Jared Beck

P Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 27 LHP 7'0" / 225 lbs A
Overview
APROSPECT
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202424MIX2 levels330464.864.0329.4%20.2%—K 22.0% · BB 24.3% · FIP 5.17
202525MIX2 levels230234.246.0125.0%25.0%—K 21.5% · BB 26.9% · FIP 6.70
202626AWSH190287.486.4622.7%30.0%—K 16.8% · BB 35.4% · FIP 7.12
2027PROJ27MLBWSH——05.905.9020.2%20.0%—
2028PROJ36% MLB28MLBWSH5055.795.8320.4%19.1%-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsNick Lee (age 25) · Andrew Mitchell (age 27) · Graeme Stinson (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129137vR 145
ERA5.90
FIP5.90
K%20.2%
BB%20.0%
K-BB%0.2%
Proj IP15
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP
K: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -2.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -0.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.24 (15 IP)-0.2WAR
-0.2-0.12728
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
202222A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds40104510500%2.522.2%11.1%11.1%0.0%3.602.63—
202222A RAWDelmarva Shorebirds40104510500%2.522.2%11.1%11.1%0.0%3.602.60—
202323MIX MLE2 levels2312753479847452%3.321.1%15.9%5.2%1.5%4.304.15—
202323MIX RAW2 levels2312753479847452%3.328.2%13.5%14.7%1.2%4.303.06—
202424MIX MLE2 levels33046218644430%1.422.0%24.3%-2.3%1.6%4.865.17—
202424MIX MLE2 levels33046218644430%1.422.0%24.3%-2.3%1.6%4.865.17—
202424MIX RAW2 levels33046218644430%1.429.4%20.2%9.2%1.4%4.864.03—
202525MIX MLE2 levels23023116292930%1.021.5%26.9%-5.3%3.7%4.246.70—
202525MIX MLE2 levels23023116292930%1.021.5%26.9%-5.3%3.7%4.246.70—
202525MIX RAW2 levels23023116292930%1.025.0%25.0%0.0%2.6%4.246.01—
202626A MLEFredericksburg Nationals19028150344520%1.516.8%35.4%-18.6%1.7%7.487.12—
202626A MLEFredericksburg Nationals19028150344520%1.516.8%35.4%-18.6%1.7%7.487.12—
202626A RAWFredericksburg Nationals19028150344520%1.522.7%30.0%-7.3%1.3%7.486.46—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
202727MLBWSH——0——————20.2%20.0%0.2%2.9%5.905.90—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
202828MLB MLEWSH1401562131220%1.020.4%19.1%1.3%3.0%5.795.83-0.2
202828MLB CTXWSH505214410%1.020.4%19.1%1.3%3.0%5.795.83-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW505225410%1.120.4%19.1%1.3%3.0%5.795.45-0.1
/ 200 IP— RAW1900200844188151380%1.120.4%19.1%1.3%3.0%5.795.45-2.1
Career— MLE102121838761811971512%1.820.7%22.5%-1.8%1.8%4.885.17-0.2
/ 200 IP— MLE112132009591982161712%1.820.7%22.5%-1.8%1.8%4.885.17-2.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFredericksburg Nationals · 28 IPFIP 5.72 → 7.12 (+1.40)K% 22.7% → 16.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF22.67%—×0.74016.77%
BB% (unintentional) /BF30.00%—×1.18035.40%
HR / BF /BF1.33%÷1.000×1.3001.73%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 5.72 → 7.12, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 17 IPFIP 4.92 → 6.70 (+1.78)K% 29.1% → 21.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF29.11%—×0.74021.54%
BB% (unintentional) /BF22.78%—×1.18026.89%
HR / BF /BF2.53%÷0.899×1.3003.66%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 80).

Result: FIP 4.92 → 6.70, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 6 IPFIP 6.98 → 7.89 (+0.91)K% 16.2% → 12.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF16.22%—×0.77012.49%
BB% (unintentional) /BF29.73%—×1.15034.19%
HR / BF /BF2.70%÷1.229×1.2502.75%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 146).

Result: FIP 6.98 → 7.89, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 37 IPFIP 3.82 → 5.17 (+1.35)K% 29.7% → 22.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF29.71%—×0.74021.99%
BB% (unintentional) /BF20.57%—×1.18024.27%
HR / BF /BF1.14%÷0.952×1.3001.56%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 90).

Result: FIP 3.82 → 5.17, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 9 IPFIP 4.38 → 5.55 (+1.17)K% 27.9% → 21.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF27.91%—×0.77021.49%
BB% (unintentional) /BF18.60%—×1.15021.40%
HR / BF /BF2.33%÷1.026×1.2502.83%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 105).

Result: FIP 4.38 → 5.55, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 58 IPFIP 2.86 → 3.97 (+1.11)K% 29.5% → 21.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF29.55%—×0.74021.86%
BB% (unintentional) /BF12.88%—×1.18015.20%
HR / BF /BF1.14%÷1.020×1.3001.45%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 104).

Result: FIP 2.86 → 3.97, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 17 IPFIP 3.71 → 4.72 (+1.01)K% 24.1% → 18.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF24.10%—×0.77018.55%
BB% (unintentional) /BF15.66%—×1.15018.01%
HR / BF /BF1.20%÷0.912×1.2501.65%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 82).

Result: FIP 3.71 → 4.72, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 10 IPFIP 2.63 → 3.37 (+0.74)K% 22.2% → 16.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF22.22%—×0.74016.44%
BB% (unintentional) /BF11.11%—×1.18013.11%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷1.128×1.3000.00%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 126).

Result: FIP 2.63 → 3.37, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).