Adam Tulloch
P Akron RubberDucks| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | A+CLE | 31 | 0 | 60 | 3.60 | 3.53 | 23.2% | 12.2% | — | K 17.9% · BB 14.0% · FIP 4.24 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX2 levels | 32 | 1 | 57 | 3.97 | 3.93 | 22.1% | 14.1% | — | K 17.4% · BB 15.7% · FIP 4.74 |
| 2026 | 26 | MIX2 levels | 32 | 0 | 36 | 2.78 | 4.28 | 24.9% | 19.7% | — | K 19.5% · BB 22.5% · FIP 5.10 |
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBCLE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5.55 | 5.55 | 19.1% | 17.7% | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ38% MLB | 28 | MLBCLE | 7 | 0 | 7 | 5.48 | 5.51 | 19.4% | 17.0% | -0.1 |
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 6.2% | 12.5% | -6.2% | 6.2% | 37.80 | 7.59 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK RAW | ACL Guardians | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 6.2% | 12.5% | -6.2% | 6.2% | 37.80 | 13.30 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | 28 | 20 | 96 | 419 | 115 | 50 | 8 | 71% | 3.4 | 20.3% | 14.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 4.89 | 4.51 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | 28 | 20 | 96 | 419 | 115 | 50 | 8 | 71% | 3.4 | 27.4% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 1.9% | 4.89 | 3.35 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | 31 | 0 | 60 | 263 | 61 | 32 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 17.9% | 14.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 3.60 | 4.24 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | 31 | 0 | 60 | 263 | 61 | 32 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 17.9% | 14.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 3.60 | 4.24 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | Lake County Captains | 31 | 0 | 60 | 263 | 61 | 32 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 23.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 1.5% | 3.60 | 3.53 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 32 | 1 | 57 | 249 | 55 | 35 | 4 | 3% | 1.8 | 17.4% | 15.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.97 | 4.74 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 32 | 1 | 57 | 249 | 55 | 35 | 4 | 3% | 1.8 | 17.4% | 15.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.97 | 4.74 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 32 | 1 | 57 | 249 | 55 | 35 | 4 | 3% | 1.8 | 22.1% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 3.97 | 3.93 | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 36 | 173 | 43 | 34 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 22.5% | -3.0% | 1.4% | 2.78 | 5.10 | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 36 | 173 | 43 | 34 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 22.5% | -3.0% | 1.4% | 2.78 | 5.10 | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 36 | 173 | 43 | 34 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 19.7% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 2.78 | 4.28 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 17.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.55 | 5.55 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | CLE | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 17.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.51 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | CLE | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 17.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.51 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 6 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 17.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.13 | -0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 147 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 17.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.13 | -1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 125 | 21 | 250 | 1120 | 210 | 176 | 23 | 17% | 2.0 | 18.8% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.29 | 4.63 | -0.2 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 100 | 17 | 200 | 897 | 168 | 141 | 18 | 17% | 2.0 | 18.8% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.29 | 4.63 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAkron RubberDucks · 34 IPFIP 4.32 → 5.10 (+0.78)K% 24.1% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 24.10% | — | ×0.810 | 19.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 20.48% | — | ×1.100 | 22.53% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.20% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | 1.45% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 4.32 → 5.10, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAkron RubberDucks · 29 IPFIP 4.56 → 5.25 (+0.69)K% 15.8% → 12.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 15.83% | — | ×0.810 | 12.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 15.83% | — | ×1.100 | 17.41% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.44% | ÷0.926 | ×1.200 | 1.86% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 85).
Result: FIP 4.56 → 5.25, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Lake County Captains · 28 IPFIP 3.06 → 4.10 (+1.04)K% 30.0% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 30.00% | — | ×0.770 | 23.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 11.82% | — | ×1.150 | 13.59% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.82% | ÷1.011 | ×1.250 | 2.25% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 102).
Result: FIP 3.06 → 4.10, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Lake County Captains · 60 IPFIP 3.52 → 4.24 (+0.72)K% 23.2% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 23.19% | — | ×0.770 | 17.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.17% | — | ×1.150 | 13.99% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.52% | ÷1.190 | ×1.250 | 1.60% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 138).
Result: FIP 3.52 → 4.24, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ALynchburg Hillcats · 96 IPFIP 3.34 → 4.51 (+1.17)K% 27.4% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.45% | — | ×0.740 | 20.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 11.93% | — | ×1.180 | 14.08% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.91% | ÷1.017 | ×1.300 | 2.44% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).
Result: FIP 3.34 → 4.51, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).