Daniel Eagen — OGILVIE

Daniel Eagen P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 1.3 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION71 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123113vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%25.3%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%12.7%

ROS IP65

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 136 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5055

CTRL—50

CMD4045

K†6060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$8M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$15M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2025	22	MIX	2 levels	23	23	117	472	153	52	12	100%	5.1	25.1%	12.6%	12.6%	2.7%	2.99	4.07	—
2025	22	MIX	2 levels	23	23	117	472	153	52	12	100%	5.1	32.4%	11.0%	21.4%	2.5%	2.99	3.15	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	17	17	71	314	88	29	16	100%	4.2	22.7%	10.2%	12.5%	6.1%	5.68	5.83	-0.9
ROS	23	MLB	ARI	12	12	65	274	69	35	8	100%	5.4	25.3%	12.6%	12.7%	3.0%	4.57	4.57	+0.1
ROS	23	MLB	ARI	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	25.3%	12.6%	12.7%	3.0%	4.61	4.61	-0.0
2026 TOT	23	MLB	ARI	—	—	136	588	157	64	24	—	—	26.7%	10.8%	15.9%	4.1%	5.15	5.23	+0.3
2026 FULL	23	MLB	ARI	—	—	1	5	1	1	0	—	—	25.3%	12.6%	12.7%	3.0%	4.61	4.23	+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	ARI	23	23	128	541	138	62	16	100%	5.6	25.5%	11.4%	14.1%	2.9%	4.44	4.38	+1.5
2028	25	MLB	ARI	25	25	148	624	160	66	18	100%	5.9	25.6%	10.6%	15.0%	2.9%	4.33	4.27	+2.0
2029	26	MLB	ARI	27	27	160	675	173	71	20	100%	5.9	25.6%	10.4%	15.2%	2.9%	4.28	4.25	+2.1
2030	27	MLB	ARI	26	26	157	665	170	70	20	100%	6.1	25.5%	10.5%	15.1%	3.0%	4.28	4.28	+2.1
2031	28	MLB	ARI	25	25	153	645	164	68	20	100%	6.1	25.4%	10.6%	14.8%	3.1%	4.33	4.37	+1.8
2032	29	MLB	ARI	24	24	146	616	155	67	20	100%	6.1	25.2%	10.8%	14.3%	3.2%	4.43	4.50	+1.5
2033	30	MLB	ARI	23	23	137	579	144	64	20	100%	6.0	24.8%	11.1%	13.7%	3.4%	4.58	4.68	+1.2
2034	31	MLB	ARI	21	21	128	540	132	62	20	100%	6.1	24.4%	11.5%	12.9%	3.7%	4.76	4.88	+0.8
2035	32	MLB	ARI	20	20	118	499	120	59	19	100%	5.9	24.0%	11.9%	12.1%	3.9%	4.97	5.10	+0.4
2036	33	MLB	ARI	18	18	108	458	107	56	19	100%	6.0	23.5%	12.3%	11.1%	4.2%	5.20	5.35	+0.1
2027	24	MLB	ARI	10	10	56	236	60	27	7	100%	5.6	25.5%	11.4%	14.1%	3.0%	4.48	4.42	+0.1
2028	25	MLB	ARI	17	17	99	418	107	44	12	100%	5.8	25.6%	10.6%	15.0%	3.0%	4.37	4.31	+1.2
2029	26	MLB	ARI	21	21	127	536	137	56	16	100%	6.0	25.6%	10.4%	15.2%	3.0%	4.32	4.29	+1.7
2030	27	MLB	ARI	22	22	134	566	144	59	17	100%	6.1	25.5%	10.5%	15.1%	3.0%	4.32	4.32	+1.7
2031	28	MLB	ARI	23	23	136	574	146	61	18	100%	5.9	25.4%	10.6%	14.8%	3.1%	4.37	4.41	+1.6
2032	29	MLB	ARI	22	22	133	562	141	61	19	100%	6.0	25.2%	10.8%	14.3%	3.3%	4.47	4.54	+1.3
2033	30	MLB	ARI	21	21	126	532	132	59	19	100%	6.0	24.8%	11.1%	13.7%	3.5%	4.62	4.72	+1.0
2034	31	MLB	ARI	20	20	119	502	123	58	19	100%	6.0	24.4%	11.5%	12.9%	3.7%	4.81	4.93	+0.7
2035	32	MLB	ARI	18	18	111	469	112	56	19	100%	6.2	24.0%	11.9%	12.1%	4.0%	5.02	5.15	+0.3
2036	33	MLB	ARI	17	17	103	435	102	54	19	100%	6.1	23.5%	12.3%	11.1%	4.3%	5.25	5.40	-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career	—			192	192	1146	4838	1208	536	164	100%	6.0	25.0%	11.1%	13.9%	3.4%	4.59	4.26	+15.3
