Chase Strumpf — OGILVIE

Chase Strumpf3B Iowa Cubs

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .276 / .311

PA250

HR7

K%37

BB%11

ISO134

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	ROK	2 teams	—	60	49	6	3	0	1	5	20	4	0	0	122	259	245	504	122	167	33	8	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	ROK	2 teams	—	60	46	7	4	0	1	8	14	4	0	0	152	328	304	632	152	182	23	13	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	2 teams	—	321	285	55	15	0	6	28	108	6	4	1	193	279	309	588	116	283	34	9	259	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	2 teams	—	321	268	62	19	0	7	45	82	6	4	1	231	354	381	735	149	304	26	14	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	486	409	68	17	1	15	57	228	19	2	2	166	297	323	620	156	317	47	12	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	486	393	92	22	2	21	73	162	19	2	2	234	379	461	840	226	336	33	15	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	434	374	69	13	1	18	47	168	10	5	2	184	292	369	661	184	267	39	11	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	434	349	80	17	1	21	72	140	10	5	2	229	376	464	840	235	309	32	17	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	326	288	53	10	0	8	34	136	1	1	2	184	272	302	575	118	310	42	10	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	326	278	66	13	0	12	44	113	1	1	2	237	344	414	757	176	351	35	13	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	392	341	63	12	2	9	43	147	5	10	0	185	285	311	596	126	287	38	11	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	392	321	71	16	2	13	63	120	5	10	0	221	357	405	762	184	304	31	16	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	CHC	—	250	218	40	8	1	7	27	92	3	4	1	183	282	326	608	142	268	37	11	271	65	-10	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	CHC	27%	323	282	53	10	1	9	34	114	4	4	1	188	284	326	611	138	270	35	11	274	68	-12	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
2027	29	MLB	CHC	27%	88	78	14	3	0	2	9	31	1	1	0	179	273	295	568	115	271	35	10	267	63	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	88	78	14	3	0	2	9	31	1	1	0	179	273	295	568	115	267	35	10	267	63	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	103	22	0	15	66	229	7	7	0	179	271	295	566	116	265	35	10	267	63	-27	+1	-3	+2	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	2592	2246	407	88	6	73	275	1013	52	30	9	181	285	323	609	142	284	39	11	272	66	-99	+2	-1	+9	+73	-1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	102	22	2	18	69	254	13	8	2	181	285	323	609	142	285	39	11	272	66	-25	+1	-0	+2	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	South Bend Cubs	—	28	24	3	1	0	1	1	7	2	0	0	125	222	292	514	167	118	25	4	230	34	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	21	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	32	22	4	3	0	0	7	7	2	0	0	182	419	318	738	136	250	22	22	347	124	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	254	213	45	15	0	7	38	65	2	1	0	211	336	380	716	169	268	26	15	325	107	+2	+0	—	—	+7	1.0
2021	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	67	55	17	4	0	0	7	17	4	3	1	309	424	382	806	73	436	25	10	369	141	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	486	393	92	22	2	21	73	162	19	2	2	234	379	461	840	226	336	33	15	376	146	+25	-0	—	—	+14	3.9
2023	25	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	267	217	46	6	1	14	44	90	5	2	1	212	357	442	800	230	281	34	16	357	132	+10	+0	—	—	+8	1.7
2023	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	167	132	34	11	0	7	28	50	5	3	1	258	406	500	906	242	351	30	17	397	162	+12	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2024	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	326	278	66	13	0	12	44	113	1	1	2	237	344	414	757	176	351	35	13	338	117	+6	-1	—	—	+9	1.5
