Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Indians Blue | 11 | 0 | 31 | 122 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 2.8 | 21.7% | 5.1% | 16.6% | 0.0% | 1.74 | 1.91 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Indians Blue | 11 | 0 | 31 | 122 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 2.8 | 32.0% | 4.1% | 27.9% | 0.0% | 1.74 | 1.07 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 22 | 3 | 44 | 185 | 58 | 22 | 5 | 14% | 2.0 | 23.2% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 3.09 | 5.06 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 22 | 3 | 44 | 185 | 58 | 22 | 5 | 14% | 2.0 | 31.4% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 2.7% | 3.09 | 3.44 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 70 | 288 | 89 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.9 | 24.3% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 3.33 | 4.37 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 70 | 288 | 89 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.9 | 30.9% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 2.8% | 3.33 | 3.54 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 1 | 58 | 247 | 51 | 35 | 5 | 3% | 1.8 | 17.1% | 15.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.70 | 4.91 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 1 | 58 | 247 | 51 | 35 | 5 | 3% | 1.8 | 20.6% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 3.70 | 4.27 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 36 | 3 | 61 | 280 | 52 | 40 | 7 | 8% | 1.7 | 16.3% | 15.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.57 | 4.97 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 36 | 3 | 61 | 280 | 52 | 40 | 7 | 8% | 1.7 | 18.6% | 14.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.57 | 4.85 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 3 | 40 | 168 | 44 | 20 | 6 | 12% | 1.7 | 22.7% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 4.69 | 5.60 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 3 | 40 | 168 | 44 | 20 | 6 | 12% | 1.7 | 26.2% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 3.6% | 4.69 | 4.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 5.07 | 5.07 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 24 | 0 | 26 | 108 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 5.10 | 5.17 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 5.10 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 5.10 | 4.79 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 171 | 107 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 5.10 | 4.79 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 164 | 10 | 305 | 1290 | 266 | 173 | 37 | 6% | 1.9 | 20.6% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 3.63 | 4.63 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 108 | 7 | 200 | 847 | 174 | 114 | 24 | 6% | 1.9 | 20.6% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 3.63 | 4.63 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Randy Labaut (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.07 | 20.9% | 12.4% | 3.3% | — | 5.17 | 20.8% | 8.5% | 26 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 82 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 81 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 79 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 77 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.48 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 46 | -0.34 | 3.80 | 172 | 77 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 77 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.34 | 17.4% | 12.8% | 2.0% | .275 | 5.22 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 66 | +0.88 | 3.88 | 269 | 73 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.56 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | .300 | 3.44 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -1.12 | 2.81 | 223 | 73 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 72 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 72 |
| Adam Loewen L 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.90 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.32 | 2.96 | 176 | 71 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.14 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 3.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 299 | 71 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 71 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .253 | 3.69 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 161 | -0.35 | 2.69 | 703 | 71 |
| Braulio Lara L 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.86 | 19.8% | 17.8% | 4.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 118 | 70 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 70 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.72 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 2.1% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 133 | 69 |
| Chasen Shreve L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.98 | 24.4% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.53 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 108 | +0.55 | 3.94 | 470 | 69 |
| Robby Scott L 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.42 | 23.9% | 15.9% | 4.2% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 285 | 69 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 20.9% | 12.4% | 1.30 | 5.08 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |