Jared Beck
P
Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 26
LHP
7'0" / 225 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 17 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 126
ERA4.75
FIP4.75
K%22.9%
BB%12.6%
K-BB%10.4%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 4 | 0 | 10 | 45 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 2.5 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 3.60 | 2.63 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 4 | 0 | 10 | 45 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 2.5 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 3.60 | 2.60 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 12 | 75 | 347 | 98 | 47 | 4 | 52% | 3.3 | 21.1% | 15.9% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 4.30 | 4.16 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 12 | 75 | 347 | 98 | 47 | 4 | 52% | 3.3 | 28.2% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 1.2% | 4.30 | 3.06 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 46 | 218 | 64 | 44 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.0% | 24.3% | -2.3% | 1.6% | 4.86 | 5.22 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 46 | 218 | 64 | 44 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.4% | 20.2% | 9.2% | 1.4% | 4.86 | 4.03 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 23 | 116 | 29 | 29 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 26.9% | -5.3% | 4.1% | 4.24 | 6.95 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 23 | 116 | 29 | 29 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 2.6% | 4.24 | 6.01 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 19 | 0 | 28 | 150 | 34 | 45 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.8% | 35.4% | -18.6% | 1.7% | 7.48 | 7.12 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | WSH | 16 | 0 | 17 | 73 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.75 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 45 | 223 | 51 | 54 | 4 | — | — | 22.8% | 24.3% | -1.5% | 1.9% | 6.43 | 6.21 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.37 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 110 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 102 | 12 | 183 | 876 | 181 | 197 | 16 | 12% | 1.8 | 20.7% | 22.5% | -1.8% | 1.9% | 4.88 | 5.22 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 112 | 13 | 200 | 959 | 198 | 216 | 18 | 12% | 1.8 | 20.7% | 22.5% | -1.8% | 1.9% | 4.88 | 5.22 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jared Beck (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.75 | 22.9% | 12.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.74 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 20 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 83 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 4.1% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.66 | 3.46 | 145 | 82 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 81 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.43 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.17 | 3.67 | 165 | 81 |
| Erik Rivera L 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 25.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 122 | 80 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 80 |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 79 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 79 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .284 | 3.48 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.82 | 2.92 | 226 | 79 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 4.99 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.11 | 3.88 | 256 | 79 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 79 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 78 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 78 |
| Jeff Belge L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 78 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .264 | 5.40 | 12.0% | 0.6% | 30 | +1.78 | 3.12 | 142 | 78 |
| Trey Jeans L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 78 |
| Tyler Holton L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .288 | 3.75 | 21.7% | 16.8% | 258 | -0.61 | 3.02 | 409 | 77 |
| James Reeves L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.3% | .226 | 5.24 | 27.0% | 10.8% | 51 | +1.45 | 2.02 | 280 | 77 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.33 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.16 | 2.35 | 120 | 77 |
| Andrew Magno L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.87 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .341 | 3.26 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 101 | -1.61 | 3.21 | 309 | 77 |