Conner Ware
P
St. Lucie Mets
Age 22
LHP
6'4" / 205 lbs
A
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 38 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%23.2%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 93 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 15 | 9 | 55 | 239 | 64 | 30 | 13 | 60% | 3.6 | 19.8% | 14.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.77 | 7.18 | -1.7 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYM | 6 | 6 | 38 | 162 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.4 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 93 | 401 | 102 | 45 | 18 | — | — | 25.3% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 4.63 | 6.05 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYM | 7 | 7 | 40 | 168 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 24.0% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYM | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 24.0% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 20 | 82 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 24.0% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 3.88 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 205 | 72 | 31 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.0% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 3.88 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 15 | 9 | 55 | 239 | 47 | 35 | 17 | 60% | 3.6 | 19.8% | 14.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.77 | 7.18 | -1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 33 | 200 | 874 | 173 | 130 | 62 | 60% | 3.6 | 19.8% | 14.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.77 | 7.18 | -4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Conner Ware (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 3.1% | — | 4.26 | 24.0% | 15.0% | 40 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Bryan Sammons L 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.60 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.91 | 18.4% | 8.4% | 228 | +0.31 | 3.53 | 688 | 81 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 81 |
| Mac Lardner L 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 81 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 80 |
| Will Johnston L 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .290 | 4.34 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 82 | +0.13 | 4.04 | 174 | 80 |
| Keyshawn Askew L 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.37 | 25.6% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .274 | 3.78 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 196 | +0.41 | 3.37 | 262 | 79 |
| James Reeves L 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.50 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .237 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.20 | 2.02 | 280 | 78 |
| Nate Peterson L 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 78 |
| Tommy Sommer L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.59 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.30 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.71 | 4.20 | 230 | 78 |
| Jordan Woods L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 78 |
| Ryan Williamson L 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.10 | 18.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.67 | 18.4% | 5.8% | 102 | +1.57 | 4.10 | 123 | 77 |
| Kyle Twomey L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.08 | 17.6% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.89 | 14.8% | 6.9% | 68 | -0.19 | 3.89 | 141 | 77 |
| Hayden Mullins L 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.33 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 3.0% | .288 | 4.01 | 25.1% | 10.7% | 150 | -0.32 | 3.72 | 239 | 76 |
| Dalton Pence L 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 71 | +0.57 | 3.32 | 153 | 76 |
| Patrick Wicklander L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.88 | 21.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | .320 | 4.91 | 16.4% | 5.8% | 156 | +0.03 | 4.80 | 254 | 76 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 3.5% | .349 | 4.18 | 22.0% | 8.2% | 175 | -0.31 | 3.65 | 308 | 75 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2028 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 75 |
| Bailey Horn L 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 75 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 75 |
| Carlos Peña L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.19 | 17.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | .271 | 3.99 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 309 | -0.20 | 3.17 | 577 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 39 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 1.19 | 4.37 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |