Daniel Eagen
P
Amarillo Sod Poodles
+1.1
WAR
Age 23
RHP
6'4" / 205 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.9 · 2029
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%24.1%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%13.0%
IP117
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.9peak
2029
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 23 | 23 | 117 | 472 | 153 | 52 | 12 | 25.1% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 2.99 | 4.14 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 3 | 3 | 12 | 52 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 20.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.03 | 7.80 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ARI | 21 | 21 | 117 | 495 | 119 | 55 | 15 | 24.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +1.1 |
| 2026 Total | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 129 | 547 | 132 | 60 | 19 | 24.2% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 5.00 | 4.80 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 25 | 25 | 136 | 575 | 140 | 58 | 17 | 24.4% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.34 | +1.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 27 | 27 | 150 | 633 | 156 | 60 | 19 | 24.6% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.24 | +1.8 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 29 | 29 | 157 | 662 | 163 | 62 | 20 | 24.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.22 | +1.9 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 29 | 29 | 160 | 674 | 166 | 63 | 20 | 24.6% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.23 | +1.9 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 29 | 29 | 159 | 673 | 165 | 63 | 20 | 24.6% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.26 | +1.9 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 28 | 28 | 156 | 657 | 161 | 62 | 20 | 24.4% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.28 | 4.30 | +1.8 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 27 | 27 | 151 | 638 | 155 | 61 | 20 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.33 | 4.36 | +1.6 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 26 | 26 | 146 | 615 | 148 | 60 | 20 | 24.0% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 4.40 | 4.44 | +1.4 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 25 | 25 | 140 | 591 | 140 | 58 | 19 | 23.7% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 4.53 | +1.2 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 24 | 24 | 134 | 564 | 132 | 57 | 19 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 4.57 | 4.62 | +1.0 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 23 | 23 | 127 | 536 | 124 | 55 | 19 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 4.67 | 4.73 | +0.8 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | ARI | 22 | 22 | 120 | 505 | 115 | 53 | 18 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 4.78 | 4.86 | +0.6 |
| 2039 | 36 | MLB | ARI | 20 | 20 | 112 | 472 | 105 | 51 | 17 | 22.3% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 4.90 | 4.99 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 26 | 26 | 129 | 524 | 129 | 65 | 18 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 3.5% | 3.63 | 4.51 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 40 | 200 | 812 | 200 | 101 | 28 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 3.5% | 3.63 | 4.51 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Daniel Eagen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 24.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.26 | 24.6% | 14.9% | 443 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| Roman Angelo R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.02 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .291 | 5.45 | 17.7% | 4.3% | 141 | +1.43 | 4.02 | 262 | 92 |
| Ty Madden R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.53 | 24.0% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .304 | 5.21 | 23.0% | 13.2% | 134 | +0.68 | 4.53 | 375 | 91 |
| Riley Gowens R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.63 | 22.6% | 10.3% | 3.9% | .279 | 4.35 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.28 | 4.35 | 254 | 90 |
| Carson Ragsdale R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.22 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .349 | 4.35 | 25.2% | 14.2% | 148 | +0.13 | 2.01 | 352 | 90 |
| R.J. Gordon R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 3.3% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 129 | 89 |
| Nick Nastrini R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.05 | 22.9% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .288 | 6.14 | 19.4% | 1.6% | 168 | +2.09 | 4.05 | 412 | 89 |
| Luke Russo R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.72 | 21.7% | 11.1% | 1.9% | .326 | 3.92 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 38 | +0.20 | 3.72 | 139 | 87 |
| Brody Hopkins R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.86 | 23.2% | 13.4% | 1.9% | .275 | 5.49 | 23.1% | 0.8% | 18 | +1.63 | 3.46 | 249 | 86 |
| Zach Peek R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.60 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .339 | 3.55 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 45 | -0.05 | 3.55 | 205 | 86 |
| Chase Hampton R 2024 · 4.05 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.05 | 26.1% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.05 | 107 | 86 |
| Ian Bedell R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.72 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .285 | 5.74 | 19.4% | 9.6% | 160 | +2.02 | 3.72 | 256 | 86 |
| Patrick Reilly R 2025 · 4.92 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.92 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 3.7% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.92 | 119 | 86 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.65 | 21.8% | 10.4% | 1.9% | .261 | 4.41 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 63 | +0.76 | 3.65 | 156 | 86 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .300 | 4.44 | 18.2% | 7.0% | 78 | +0.55 | 3.89 | 183 | 85 |
| Chase Silseth R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.80 | 24.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 5.03 | 17.5% | 2.8% | 67 | +1.23 | 3.46 | 277 | 85 |
| Austin Love R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.30 | 20.6% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .358 | 3.57 | 22.1% | 9.7% | 56 | -0.73 | 3.57 | 182 | 85 |
| Mason Black R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.33 | 25.5% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .284 | 4.96 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 240 | +0.63 | 3.93 | 476 | 85 |
| David Festa R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.70 | 24.6% | 11.6% | 2.2% | .341 | 3.76 | 27.5% | 18.8% | 209 | +0.06 | 3.66 | 405 | 85 |
| Brandon Bielak R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.36 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .267 | 4.04 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 200 | -0.32 | 3.21 | 670 | 84 |
| Ben Gross R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.02 | 23.0% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .359 | 4.85 | 17.6% | 2.0% | 22 | +0.83 | 4.02 | 118 | 84 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.9 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.9 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.9 | $18M | +$17M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.8 | $17M | +$14M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.6 | $16M | +$10M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +1.4 | $14M | +$7M |
| Totals | $18M | $98M | +$80M | ||