Matt Mikulski
P
Cedar Rapids Kernels
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
LHP
6'4" / 205 lbs
A+
ERA5.05
FIP5.05
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.0%
BB%13.7%
K-BB%7.3%
IP30
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.80 | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | 22 | 18 | 79 | 367 | 96 | 31 | 12 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 6.95 | 4.91 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 33 | 7 | 67 | 334 | 71 | 54 | 11 | 16.4% | 18.6% | 3.9% | 6.75 | 6.22 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 37 | 0 | 60 | 276 | 55 | 41 | 9 | 15.3% | 17.1% | 4.0% | 5.58 | 6.19 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 18 | 0 | 21 | 114 | 25 | 28 | 1 | 19.5% | 27.8% | 0.0% | 7.84 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 30 | — | 30 | 127 | 27 | 17 | 4 | 21.0% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 5.05 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 30 | — | 30 | 125 | 27 | 17 | 4 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.99 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 114 | 29 | 231 | 1111 | 195 | 181 | 39 | 17.6% | 16.3% | 3.5% | 6.51 | 5.59 | -0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 99 | 25 | 200 | 962 | 169 | 157 | 34 | 17.6% | 16.3% | 3.5% | 6.51 | 5.59 | -0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Mikulski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.05 | 21.0% | 13.7% | 2.9% | — | 5.00 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 30 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .318 | 2.78 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -1.75 | 1.81 | 421 | 86 |
| David Rollins L 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.50 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 4.3% | .260 | 5.70 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 20 | +0.20 | 3.60 | 132 | 82 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.94 | 18.9% | 15.0% | 4.6% | .282 | 3.10 | 25.9% | 15.0% | 81 | -2.84 | 3.04 | 194 | 82 |
| Haylen Green L 2024 · 4.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.09 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 81 |
| Jeff Belge L 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 175 | 80 |
| Trey Jeans L 2025 · 5.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.11 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 80 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.02 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .317 | 4.77 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 269 | 80 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.21 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.66 | 32.4% | 26.1% | 65 | -0.55 | 1.66 | 186 | 79 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 79 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.36 | 17.7% | 11.0% | 2.5% | .289 | 5.80 | 19.8% | 2.0% | 40 | +1.44 | 3.98 | 118 | 79 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.6% | .283 | 4.60 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.45 | 3.97 | 165 | 79 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2024 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.89 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 146 | 79 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2024 · 5.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.77 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.1% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 107 | 78 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 78 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .197 | 4.65 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.46 | 4.19 | 133 | 78 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 2.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 141 | 77 |
| Mike Minor L 2027 · 5.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.65 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.9% | .330 | 3.73 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.92 | 2.38 | 807 | 77 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.08 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 152 | 77 |
| Sam Freeman L 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 2.3% | .265 | 3.56 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 166 | -0.67 | 3.06 | 299 | 76 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 206 | 76 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.