Jake Kalish P Salt Lake Bees
Age 35 LHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109118vR 127
ERA4.77
FIP4.77
K%20.4%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%11.2%
ROS IP84
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 83 IP
K: -1.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -3.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +8.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+8STAMTotal WAR: +0.28 (83 IP)+0.3WAR
0.30.1-0.42628
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201524ROKBurlington Royals1413413637517%2.418.5%4.6%13.9%1.0%2.672.68
201524ROKBurlington Royals1413413637517%2.427.2%3.7%23.5%0.7%2.671.73
201625MIX2 levels23048191481030%2.117.8%6.9%11.0%2.7%2.453.96
201625MIX2 levels23048191481030%2.125.1%5.2%19.9%1.6%2.452.53
201726MIX3 levels31121064508826539%3.415.9%6.3%9.5%1.1%3.243.19
201726MIX3 levels31121064508826539%3.419.6%5.8%13.8%1.1%3.242.79
201827MIX2 levels331812854612421955%3.919.5%4.1%15.4%1.8%3.882.96
201827MIX2 levels331812854612421955%3.922.7%3.8%18.9%1.6%3.882.57
201928MIX2 levels2711128543102262641%4.715.4%5.2%10.2%5.4%4.865.41
201928MIX2 levels2711128543102262641%4.718.8%4.8%14.0%4.8%4.864.76
202130AAAOmaha Storm Chasers301596425106353150%3.221.9%8.6%13.3%7.6%6.946.52
202130AAAOmaha Storm Chasers301596425106353150%3.224.9%8.2%16.7%7.3%6.946.18
202231AAASalt Lake Bees2311853447219648%3.718.4%5.8%12.6%2.0%2.873.38
202231AAASalt Lake Bees2311853447219648%3.720.9%5.5%15.4%1.7%2.872.99
202332AAASalt Lake Bees3025138637103553083%4.614.2%9.1%5.2%5.1%7.195.87
202332AAASalt Lake Bees3025138637103553083%4.616.2%8.6%7.5%4.7%7.195.64
▸ 2026 Season
202635MLBLAA800843547232120%1.020.4%9.2%11.2%3.4%4.774.77+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202736MLBLAA710743136828120%1.021.9%8.8%13.0%3.7%4.764.79+0.1
202837MLBLAA620652735826110%1.021.2%9.5%11.7%4.1%4.965.12-0.4
202736MLBLAA10141000%1.021.9%8.8%13.0%3.7%4.764.79-0.0
202837MLBLAA021.2%9.5%11.7%4.1%4.965.12
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career10131000%0.721.9%8.8%13.0%3.7%4.764.41+0.0
/ 200 IP1900200844270000%1.121.9%8.8%13.0%3.7%4.764.41+2.3
Career21193761327256821312344%3.617.4%6.5%10.9%3.8%4.694.52+7.8
/ 200 IP5524200860149563244%3.617.4%6.5%10.9%3.8%4.694.52+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jake Kalish (OGILVIE) 4.77 20.4%9.2%3.4% 4.94 21.6%12.4%139 +0.17
Wandy Rodriguez L 2027 · 3.84 FIP 36 SP- 3.84 19.4%8.5%2.4%.312 3.84 101 69
Cesár Ramos L 2024 · 4.17 FIP 33 SW 4.17 16.7%8.3%2.6%.295 2.83 225 67
Juan Antonio Pena L 2028 · 4.15 FIP 37 SP- 4.15 13.6%9.9%1.7%.287 4.15 149 64
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2024 · 4.11 FIP 33 SP- 4.11 17.7%8.2%2.7%.266 3.68 146 59
David Price L 2026 · 3.96 FIP 35 SW 3.96 17.8%7.4%2.6%.301 3.85 22.2%18.0%40 -0.11 2.65 922 59
Jonathan Sánchez L 2027 · 4.65 FIP 36 SP 4.65 18.1%8.3%3.7%.339 4.65 109 57
Orlando Lara L 2025 · 4.05 FIP 34 SP 4.05 22.0%7.8%3.3%.329 3.82 426 51
Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.34 FIP 35 SP 4.34 17.3%10.1%2.6%.315 4.01 19.9%11.2%107 -0.33 3.68 405 51
Tomas Solis L 2025 · 5.86 FIP 34 SP 5.86 11.3%7.9%4.9%.322 7.02 8.9%1.4%57 +1.16 4.35 327 50
Daniel Rodriguez L 2025 · 4.74 FIP 34 SP 4.74 20.8%7.8%4.4%.329 2.87 391 49
Tsuyoshi Wada L 2025 · 3.68 FIP 34 SP 3.68 16.8%7.1%2.0%.307 3.68 119 48
Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.40 FIP 35 SP 4.40 12.2%10.4%1.8%.264 4.40 249 47
Dana Eveland L 2024 · 4.91 FIP 33 SW 4.91 14.7%4.7%4.5%.324 2.42 129 46
Eric Stults L 2026 · 4.25 FIP 35 SP 4.25 14.5%5.9%2.9%.266 4.25 138 46
Brandon Mann L 2025 · 3.60 FIP 34 SU 3.60 17.8%11.4%1.0%.232 3.60 190 45
Fernando Abad L 2026 · 4.24 FIP 35 SU 4.24 17.6%6.4%3.3%.343 4.29 18.8%12.9%81 +0.05 2.35 306 43
Marlon Arias L 2025 · 5.09 FIP 34 SP 5.09 19.8%11.2%4.1%.273 3.89 154 43
Mauricio Lara L 2027 · 3.57 FIP 36 SP 3.57 13.9%6.9%1.4%.310 3.70 12.1%5.1%220 +0.13 3.57 444 43
Barry Zito L 2028 · 4.80 FIP 37 SP 4.80 13.6%10.7%2.7%.259 4.80 138 42
Luke Westphal L 2026 · 5.42 FIP 35 SW 5.42 16.1%19.2%2.3%.299 2.97 294 42

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION37421.1%9.1%1.434.82
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
Alex Young ('23)55219.5%8.6%1.614.43
Jharel Cotton ('22)45819.8%9.2%1.594.50