115.8%10.7%5.1%4.1%5.725.75-0.8
202829MLBTOR121270293473212100%5.816.1%10.8%5.3%4.2%5.715.78-0.8
202728MLBTOR774016927187100%5.715.8%10.7%5.1%4.1%5.725.75-0.6
202829MLBTOR884719832218100%5.916.1%10.8%5.3%4.2%5.715.78-0.7
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career1818109462735019100%6.115.8%10.8%5.0%4.1%5.745.40+0.0
/ 200 IP33332008441339135100%6.015.8%10.8%5.0%4.1%5.745.40+0.0
Career1058341418073061826779%3.917.0%10.1%6.9%3.7%4.914.96+2.1
/ 200 IP5140200873148883279%3.917.0%10.1%6.9%3.7%4.914.96+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
CJ Van Eyk (OGILVIE) 5.82 15.1%10.7%4.1% 5.76 16.0%5.2%142 -0.06
David Griffin R 2026 · 6.04 FIP 27 SP- 6.04 14.5%10.3%5.2%.306 4.52 239 84
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 5.13 FIP 27 SP- 5.13 11.6%9.8%3.2%.263 4.14 15.3%5.2%167 -0.99 3.84 272 81
Nestor Molina R 2026 · 5.13 FIP 27 SP 5.13 15.0%8.0%4.2%.304 3.57 17.0%10.2%289 -1.56 3.07 401 81
Miguel Ruiz R 2028 · 6.00 FIP 29 SP- 6.00 8.8%8.0%4.8%.346 5.44 10.6%-0.4%53 -0.56 5.44 117 78
Jacob Turner R 2026 · 4.69 FIP 27 SP- 4.69 14.9%8.8%3.2%.297 4.34 340 78
Kyle Brnovich R 2026 · 5.49 FIP 27 SP- 5.49 19.6%13.6%4.2%.330 6.70 15.2%5.2%69 +1.21 3.69 333 76
Dylan Cumming R 2026 · 4.71 FIP 27 SP 4.71 16.4%7.6%3.7%.306 3.69 366 76
David Fletcher R 2029 · 5.92 FIP 30 SP- 5.92 7.6%10.5%3.9%.294 5.92 100 76
Jordan Cooper R 2025 · 5.05 FIP 26 SP 5.05 9.2%10.2%2.6%.305 5.05 106 76
Kris Medlen R 2028 · 4.77 FIP 29 SP- 4.77 15.4%6.4%4.0%.261 5.16 17.1%8.6%173 +0.39 4.66 261 75
Ben Anderson R 2026 · 4.94 FIP 27 SP 4.94 11.6%10.0%2.8%.315 7.90 8.5%-4.1%47 +2.96 3.71 361 75
Asher Wojciechowski R 2026 · 5.60 FIP 27 SP 5.60 13.5%11.0%4.1%.315 4.61 22.2%14.4%379 -0.99 3.19 678 75
Terance Marin R 2025 · 5.01 FIP 26 SP- 5.01 11.2%7.7%3.4%.294 4.18 12.4%7.5%88 -0.83 3.39 322 75
Brett Gillis R 2025 · 5.10 FIP 26 SP 5.10 15.8%9.1%4.0%.231 3.37 119 74
Anders Tolhurst R 2024 · 6.41 FIP 25 SP 6.41 17.3%10.6%6.2%.261 2.86 159 74
Bryan Mitchell R 2026 · 6.43 FIP 27 SP- 6.43 13.0%12.2%5.2%.282 5.51 17.2%4.6%115 -0.92 2.70 481 74
Mike McCarthy R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 27 SP- 4.79 9.4%9.1%2.4%.280 4.77 6.2%-3.5%37 -0.02 4.77 153 73
Dom Hamel R 2026 · 5.62 FIP 27 SP 5.62 15.4%12.2%4.2%.313 3.65 514 73
Matthew Shepherd R 2024 · 5.57 FIP 25 SP- 5.57 13.7%9.5%4.4%.390 5.57 116 73
Alex Blackford R 2025 · 5.71 FIP 26 SP 5.71 14.9%12.5%4.2%.289 3.60 229 73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION37215.7%10.8%1.605.75
Ross Detwiler ('22)55117.3%9.5%1.766.03
Dylan Covey ('23)47315.4%9.9%1.536.14
Eddie Butler ('18)46213.3%9.8%1.495.74
Mike Wright Jr. ('19)55217.7%8.4%1.536.00
Edwin Jackson ('19)57517.0%9.7%1.755.37
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78