Riley Cooper
P
Delmarva Shorebirds
Age 24
LHP
6'2" / 270 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 30 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
K%21.0%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP30
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 24 | 9 | 88 | 374 | 84 | 38 | 5 | 38% | 3.7 | 16.6% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 3.07 | 4.27 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 24 | 9 | 88 | 374 | 84 | 38 | 5 | 38% | 3.7 | 22.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 1.3% | 3.07 | 3.23 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 2 | 39 | 184 | 36 | 13 | 6 | 8% | 1.6 | 16.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 5.54 | 4.36 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 2 | 39 | 184 | 36 | 13 | 6 | 8% | 1.6 | 19.6% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 5.54 | 4.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 15 | 0 | 27 | 119 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 23.7% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 7.24 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | BAL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.50 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 57 | 246 | 58 | 27 | 9 | — | — | 23.4% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 3.5% | 5.81 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 128 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 128 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 28 | 0 | 30 | 126 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 54 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 52 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.02 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 78 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 63 | 11 | 154 | 677 | 121 | 77 | 16 | 17% | 2.4 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 4.43 | 4.30 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 82 | 14 | 200 | 877 | 157 | 100 | 20 | 17% | 2.4 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 4.43 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Riley Cooper (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 2.9% | — | 4.40 | 21.8% | 12.7% | 91 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 86 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 83 |
| Garrett Irvin L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% | .283 | 4.48 | 17.7% | 2.9% | 39 | -0.05 | 4.48 | 110 | 82 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.09 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .260 | 4.51 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 256 | 82 |
| Haylen Green L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.85 | 16.9% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .291 | 4.08 | 18.6% | 7.8% | 49 | +0.23 | 3.85 | 104 | 81 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 81 |
| Michael Theofanopoulos L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 201 | 81 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.54 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .275 | 4.75 | 19.5% | 3.9% | 45 | +1.21 | 3.54 | 146 | 81 |
| Shane McCain L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 18.3% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .261 | 4.93 | 14.2% | 10.7% | 51 | +0.70 | 4.19 | 201 | 80 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.93 | 15.6% | 9.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.15 | 16.3% | 0.5% | 152 | +0.22 | 3.88 | 244 | 80 |
| Colton Johnson L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 80 |
| Jared Tobey L 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.11 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 2.3% | .320 | 5.97 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 73 | +1.86 | 4.11 | 158 | 79 |
| Thomas Burrows L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .276 | 3.94 | 26.5% | 12.9% | 82 | -0.23 | 2.83 | 271 | 79 |
| Billy Strode L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.75 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.9% | .306 | 2.85 | 16.0% | 7.3% | 47 | -0.90 | 2.43 | 155 | 79 |
| Chris Cotton L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 20.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | .288 | 4.13 | 9.7% | 3.3% | 61 | +0.47 | 3.66 | 128 | 79 |
| Diego Barrera L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 17.9% | 9.2% | 1.7% | .310 | 4.40 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 70 | +0.74 | 3.62 | 137 | 79 |
| Braulio Lara L 2028 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 79 |
| Hayden Howard L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.82 | 17.9% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .295 | 3.77 | 17.5% | 9.1% | 61 | -0.05 | 3.77 | 200 | 79 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 78 |
| Ben Griset L 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.43 | 21.1% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .255 | 3.64 | 14.5% | 3.6% | 49 | +0.21 | 2.91 | 148 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 30 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 1.13 | 4.43 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |