Chase Strumpf3B
Iowa Cubs
Age 28
R/R
6'0" / 170 lbs
AAA
BB +5%HR -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.1 · 2026
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .285 / .336
PA250
HR7
K%38
BB%10
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
55→55
SPD
50→50
EYE
58↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-4M | $-8M | -$4M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | 2 teams | 60 | 49 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .122 | .259 | .245 | .504 | .122 | .161 | 32 | 8 | .221 | 27 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | 2 teams | 321 | 285 | 55 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 109 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .193 | .279 | .312 | .591 | .119 | .285 | 34 | 9 | .260 | 57 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 486 | 414 | 74 | 18 | 2 | 17 | 52 | 217 | 19 | 2 | 2 | .179 | .299 | .355 | .654 | .176 | .315 | 45 | 11 | .286 | 77 | -13 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | 2 teams | 434 | 373 | 69 | 14 | 1 | 18 | 48 | 171 | 10 | 5 | 2 | .185 | .295 | .373 | .667 | .188 | .273 | 39 | 11 | .293 | 82 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 326 | 290 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 136 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .186 | .269 | .314 | .583 | .128 | .308 | 42 | 10 | .258 | 56 | -16 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 392 | 341 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 146 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .182 | .283 | .317 | .599 | .135 | .277 | 37 | 11 | .267 | 63 | -17 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +11 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 250 | 219 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 96 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .192 | .286 | .333 | .620 | .142 | .295 | 38 | 10 | .284 | 76 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 20% | CHC | 323 | 283 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 120 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .198 | .291 | .350 | .640 | .152 | .294 | 37 | 10 | .286 | 77 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 33% | CHC | 343 | 301 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 125 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .199 | .291 | .346 | .637 | .146 | .292 | 36 | 10 | .286 | 77 | -9 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 43% | CHC | 342 | 300 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 123 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .200 | .292 | .347 | .639 | .147 | .290 | 36 | 10 | .284 | 75 | -10 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 52% | CHC | 332 | 292 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 120 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .195 | .286 | .332 | .618 | .137 | .289 | 36 | 10 | .280 | 73 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 70% | CHC | 308 | 271 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 114 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .192 | .282 | .325 | .607 | .133 | .287 | 37 | 10 | .275 | 68 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 87% | CHC | 268 | 236 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 101 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .186 | .278 | .318 | .596 | .131 | .285 | 38 | 10 | .268 | 63 | -11 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4185 | 3654 | 691 | 145 | 12 | 122 | 428 | 1597 | 70 | 34 | 9 | .189 | .286 | .336 | .622 | .146 | .290 | 38 | 10 | .277 | 70 | -141 | +3 | -19 | +15 | +119 | -2.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 568 | 108 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 66 | 248 | 11 | 5 | 1 | .190 | .287 | .338 | .625 | .148 | .292 | 38 | 10 | .277 | 70 | -22 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | -0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A | South Bend Cubs | 28 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .125 | .222 | .292 | .514 | .167 | .118 | 25 | 4 | .230 | 34 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 32 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .182 | .419 | .318 | .738 | .136 | .250 | 22 | 22 | .347 | 124 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 254 | 213 | 45 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 65 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .211 | .336 | .380 | .716 | .169 | .268 | 26 | 15 | .325 | 107 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 1.0 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 67 | 55 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .309 | .424 | .382 | .806 | .073 | .436 | 25 | 10 | .369 | 141 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 486 | 393 | 92 | 22 | 2 | 21 | 73 | 162 | 19 | 2 | 2 | .234 | .379 | .461 | .840 | .226 | .336 | 33 | 15 | .376 | 146 | +25 | -0 | — | — | +14 | 3.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 267 | 217 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 90 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .212 | .357 | .442 | .800 | .230 | .281 | 34 | 16 | .357 | 132 | +10 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 1.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 167 | 132 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 50 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .258 | .406 | .500 | .906 | .242 | .351 | 30 | 17 | .397 | 162 | +12 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 326 | 278 | 66 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 44 | 113 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .237 | .344 | .414 | .757 | .176 | .351 | 35 | 13 | .338 | 117 | +6 | -1 | — | — | +9 | 1.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 392 | 321 | 71 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 63 | 120 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .221 | .357 | .405 | .762 | .184 | .304 | 31 | 16 | .344 | 121 | +9 | +2 | — | — | +11 | 2.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Chase Strumpf (OGILVIE) | 28 | 35 | 55 | 50 | 60 | .190/.285/.336 | .146 | .295 | 7 | 3 | 38% | 10% | 76 | +0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2023 · MLB |
