Jared Beck
P
Fredericksburg Nationals
+0.1
WAR
Age 26
LHP
7'0" / 225 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.74
FIP4.74
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.0%
BB%12.6%
K-BB%10.4%
IP25
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 4 | 0 | 10 | 45 | 10 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.60 | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 23 | 12 | 75 | 347 | 98 | 47 | 4 | 21.1% | 15.9% | 1.5% | 4.30 | 4.15 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 33 | 0 | 46 | 218 | 64 | 44 | 3 | 22.0% | 24.3% | 1.6% | 4.86 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 23 | 0 | 23 | 116 | 29 | 29 | 3 | 21.5% | 26.9% | 3.7% | 4.24 | 6.72 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 4 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 11 | 10 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.17 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | WSH | 25 | — | 25 | 105 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 22.9% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.74 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 32 | 141 | 35 | 23 | 3 | 24.9% | 16.5% | 2.2% | 3.90 | 3.62 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 25 | — | 25 | 104 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 23.0% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 87 | 12 | 163 | 762 | 167 | 154 | 13 | 21.9% | 20.2% | 1.7% | 4.26 | 4.75 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 107 | 15 | 200 | 937 | 205 | 189 | 16 | 21.9% | 20.2% | 1.7% | 4.26 | 4.75 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jared Beck (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.74 | 22.9% | 12.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.71 | 23.0% | 10.7% | 25 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.85 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 3.6% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.39 | 3.46 | 145 | 86 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.27 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.47 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.20 | 3.49 | 165 | 86 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 23.1% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .246 | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 121 | +0.33 | 3.04 | 194 | 83 |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .309 | 4.53 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.62 | 3.91 | 106 | 82 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.16 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.20 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.04 | 2.45 | 120 | 82 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.09 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 81 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.62 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.93 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.31 | 1.66 | 186 | 81 |
| Jeff Belge L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 175 | 81 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .318 | 2.78 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -1.75 | 1.81 | 421 | 80 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 3.9% | .296 | 2.82 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -1.75 | 2.58 | 160 | 80 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.84 | 27.4% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .284 | 3.09 | 23.4% | 16.7% | 53 | -0.75 | 3.09 | 145 | 80 |
| Reagan Todd L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 25.6% | 12.0% | 2.5% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 122 | 80 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .197 | 4.65 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.46 | 4.19 | 133 | 79 |
| Trey Jeans L 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.11 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 79 |
| Andy Fisher L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.20 | 21.5% | 15.4% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.25 | 17.2% | 6.3% | 52 | +0.05 | 3.12 | 167 | 79 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2028 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 79 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 79 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.95 | 21.0% | 14.1% | 3.3% | .294 | 3.99 | 17.7% | 4.9% | 37 | -0.96 | 3.58 | 206 | 79 |
| Tyler Holton L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .288 | 3.59 | 21.7% | 16.8% | 258 | -0.71 | 2.93 | 367 | 78 |
| John Beller L 2024 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 170 | 78 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.