Adam Tulloch — OGILVIE

Adam Tulloch P Akron RubberDucks

Age 26 LHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117125vR 133

ERA5.25

FIP5.25

K%18.0%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%3.6%

ROS IP43

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	2	0	2	16	1	2	1	0%	0.8	6.2%	12.5%	-6.2%	6.2%	37.80	7.59	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	2	0	2	16	1	2	1	0%	0.8	6.2%	12.5%	-6.2%	6.2%	37.80	13.30	—
2023	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	28	20	96	419	115	50	8	71%	3.4	20.3%	14.1%	6.2%	2.4%	4.89	4.51	—
2023	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	28	20	96	419	115	50	8	71%	3.4	20.3%	14.1%	6.2%	2.4%	4.89	4.51	—
2023	23	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	28	20	96	419	115	50	8	71%	3.4	27.4%	11.9%	15.5%	1.9%	4.89	3.35	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	31	0	60	263	61	32	4	0%	1.9	17.9%	14.0%	3.9%	1.6%	3.60	4.24	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	31	0	60	263	61	32	4	0%	1.9	17.9%	14.0%	3.9%	1.6%	3.60	4.24	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	31	0	60	263	61	32	4	0%	1.9	23.2%	12.2%	11.0%	1.5%	3.60	3.53	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	1	57	249	55	35	4	3%	1.8	17.4%	15.7%	1.6%	2.0%	3.97	4.74	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	1	57	249	55	35	4	3%	1.8	17.4%	15.7%	1.6%	2.0%	3.97	4.74	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	1	57	249	55	35	4	3%	1.8	22.1%	14.1%	8.0%	1.6%	3.97	3.93	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	32	0	36	173	43	34	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	22.5%	-3.0%	1.4%	2.78	5.10	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	32	0	36	173	43	34	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	22.5%	-3.0%	1.4%	2.78	5.10	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A+ RAW	CLE	1	0	2	7	3	0	0	0%	2.0	42.9%	0.0%	42.9%	0.0%	0.00	-0.52	—
2026	26	AA RAW	CLE	31	0	34	166	40	34	2	0%	1.1	24.1%	20.5%	3.6%	1.2%	2.94	4.32	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CLE	51	0	53	225	42	31	6	0%	1.0	18.6%	14.0%	4.6%	2.8%	5.18	5.20	-0.4
2028	28	MLB MLE	CLE	49	0	52	218	41	30	6	0%	1.1	18.8%	13.8%	5.0%	2.9%	5.17	5.22	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	CLE	19	0	20	84	16	12	2	0%	1.1	18.6%	14.0%	4.6%	2.8%	5.18	5.20	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CLE	30	0	31	131	25	18	4	0%	1.0	18.8%	13.8%	5.0%	2.9%	5.17	5.22	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		48	0	51	214	40	30	6	0%	1.1	18.7%	13.8%	4.9%	2.8%	5.17	4.83	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	158	118	24	0%	1.1	18.7%	13.8%	4.9%	2.8%	5.17	4.83	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		125	21	250	1120	210	176	23	17%	2.0	18.8%	15.7%	3.0%	2.1%	4.29	4.63	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		100	17	200	897	168	141	18	17%	2.0	18.8%	15.7%	3.0%	2.1%	4.29	4.63	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adam Tulloch (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.25	18.0%	14.4%	2.7%	—	5.21	18.7%	4.8%	105	-0.04	—	—	—
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	88
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	87
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	84
Sean Keselica L 2019 · 4.47 FIP	26	SU	4.47	18.0%	14.5%	1.9%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	235	84
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	84
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	83
Phil Pfeifer L 2018 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.4%	15.7%	1.0%	.279	4.06	21.4%	11.5%	161	-0.09	3.61	307	82
Justin Wright L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	26	SU	4.42	14.7%	13.7%	1.5%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.28	109	81
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	81
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	81
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	80
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	80
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	79
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	79
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	79
Kyle Hunter L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	26	SW	4.32	12.5%	11.5%	1.5%	.258	4.49	12.6%	4.6%	144	+0.17	4.32	188	79
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	79
Andy Oliver L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	23.4%	16.9%	1.6%	.283	4.56	19.2%	8.6%	108	+0.40	3.93	165	79
Tom Windle L 2018 · 4.56 FIP	26	SU	4.56	19.0%	11.8%	2.9%	.269	4.37	17.2%	1.8%	74	-0.19	3.68	330	79
Andy Fisher L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.5%	15.4%	1.8%	.333	4.25	17.2%	6.3%	52	+0.05	3.13	167	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	49	18.5%	14.0%	1.08	5.20
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41