28 | 36 | 50→45 | 48→45 | 47 | .189/.279/.338 | .149 | .279 | 19 | 6 | 37% | 11% | 72 | -0.2 | .177/.257/.305 | .128 | .279 | 16 | 7 | 40% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | .109/.194/.201 | .091 | .171 | 14 | 5 | 44% | 9% | 0 | -1.3 |
|
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB |
27 | 37 | 52→55 | 46→40 | 48 | .196/.288/.367 | .171 | .263 | 19 | 6 | 32% | 10% | 84 | +0.6 | .195/.284/.358 | .163 | .250 | 20 | 6 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .173/.269/.328 | .156 | .208 | 22 | 3 | 29% | 10% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB |
26 | 36→33 | 52→55 | 50 | 44 | .192/.280/.359 | .167 | .275 | 20 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .185/.266/.345 | .160 | .294 | 20 | 12 | 41% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .162/.246/.317 | .156 | .267 | 21 | 12 | 45% | 8% | 51 | -1.1 |
|
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB |
28 | 37→39 | 46→50 | 46→45 | 50 | .191/.285/.319 | .128 | .261 | 14 | 9 | 31% | 11% | 70 | -0.3 | .189/.283/.313 | .124 | .261 | 14 | 10 | 31% | 11% | 68 | -0.5 | .168/.270/.287 | .119 | .228 | 14 | 8 | 31% | 11% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA |
27 | 38→37 | 50→55 | 47→45 | 41 | .196/.266/.350 | .154 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 38% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .196/.260/.343 | .147 | .289 | 18 | 6 | 37% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .181/.245/.318 | .137 | .261 | 18 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Brandon Hicks 2014 · MLB |
28 | 40 | 49→50 | 48→50 | 37 | .202/.264/.349 | .147 | .315 | 17 | 10 | 40% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .187/.262/.317 | .130 | .294 | 15 | 7 | 39% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .163/.247/.278 | .115 | .258 | 14 | 4 | 40% | 9% | 40 | -1.2 |
|
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB |
28 | 37→39 | 48→50 | 47→30 | 43 | .197/.261/.333 | .136 | .264 | 16 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .206/.283/.350 | .144 | .290 | 17 | 7 | 33% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .198/.293/.339 | .141 | .281 | 18 | 0 | 34% | 11% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Narciso Crook 2023 · AAA |
28 | 44→43 | 52→55 | 48→50 | 38 | .220/.288/.388 | .168 | .318 | 20 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 89 | +0.9 | .211/.286/.360 | .149 | .333 | 17 | 15 | 39% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .176/.271/.307 | .131 | .300 | 15 | 17 | 42% | 9% | 58 | -0.6 |
|
✕Zach Green 2022 · MLB |
28 | 39→43 | 54→60 | 44→40 | 37 | .198/.271/.374 | .176 | .327 | 23 | 4 | 44% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .196/.253/.351 | .155 | .301 | 18 | 5 | 39% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .172/.225/.332 | .160 | .247 | 19 | 1 | 38% | 5% | 46 | -1.3 |
|
✕Mike Olt 2017 · MLB |
28 | 39→41 | 51→55 | 41→40 | 41 | .206/.272/.362 | .156 | .295 | 20 | 4 | 36% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .203/.272/.344 | .141 | .296 | 17 | 3 | 35% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.261/.327 | .141 | .266 | 17 | 0 | 35% | 8% | 58 | -0.7 |
|
✕Brandon Waring 2014 · AAA |
28 | 35→41 | 54→55 | 45→40 | 37 | .194/.259/.369 | .175 | .277 | 23 | 2 | 38% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .189/.254/.341 | .152 | .324 | 18 | 5 | 45% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .157/.225/.298 | .141 | .292 | 16 | 2 | 49% | 6% | 37 | -1.8 |
|
✕Lee Mitchell 2010 · AAA |
28 | 42→48 | 46→50 | 45 | 45 | .205/.287/.340 | .134 | .306 | 13 | 4 | 35% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .218/.275/.354 | .136 | .316 | 12 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .231/.274/.388 | .156 | .322 | 12 | 8 | 31% | 5% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Mitch Walding 2021 · MLB |
28 | 43→45 | 50 | 47→40 | 45 | .204/.298/.354 | .151 | .340 | 18 | 5 | 42% | 11% | 85 | +0.7 | .195/.265/.327 | .132 | .392 | 15 | 9 | 49% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .146/.206/.274 | .128 | .379 | 17 | 4 | 62% | 6% | 24 | -0.8 |
|
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA |
28 | 40 | 50 | 47→45 | 43 | .211/.269/.364 | .152 | .271 | 18 | 10 | 29% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .223/.279/.372 | .149 | .284 | 19 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .227/.285/.382 | .154 | .278 | 22 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Drew Robinson 2019 · MLB |
27 | 43→41 | 51→55 | 48→50 | 44 | .215/.286/.381 | .166 | .317 | 18 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .207/.283/.342 | .135 | .361 | 14 | 14 | 42% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .154/.243/.252 | .099 | .307 | 11 | 16 | 49% | 10% | 36 | -0.8 |
|
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 48→50 | 45→40 | 40 | .198/.259/.337 | .138 | .279 | 17 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.265/.317 | .110 | .307 | 10 | 8 | 34% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .179/.239/.258 | .079 | .273 | 6 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 31 | -0.7 |
|
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB |
28 | 38→42 | 49→50 | 46→40 | 51 | .195/.290/.346 | .151 | .268 | 16 | 6 | 32% | 11% | 79 | +0.3 | .210/.290/.356 | .146 | .319 | 16 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .203/.283/.339 | .136 | .319 | 15 | 4 | 38% | 10% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Wyatt Mathisen 2022 · MLB |
28 | 38→48 | 51→50 | 47→40 | 45 | .200/.300/.359 | .160 | .268 | 19 | 4 | 32% | 9% | 88 | +0.9 | .193/.275/.330 | .137 | .288 | 16 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .121/.210/.241 | .121 | .187 | 16 | 0 | 44% | 9% | 20 | -0.8 |
|
✕Kevin Padlo 2023 · MLB |
27 | 37→40 | 49→55 | 52→50 | 39 | .196/.252/.341 | .145 | .270 | 18 | 13 | 34% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .194/.271/.330 | .136 | .273 | 15 | 13 | 33% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .172/.266/.302 | .130 | .240 | 15 | 13 | 33% | 11% | 57 | -0.8 |
|
✕Justin Leone 2006 · MLB |
29 | 43→41 | 46→50 | 48→55 | 46 | .214/.288/.346 | .132 | .297 | 14 | 8 | 31% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .211/.288/.354 | .143 | .274 | 16 | 12 | 28% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .202/.286/.351 | .149 | .254 | 18 | 16 | 27% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 |