/ 200 IP	—			34	34	200	844	211	94	29	100%	6.0	25.0%	11.1%	13.9%	3.4%	4.59	4.26	+2.7
Career	—			40	40	189	786	190	91	32	100%	4.7	24.2%	11.6%	12.6%	4.1%	4.01	4.77	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—			42	42	200	833	201	97	34	100%	4.7	24.2%	11.6%	12.6%	4.1%	4.01	4.77	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Eagen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	25.3%	12.6%	3.0%	—	4.30	25.6%	14.8%	436	-0.27	—	—	—
Ty Madden R 2026 · 4.42 FIP	23	SP	4.42	24.0%	11.2%	3.5%	.304	5.61	21.6%	11.1%	179	+1.19	4.42	420	88
Brody Hopkins R 2026 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP	3.95	23.2%	13.4%	2.0%	.275	4.71	23.4%	0.9%	72	+0.76	3.49	303	88
Nick Nastrini R 2026 · 4.01 FIP	23	SP	4.01	22.9%	11.8%	2.5%	.288	6.17	19.4%	1.6%	168	+2.16	4.01	412	87
Carson Ragsdale R 2026 · 4.20 FIP	23	SP	4.20	25.0%	10.7%	3.4%	.349	4.27	25.2%	14.2%	148	+0.07	1.96	352	87
Roman Angelo R 2027 · 4.19 FIP	24	SP	4.19	22.6%	11.4%	2.8%	.291	5.46	18.2%	4.6%	163	+1.27	4.19	285	85
Patrick Reilly R 2025 · 4.75 FIP	22	SP	4.75	23.2%	13.6%	3.4%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	4.75	119	85
CJ Van Eyk R 2025 · 5.01 FIP	22	SP	5.01	21.8%	12.7%	3.9%	.302	4.47	15.2%	5.3%	127	-0.54	3.95	411	85
Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP	23	SP	3.63	21.8%	10.4%	1.9%	.261	4.10	24.1%	14.3%	117	+0.47	3.63	209	85
Luke Russo R 2026 · 3.67 FIP	23	SP	3.67	21.7%	11.1%	1.8%	.326	4.43	21.1%	10.5%	112	+0.76	3.67	213	85
Ryan Bergert R 2026 · 3.61 FIP	23	SP	3.61	23.0%	12.1%	1.7%	.286	4.18	19.5%	10.0%	219	+0.57	3.61	428	84
Connor Staine R 2026 · 4.66 FIP	23	SP	4.66	20.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.266	5.22	16.1%	2.8%	185	+0.56	3.71	370	83
George Klassen R 2026 · 3.70 FIP	23	SP	3.70	22.2%	11.0%	2.0%	.350	4.72	17.6%	3.5%	72	+1.02	3.57	268	83
Bryce Jarvis R 2026 · 4.78 FIP	23	SP	4.78	21.2%	11.0%	3.8%	.276	5.00	18.0%	6.0%	296	+0.22	4.22	513	83
Yoel Tejeda Jr. R 2026 · 3.66 FIP	23	SP	3.66	21.5%	12.3%	1.5%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	158	82
Mason Black R 2026 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP	4.39	25.5%	10.9%	3.8%	.284	5.13	18.9%	7.8%	291	+0.74	3.81	527	82
Riley Gowens R 2027 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP	5.02	22.6%	10.3%	4.6%	.279	5.06	21.5%	11.8%	160	+0.04	5.01	282	82
Joey Murray R 2025 · 3.62 FIP	22	SP	3.62	23.4%	9.9%	2.2%	.285	6.05	20.0%	4.6%	21	+2.43	3.62	170	82
Michael Forret R 2025 · 4.32 FIP	22	SP	4.32	21.9%	11.3%	3.0%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	253	81
David Festa R 2026 · 3.55 FIP	23	SP	3.55	24.6%	11.6%	1.9%	.341	3.71	27.5%	18.8%	209	+0.16	3.55	405	81
Will Schomberg R 2026 · 5.00 FIP	23	SP	5.00	21.4%	15.6%	3.2%	.266	3.84	23.3%	11.7%	90	-1.16	3.84	206	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	Yrs	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	11	135	25.1%	11.2%	1.26	4.53
Jon Gray ('24)	10	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Lance Lynn ('24)	9	154	23.9%	8.1%	1.20	3.86
Vince Velasquez ('23)	9	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88
Kyle Gibson ('24)	10	164	19.6%	8.3%	1.14	4.46
Julio Teheran ('23)	7	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Rich Hill ('23)	9	104	25.0%	8.0%	1.12	3.65