Joey Marciano
P
Sacramento River Cats
Age 31
LHP
6'5" / 250 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 122
ERA4.54
FIP4.54
K%23.0%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%12.1%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | AZL Giants | 15 | 3 | 29 | 117 | 26 | 11 | 1 | 20% | 1.9 | 15.1% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.57 | 3.97 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | AZL Giants | 15 | 3 | 29 | 117 | 26 | 11 | 1 | 20% | 1.9 | 22.2% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 0.9% | 1.57 | 2.89 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 18 | 112 | 474 | 97 | 36 | 14 | 64% | 4.0 | 15.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.19 | 5.21 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 18 | 112 | 474 | 97 | 36 | 14 | 64% | 4.0 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.19 | 3.96 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | San Jose Giants | 27 | 0 | 42 | 188 | 46 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.8% | 13.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 4.75 | 4.85 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | San Jose Giants | 27 | 0 | 42 | 188 | 46 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 4.75 | 3.72 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 39 | 0 | 47 | 192 | 59 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.9% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 3.09 | 3.78 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 39 | 0 | 47 | 192 | 59 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.7% | 8.3% | 22.4% | 2.1% | 3.09 | 2.71 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 56 | 1 | 59 | 265 | 62 | 33 | 6 | 2% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 4.12 | 4.42 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 56 | 1 | 59 | 265 | 62 | 33 | 6 | 2% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | 4.12 | 4.00 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 31 | 2 | 43 | 219 | 51 | 42 | 5 | 6% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 20.1% | 0.4% | 2.3% | 6.75 | 5.16 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 31 | 2 | 43 | 219 | 51 | 42 | 5 | 6% | 1.4 | 23.3% | 19.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 6.75 | 5.19 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | SF | 22 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | SF | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | SF | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.36 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 100 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.36 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 196 | 24 | 330 | 1455 | 273 | 177 | 44 | 12% | 1.7 | 18.8% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 4.20 | 4.72 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 119 | 15 | 200 | 881 | 165 | 107 | 27 | 12% | 1.7 | 18.8% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 4.20 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joey Marciano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 23.0% | 10.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.74 | 22.6% | 11.5% | 22 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .351 | 5.19 | 21.5% | 14.2% | 18 | +1.40 | 2.29 | 130 | 82 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 79 |
| Phil Coke L 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 78 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2024 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 78 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 76 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.48 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% | .281 | 2.35 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.13 | 2.35 | 306 | 76 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.70 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .296 | 4.51 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 33 | +0.81 | 3.21 | 241 | 76 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 75 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.56 | 26.5% | 10.8% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.09 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 54 | +0.53 | 2.48 | 420 | 73 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 73 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.72 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .311 | 4.39 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.72 | 181 | 72 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.42 | 20.3% | 9.6% | 1.5% | .266 | 4.27 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 90 | +0.85 | 1.32 | 182 | 72 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .284 | 5.42 | 15.5% | 1.4% | 67 | +1.63 | 2.79 | 181 | 72 |
| Adam Loewen L 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.90 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.32 | 2.96 | 176 | 70 |
| James Jones L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 21.9% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .230 | 4.72 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 35 | +0.64 | 3.58 | 127 | 70 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 70 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.85 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 155 | 70 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 244 | 69 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.22 | 21.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | .227 | 3.50 | 21.4% | 16.9% | 187 | -0.72 | 2.22 | 405 | 69 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 20.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | .316 | 3.48 | 25.6% | 21.2% | 121 | -0.56 | 1.52 | 350 | 69 |