Garret Forrester
3B Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A/ROK2 orgs | 264 | .243/.391/.324 | 1 | 3 | 60 | — | .192/.310/.254 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+MIA | 272 | .241/.390/.310 | 2 | 12 | 66 | — | .202/.323/.263 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA/AAMIA | 206 | .217/.417/.454 | 8 | 6 | 98 | — | .183/.328/.373 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 25 | MLBMIA | 14 | .184/.315/.311 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ42% MLB | 26 | MLBMIA | 84 | .187/.315/.315 | 2 | 2 | 90 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ55% MLB | 27 | MLBMIA | 128 | .189/.314/.316 | 3 | 3 | 89 | 0.2 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 29 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 552 | 278 | 830 | 455 | 24 | 34 | 422 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 239 | 192 | 49 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 67 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 255 | 397 | 344 | 740 | 89 | 381 | 28 | 15 | 345 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | FCL Pirates | — | 25 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 333 | 111 | 444 | 143 | 20 | 8 | 246 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 272 | 216 | 52 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 44 | 65 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 241 | 390 | 310 | 701 | 69 | 329 | 24 | 16 | 331 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 110 | 79 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 165 | 389 | 329 | 718 | 165 | 256 | 33 | 25 | 337 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 96 | 73 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 274 | 448 | 589 | 1.037 | 315 | 264 | 15 | 22 | 450 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 29 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 448 | 238 | 686 | 436 | 31 | 24 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 239 | 204 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 89 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 201 | 312 | 270 | 582 | 69 | 331 | 37 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 25 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 292 | 105 | 397 | 113 | 28 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 272 | 228 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 85 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 202 | 323 | 263 | 587 | 61 | 294 | 31 | 12 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 110 | 88 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 136 | 296 | 273 | 569 | 136 | 215 | 39 | 16 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 96 | 80 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 237 | 365 | 487 | 852 | 250 | 241 | 18 | 15 | 368 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 29 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 448 | 238 | 686 | 417 | 31 | 24 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 29 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 552 | 278 | 830 | 455 | 24 | 34 | 422 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 264 | 222 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 96 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 189 | 310 | 252 | 563 | 63 | 320 | 36 | 10 | 256 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 264 | 210 | 51 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 72 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 243 | 391 | 324 | 715 | 81 | 357 | 27 | 15 | 336 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 272 | 228 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 85 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 202 | 323 | 263 | 587 | 61 | 306 | 31 | 12 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 272 | 216 | 52 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 44 | 65 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 241 | 390 | 310 | 701 | 69 | 329 | 24 | 16 | 331 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 206 | 167 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 60 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 186 | 333 | 377 | 711 | 192 | 235 | 29 | 16 | 314 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 206 | 152 | 33 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 48 | 50 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 217 | 417 | 454 | 871 | 237 | 260 | 24 | 23 | 390 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 29 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 448 | 238 | 686 | 436 | 31 | 24 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 264 | 223 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 96 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 188 | 310 | 251 | 561 | 63 | 310 | 36 | 10 | 256 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 272 | 229 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 85 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 201 | 323 | 262 | 585 | 61 | 294 | 31 | 12 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 206 | 167 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 60 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 186 | 333 | 377 | 711 | 192 | 227 | 29 | 16 | 314 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 264 | 223 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 96 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 188 | 310 | 251 | 561 | 63 | 310 | 36 | 10 | 256 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 272 | 229 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 85 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 201 | 323 | 262 | 585 | 61 | 294 | 31 | 12 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 206 | 167 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 60 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 186 | 333 | 377 | 711 | 192 | 227 | 29 | 16 | 314 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIA | 10% | 256 | 213 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 86 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 192 | 321 | 327 | 648 | 135 | 283 | 34 | 14 | 299 | 89 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIA | 10% | 14 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 315 | 311 | 626 | 127 | 272 | 36 | 14 | 291 | 89 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIA | 42% | 198 | 165 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 65 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 194 | 321 | 331 | 652 | 137 | 283 | 33 | 14 | 301 | 90 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIA | 55% | 234 | 196 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 76 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 196 | 320 | 332 | 652 | 136 | 283 | 32 | 14 | 300 | 89 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIA | 61% | 258 | 217 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 83 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 196 | 318 | 331 | 649 | 135 | 282 | 32 | 13 | 299 | 88 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIA | 62% | 263 | 223 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 84 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 196 | 315 | 328 | 643 | 132 | 281 | 32 | 13 | 296 | 86 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIA | 42% | 84 | 70 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 187 | 315 | 315 | 630 | 128 | 272 | 33 | 14 | 292 | 90 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIA | 55% | 128 | 108 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 189 | 314 | 316 | 630 | 128 | 272 | 33 | 13 | 292 | 89 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIA | 61% | 157 | 132 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 51 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 189 | 311 | 315 | 627 | 126 | 272 | 32 | 13 | 290 | 88 | -2 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIA | 62% | 164 | 139 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 53 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 189 | 309 | 313 | 622 | 124 | 270 | 32 | 13 | 288 | 86 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 533 | 449 | 86 | 20 | 0 | 12 | 71 | 174 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 192 | 315 | 316 | 631 | 125 | 278 | 33 | 13 | 290 | 83 | -8 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 548 | 105 | 24 | 0 | 15 | 87 | 212 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 192 | 316 | 318 | 633 | 126 | 277 | 33 | 13 | 290 | 83 | -9 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1861 | 1553 | 303 | 70 | 4 | 36 | 245 | 604 | 46 | 40 | 1 | 195 | 322 | 315 | 637 | 120 | 288 | 32 | 13 | 290 | 83 | -15 | +4 | -1 | +4 | +24 | 1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 542 | 105 | 24 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 211 | 16 | 14 | 0 | 194 | 321 | 314 | 635 | 120 | 285 | 32 | 13 | 290 | 83 | -9 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 110 PAwOBA .333 → .266 (−67)K% 32.7% → 39.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 16.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 8.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 13.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .333 → .266; ISO .165 → .137; BABIP .256 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 96 PAwOBA .439 → .368 (−70)K% 14.6% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.58% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 14.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 14.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 7.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 8.12% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .439 → .368; ISO .315 → .278; BABIP .264 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 272 PAwOBA .328 → .266 (−62)K% 23.9% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.90% | ÷0.972 | ×1.270 | — | — | 31.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.18% | ÷0.978 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 11.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.31% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 2.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.81% | ÷1.028 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×0.988 | 25.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.64% | ÷0.961 | ×0.810 | ×1.025 | ×0.988 | 3.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.025 | ×0.988 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.006 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.04% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .328 → .266; ISO .069 → .056; BABIP .329 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AJupiter Hammerheads · 239 PAwOBA .340 → .264 (−76)K% 28.0% → 37.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.03% | ÷1.029 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.48% | ÷0.993 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 10.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.35% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.20% | ÷1.065 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×0.990 | 24.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.20% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | ×1.038 | ×0.990 | 9.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.910 | ×1.038 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.80% | ÷0.888 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.71% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 113, 2B 106, 3B 92, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .340 → .264; ISO .089 → .070; BABIP .381 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Pirates · 25 PAwOBA .251 → .182 (−70)K% 20.0% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.032 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷0.964 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 4.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 16.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 11.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 12.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.917 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 96, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .251 → .182; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .143 → .113. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ABradenton Marauders · 29 PAwOBA .415 → .345 (−70)K% 24.1% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.14% | ÷1.037 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 34.48% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | — | 23.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 45.45% | ÷0.958 | ×0.920 | — | — | 43.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 92, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .415 → .345; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .455 → .436. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).