Riley Cooper — OGILVIE

Riley Cooper P Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 25 LHP 6'2" / 270 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109117vR 125

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%20.1%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	24	9	88	374	84	38	5	38%	3.7	16.6%	12.0%	4.6%	1.8%	3.07	4.22	—
2024	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	24	9	88	374	84	38	5	38%	3.7	16.6%	12.0%	4.6%	1.8%	3.07	4.22	—
2024	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	24	9	88	374	84	38	5	38%	3.7	22.5%	10.2%	12.3%	1.3%	3.07	3.23	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	2	39	184	36	13	6	8%	1.6	16.5%	8.5%	8.0%	3.4%	5.54	4.65	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	2	39	184	36	13	6	8%	1.6	16.5%	8.5%	8.0%	3.4%	5.54	4.65	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	2	39	184	36	13	6	8%	1.6	19.6%	7.1%	12.5%	3.3%	5.54	4.25	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	0	35	147	40	19	6	0%	1.8	23.0%	15.9%	7.1%	1.8%	6.23	4.14	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	0	35	147	40	19	6	0%	1.8	23.0%	15.9%	7.1%	1.8%	6.23	4.14	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	0	35	147	40	19	6	0%	1.8	27.2%	12.9%	14.3%	4.1%	6.23	4.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	BAL	17	0	18	76	15	9	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.6%	8.5%	2.9%	4.86	4.86	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	BAL	33	0	35	148	31	17	4	0%	1.1	20.8%	11.3%	9.4%	2.9%	4.79	4.78	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	BAL	14	0	15	63	13	7	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	11.3%	9.4%	2.9%	4.79	4.78	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	63	13	7	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	11.3%	9.4%	2.9%	4.79	4.40	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	93	27	0%	1.1	20.8%	11.3%	9.4%	2.9%	4.79	4.40	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		67	11	162	705	126	84	16	16%	2.4	17.9%	11.9%	6.0%	2.2%	4.34	4.32	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	14	200	872	156	104	19	16%	2.4	17.9%	11.9%	6.0%	2.2%	4.34	4.32	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Riley Cooper (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	20.1%	11.6%	2.9%	—	4.78	20.8%	9.4%	35	-0.08	—	—	—
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	82
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	81
Pedro Feliciano L 2003 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.7%	8.3%	2.3%	.309	3.52	20.2%	11.1%	79	-0.22	2.69	378	81
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	81
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	79
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	79
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	78
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	78
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	78
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	77
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	77
Russell Smith L 2024 · 4.00 FIP	25	SU	4.00	19.0%	13.9%	1.4%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	175	77
Jake Kalish L 2016 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	17.8%	6.9%	2.6%	.231	3.90	17.0%	11.9%	352	+0.01	2.68	740	76
Ryne Slack L 2017 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	17.4%	13.2%	2.0%	.308	5.59	13.9%	1.8%	49	+1.17	4.07	212	76
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	76
Giovanni Soto L 2016 · 4.01 FIP	25	SU	4.01	21.3%	14.3%	1.6%	.348	4.18	25.6%	15.1%	25	+0.17	3.30	128	76
Wesley Wright L 2010 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	19.6%	8.8%	4.2%	.310	3.38	23.9%	16.5%	106	-1.47	3.03	375	76
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	76
Robby Ahlstrom L 2024 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	21.9%	11.6%	2.1%	.294	4.02	20.7%	11.1%	120	+0.13	3.79	332	76
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	20.5%	11.4%	1.14	4.81
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44