2025	27	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	392	321	71	16	2	13	63	120	5	10	0	221	357	405	762	184	304	31	16	344	121	+9	+2	—	—	+11	2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chase Strumpf (OGILVIE)	28	35	55	50	60	179/276/311	132	268	7	4	37%	11%	65	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2023 · MLB	28	36	52→45	48→45	47	191/282/351	160	279	21	6	38%	11%	77	+0.1	177/257/306	129	280	16	7	40%	9%	55	-1.4	106/194/193	87	165	13	5	43%	9%	-2	-1.3
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB	29	36→41	49→50	46→50	41	187/265/334	147	282	18	7	38%	8%	66	-0.6	188/258/303	115	312	13	8	41%	8%	54	-1.4	165/233/253	88	291	10	8	44%	7%	27	-1.3
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	50	48→45	42	207/264/358	151	266	19	10	30%	7%	70	-0.3	224/280/372	148	286	19	8	28%	7%	81	+0.4	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	84	+0.3
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	38	49→50	45→40	39	200/259/341	142	281	17	5	35%	7%	64	-0.8	210/268/319	109	310	10	9	33%	7%	62	-0.9	179/240/258	79	274	6	4	35%	7%	32	-0.7
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB	28	35→40	48→50	47→30	42	188/252/323	135	255	17	3	33%	8%	56	-1.3	206/283/351	145	293	17	8	33%	9%	77	+0.1	200/295/343	143	281	18	0	33%	11%	78	+0.1
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	35→32	51→55	50	44	187/277/350	163	274	19	12	37%	9%	75	-0.0	186/266/343	157	299	19	12	42%	8%	69	-0.4	165/248/320	156	268	21	12	44%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA	27	37→39	49→55	47→45	40	192/260/338	147	292	18	6	39%	8%	64	-0.8	201/263/349	148	300	19	7	38%	7%	68	-0.5	189/253/337	148	276	20	5	38%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→31	47→45	51→45	43	182/258/317	135	266	15	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	187/257/316	129	263	16	10	34%	8%	57	-1.2	134/210/250	116	164	19	8	33%	8%	18	-1.7
✕Michael Rosamond 2006 · AAA	28	41	47→55	48→45	39	210/262/339	129	288	15	10	32%	6%	64	-0.8	215/259/365	150	325	18	9	38%	5%	70	-0.3	201/240/367	166	312	20	6	41%	4%	59	-0.7
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA	28	38→41	47→50	45→50	40	199/251/330	132	266	15	7	31%	6%	57	-1.2	212/260/337	125	294	15	8	32%	6%	63	-0.9	210/247/324	114	281	15	6	31%	4%	50	-1.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2023 · MLB	27	37→40	50→55	52→50	39	199/251/350	152	268	19	13	33%	6%	63	-0.8	192/271/329	137	269	15	13	32%	9%	66	-0.6	170/265/300	130	236	14	13	33%	11%	56	-0.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	38→37	50	51→50	36	205/243/354	149	265	18	13	31%	4%	60	-1.0	223/281/343	120	285	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	228/298/319	92	290	8	6	23%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Richie Shaffer 2018 · MLB	27	36→38	48→55	46→40	39	189/257/325	136	280	17	5	37%	7%	59	-1.1	179/241/303	124	316	14	6	45%	7%	46	-2.0	103/163/205	102	202	12	0	54%	6%	-14	-2.5
✕Taylor Featherston 2018 · MLB	28	39→45	46→55	51→50	39	202/256/326	125	272	14	12	31%	6%	59	-1.1	180/236/306	126	304	15	10	44%	5%	46	-2.0	152/209/273	121	273	16	8	48%	4%	23	-2.4
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB	27	39→43	48→55	54→50	39	201/255/342	141	280	15	14	33%	6%	63	-0.9	210/253/346	136	306	17	16	36%	5%	63	-0.9	205/243/339	134	297	19	19	37%	4%	54	-0.7
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	42→37	44→55	47→30	39	204/270/318	113	301	11	5	34%	7%	63	-0.9	201/258/295	94	304	9	7	35%	7%	51	-1.7	159/216/216	58	242	7	0	36%	6%	10	-1.4
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→42	49→50	52→50	48	196/278/340	144	250	18	12	29%	9%	72	-0.2	207/297/365	158	271	19	13	29%	11%	87	+0.8	195/295/355	161	251	20	12	30%	12%	82	+0.4
✕Joe Dunand 2023 · AAA	27	38→48	45→50	49→45	38	191/257/314	123	290	13	8	37%	7%	56	-1.3	228/296/385	157	320	18	8	33%	7%	91	+1.1	238/312/416	178	325	22	4	32%	8%	102	+1.2
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA	27	42→44	49→55	49→50	38	210/274/357	147	307	16	12	36%	6%	75	-0.0	212/284/368	156	323	18	15	38%	7%	82	+0.5	200/276/356	157	309	19	17	39%	7%	72	-0.1