Jacob Kroeger — OGILVIE

Jacob Kroeger P Rome Emperors

Age 26 LHP 6'1" / 190 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118126vR 134

ERA5.32

FIP5.32

K%16.2%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%2.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	24	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	7	1	13	59	16	17	0	14%	1.8	20.1%	34.0%	-13.9%	0.0%	2.13	5.71	—
2024	24	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	7	1	13	59	16	17	0	14%	1.8	20.1%	34.0%	-13.9%	0.0%	2.13	5.71	—
2024	24	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	7	1	13	59	16	17	0	14%	1.8	27.1%	28.8%	-1.7%	0.0%	2.13	4.60	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	12	91	354	86	31	5	52%	4.0	18.4%	10.2%	8.2%	2.0%	1.98	3.94	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	12	91	354	86	31	5	52%	4.0	18.4%	10.2%	8.2%	2.0%	1.98	3.94	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	12	91	354	86	31	5	52%	4.0	24.3%	8.8%	15.5%	1.4%	1.98	2.95	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	34	1	50	229	61	33	4	3%	1.5	20.5%	16.6%	3.9%	2.2%	4.86	4.67	—
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	34	1	50	229	61	33	4	3%	1.5	20.5%	16.6%	3.9%	2.2%	4.86	4.67	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A+ RAW	ATL	34	1	50	229	61	33	4	3%	1.5	26.6%	14.4%	12.2%	1.7%	4.86	3.63	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	ATL	6	0	6	25	4	3	1	0%	1.0	16.2%	13.3%	2.9%	2.8%	5.32	5.32	-0.1
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	56	254	65	36	5	—	—	25.6%	14.3%	11.3%	1.8%	4.91	4.73	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	ATL	77	0	81	341	57	44	10	0%	1.0	16.8%	12.8%	4.0%	2.9%	5.24	5.25	-0.6
2028	28	MLB MLE	ATL	75	0	78	331	63	39	10	0%	1.0	19.0%	11.8%	7.2%	3.0%	5.06	4.99	-0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	ATL	71	0	75	316	60	38	10	0%	1.1	19.0%	11.9%	7.1%	3.1%	5.06	5.09	-0.5
2030	30	MLB MLE	ATL	67	0	70	297	56	36	10	0%	1.0	18.8%	12.1%	6.7%	3.3%	5.16	5.25	-0.6
2027	27	MLB CTX	ATL	29	0	30	127	21	16	4	0%	1.0	16.8%	12.8%	4.0%	2.9%	5.24	5.25	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	ATL	44	0	46	194	37	23	6	0%	1.0	19.0%	11.8%	7.2%	3.0%	5.06	4.99	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	ATL	50	0	53	224	43	27	7	0%	1.1	19.0%	11.9%	7.1%	3.1%	5.06	5.09	-0.3
2030	30	MLB CTX	ATL	52	0	55	232	44	28	8	0%	1.1	18.8%	12.1%	6.7%	3.3%	5.16	5.25	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		175	0	183	774	144	93	24	0%	1.0	18.6%	12.1%	6.5%	3.1%	5.12	4.76	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	157	101	26	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.1%	6.5%	3.1%	5.12	4.76	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		64	14	154	642	124	94	12	22%	2.4	19.3%	14.6%	4.7%	1.9%	2.93	4.36	-2.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	18	200	836	161	122	16	22%	2.4	19.3%	14.6%	4.7%	1.9%	2.93	4.36	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jacob Kroeger (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.32	16.2%	13.3%	2.8%	—	5.11	18.2%	6.1%	234	-0.21	—	—	—
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	82
Kyle Hunter L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	26	SW	4.32	12.5%	11.5%	1.5%	.258	4.49	12.6%	4.6%	144	+0.17	4.32	188	82
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	80
Stephen Peterson L 2015 · 4.59 FIP	27	SU	4.59	13.0%	9.5%	2.5%	.284	3.04	17.3%	6.3%	55	-1.55	3.04	120	80
Sean Keselica L 2019 · 4.47 FIP	26	SU	4.47	18.0%	14.5%	1.9%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	235	78
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	78
T.J. Sikkema L 2023 · 6.04 FIP	25	SU	6.04	16.1%	13.2%	4.8%	.245	3.86	17.1%	9.6%	159	-2.18	3.57	300	77
Ben Onyshko L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	26	SU	4.39	16.1%	10.2%	2.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	77
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	77
Ryne Slack L 2018 · 5.59 FIP	26	SU	5.59	13.9%	12.1%	3.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	212	77
Houston Harding L 2023 · 5.74 FIP	25	SU	5.74	17.9%	15.0%	4.1%	.307	4.83	14.4%	3.1%	142	-0.91	3.41	239	76
Joe Kemlage L 2023 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.6%	11.7%	4.1%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	128	76
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	76
Rob Zastryzny L 2018 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	18.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.264	4.81	19.8%	10.8%	142	+0.50	3.34	634	76
Randy Labaut L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	26	SU	4.73	16.8%	13.9%	2.4%	.244	4.99	17.7%	5.4%	98	+0.26	1.91	302	76
Justin Wright L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	26	SU	4.42	14.7%	13.7%	1.5%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.28	109	76
Phil Pfeifer L 2018 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.4%	15.7%	1.0%	.279	4.06	21.4%	11.5%	161	-0.09	3.61	307	76
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	75
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	75
Ross Detwiler L 2015 · 5.50 FIP	29	SW	5.50	14.2%	12.2%	3.8%	.356	4.80	14.1%	5.9%	242	-0.70	3.49	512	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	75	18.0%	12.4%	1.16	5.17
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91