Matt Mikulski
P
Cedar Rapids Kernels
Age 27
LHP
6'4" / 205 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114123vR 133
ERA5.04
FIP5.04
K%21.0%
BB%13.7%
K-BB%7.3%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 1.80 | 2.89 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 1.80 | 2.90 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | 22 | 18 | 79 | 367 | 96 | 31 | 12 | 82% | 3.6 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 6.95 | 4.80 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | 22 | 18 | 79 | 367 | 96 | 31 | 12 | 82% | 3.6 | 26.2% | 8.4% | 17.7% | 3.3% | 6.95 | 3.82 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 33 | 7 | 67 | 334 | 71 | 54 | 11 | 21% | 2.0 | 16.4% | 18.6% | -2.2% | 3.6% | 6.75 | 6.03 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 33 | 7 | 67 | 334 | 71 | 54 | 11 | 21% | 2.0 | 21.3% | 16.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 6.75 | 5.54 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 37 | 0 | 60 | 276 | 55 | 41 | 9 | 0% | 1.6 | 15.3% | 17.1% | -1.7% | 4.0% | 5.58 | 6.16 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 37 | 0 | 60 | 276 | 55 | 41 | 9 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.9% | 14.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.58 | 5.28 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 21 | 114 | 25 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 27.8% | -8.4% | 0.0% | 7.84 | 4.98 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 21 | 114 | 25 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 24.6% | -2.6% | 0.9% | 7.84 | 5.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 13.7% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 5.04 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 86 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 4.67 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 107 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 114 | 29 | 231 | 1111 | 195 | 181 | 37 | 25% | 2.0 | 17.6% | 16.3% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 6.51 | 5.49 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 99 | 25 | 200 | 962 | 169 | 156 | 32 | 25% | 2.0 | 17.6% | 16.3% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 6.51 | 5.49 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Mikulski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.04 | 21.0% | 13.7% | 2.9% | — | 5.05 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 20 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 76 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 75 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 75 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 75 |
| Will Lamb L 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 74 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.79 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.91 | 3.88 | 269 | 74 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 73 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 73 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 73 |
| Trey Jeans L 2025 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 73 |
| David Rollins L 2026 · 5.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.89 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 5.1% | .260 | 6.02 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 20 | +0.13 | 3.79 | 132 | 73 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 72 |
| Erik Rivera L 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 25.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 122 | 72 |
| Sean Keselica L 2025 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 18.0% | 14.5% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 235 | 72 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.29 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 4.3% | .285 | 6.48 | 12.3% | -0.3% | 11 | +1.19 | 3.40 | 144 | 72 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 23.8% | 11.7% | 3.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 72 |
| Russell Smith L 2024 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.89 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 175 | 72 |
| Haylen Green L 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 72 |
| Kit Scheetz L 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.20 | 16.2% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 195 | 72 |
| Jeff Belge L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 71 |