Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | ROK | Burlington Royals | 14 | 1 | 34 | 136 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 7% | 2.4 | 18.5% | 4.6% | 13.9% | 1.0% | 2.67 | 2.68 | — |
| 2015 | 24 | ROK | Burlington Royals | 14 | 1 | 34 | 136 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 7% | 2.4 | 27.2% | 3.7% | 23.5% | 0.7% | 2.67 | 1.73 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 48 | 191 | 48 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 2.1 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 2.45 | 3.96 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 48 | 191 | 48 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 2.1 | 25.1% | 5.2% | 19.9% | 1.6% | 2.45 | 2.53 | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 12 | 106 | 450 | 88 | 26 | 5 | 39% | 3.4 | 15.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 1.1% | 3.24 | 3.19 | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 12 | 106 | 450 | 88 | 26 | 5 | 39% | 3.4 | 19.6% | 5.8% | 13.8% | 1.1% | 3.24 | 2.79 | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 18 | 128 | 546 | 124 | 21 | 9 | 55% | 3.9 | 19.5% | 4.1% | 15.4% | 1.8% | 3.88 | 2.96 | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 18 | 128 | 546 | 124 | 21 | 9 | 55% | 3.9 | 22.7% | 3.8% | 18.9% | 1.6% | 3.88 | 2.57 | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 11 | 128 | 543 | 102 | 26 | 26 | 41% | 4.7 | 15.4% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 4.86 | 5.41 | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 11 | 128 | 543 | 102 | 26 | 26 | 41% | 4.7 | 18.8% | 4.8% | 14.0% | 4.8% | 4.86 | 4.76 | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 30 | 15 | 96 | 425 | 106 | 35 | 31 | 50% | 3.2 | 21.9% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 6.94 | 6.52 | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 30 | 15 | 96 | 425 | 106 | 35 | 31 | 50% | 3.2 | 24.9% | 8.2% | 16.7% | 7.3% | 6.94 | 6.18 | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 23 | 11 | 85 | 344 | 72 | 19 | 6 | 48% | 3.7 | 18.4% | 5.8% | 12.6% | 2.0% | 2.87 | 3.38 | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 23 | 11 | 85 | 344 | 72 | 19 | 6 | 48% | 3.7 | 20.9% | 5.5% | 15.4% | 1.7% | 2.87 | 2.99 | — |
| 2023 | 32 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 30 | 25 | 138 | 637 | 103 | 55 | 30 | 83% | 4.6 | 14.2% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.19 | 5.87 | — |
| 2023 | 32 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 30 | 25 | 138 | 637 | 103 | 55 | 30 | 83% | 4.6 | 16.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 7.19 | 5.64 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 80 | 0 | 84 | 354 | 72 | 32 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 4.77 | 4.77 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 71 | 0 | 74 | 313 | 68 | 28 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 3.7% | 4.76 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | LAA | 62 | 0 | 65 | 273 | 58 | 26 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 4.96 | 5.12 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 3.7% | 4.76 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 4.96 | 5.12 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 21.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 3.7% | 4.76 | 4.41 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 3.7% | 4.76 | 4.41 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 211 | 93 | 761 | 3272 | 568 | 213 | 123 | 44% | 3.6 | 17.4% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 4.69 | 4.52 | +7.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 24 | 200 | 860 | 149 | 56 | 32 | 44% | 3.6 | 17.4% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 4.69 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Kalish (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.77 | 20.4% | 9.2% | 3.4% | — | 4.94 | 21.6% | 12.4% | 139 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 101 | 69 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.17 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 225 | 67 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2028 · 4.15 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.15 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 64 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2024 · 4.11 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.11 | 17.7% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 146 | 59 |
| David Price L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.96 | 17.8% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .301 | 3.85 | 22.2% | 18.0% | 40 | -0.11 | 2.65 | 922 | 59 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 57 |
| Orlando Lara L 2025 · 4.05 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.05 | 22.0% | 7.8% | 3.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 426 | 51 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.34 | 17.3% | 10.1% | 2.6% | .315 | 4.01 | 19.9% | 11.2% | 107 | -0.33 | 3.68 | 405 | 51 |
| Tomas Solis L 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 34 | SP | 5.86 | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | .322 | 7.02 | 8.9% | 1.4% | 57 | +1.16 | 4.35 | 327 | 50 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.74 | 20.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 391 | 49 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 119 | 48 |
| Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.40 | 12.2% | 10.4% | 1.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 249 | 47 |
| Dana Eveland L 2024 · 4.91 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.91 | 14.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.42 | 129 | 46 |
| Eric Stults L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.25 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 138 | 46 |
| Brandon Mann L 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 45 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.24 | 17.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | .343 | 4.29 | 18.8% | 12.9% | 81 | +0.05 | 2.35 | 306 | 43 |
| Marlon Arias L 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 5.09 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 4.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 154 | 43 |
| Mauricio Lara L 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 36 | SP | 3.57 | 13.9% | 6.9% | 1.4% | .310 | 3.70 | 12.1% | 5.1% | 220 | +0.13 | 3.57 | 444 | 43 |
| Barry Zito L 2028 · 4.80 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.80 | 13.6% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 138 | 42 |
| Luke Westphal L 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.42 | 16.1% | 19.2% | 2.3% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 294 | 42 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 74 | 21.1% | 9.1% | 1.43 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Jharel Cotton ('22) | 4 | 58 | 19.8% | 9.2% | 1.59 | 4.50 |