Chase Strumpf

3B Iowa Cubs
Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202325AAA/AA2 orgs434.229/.376/.46421581—.183/.295/.350
202426AAACHC326.237/.344/.41412157—.183/.269/.301
202527AAACHC392.221/.357/.405131062—.176/.280/.294
2027PROJ10% MLB29MLBCHC16.188/.283/.3090069-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB30MLBCHC58.188/.281/.3061168-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA
Chase%91
BB%90
Speed78
Max EV64
K%18
Whiff%17
CompsBrian Serven (age 29) · Brandon Hicks (age 29) · Ryan Cordell (age 29)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .283 / .309
PA16
HR0
K%38
BB%12
BABIP277
ISO71
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER55
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201921 ASouth Bend Cubs — 2824 3101 172 00 125222292514 167118 254 230 12 — — — — — —
201921 ROKAZL Cubs 2 — 3222 4300 772 00 182419318738 136250 2222 347 52 — — — — — —
202123 AATennessee Smokies — 254213 451507 38652 10 211336380716 169268 2615 325 61 — — — — — —
202123 A+South Bend Cubs — 6755 17400 7174 31 309424382806 73436 2510 369 85 — — — — — —
202224 AATennessee Smokies — 486393 9222221 7316219 22 234379461840 226336 3315 376 82 — — — — — —
202325 AAAIowa Cubs — 267217 466114 44905 21 212357442800 230281 3416 357 70 — — — — — —
202325 AATennessee Smokies — 167132 341107 28505 31 258406500906 242351 3017 397 99 — — — — — —
202426 AAAIowa Cubs — 326278 6613012 441131 12 237344414757 176351 3513 338 57 — — — — — —
202527 AAAIowa Cubs — 392321 7116213 631205 100 221357405762 184304 3116 344 62 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201921 A MLESouth Bend Cubs — 2824 3101 1102 00 125222292514 167103 364 186 12 — — — — — —
201921 ROK MLEAZL Cubs 2 — 3225 3200 4102 00 120290200490 80184 3112 245 52 — — — — — —
202123 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 254226 401305 25802 10 177265301566 124249 3110 258 61 — — — — — —
202123 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 6757 14300 5234 31 246348298647 53384 347 294 85 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 486413 7519215 5320719 22 182303346649 165306 4311 289 82 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 267230 385110 311065 21 165278326604 161238 4012 271 70 — — — — — —
202325 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 167142 301005 18605 31 211321387709 176310 3611 314 99 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 326289 531008 331361 12 183269301570 118304 4210 253 57 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 392340 601228 441465 100 176280294574 118270 3711 260 62 — — — — — —
201921 ROK MLE2 teams — 6049 6301 5204 00 122259245504 122167 338 217 33 — — — — — —
201921 ROK RAW2 teams — 6046 7401 8144 00 152328304632 152182 2313 292 33 — — — — — —
202123 AA MLE2 teams — 321283 551605 301036 41 194285304589 110282 329 266 66 — — — — — —
202123 AA RAW2 teams — 321268 621907 45826 41 231354381735 149304 2614 334 66 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 486413 7519215 5320719 22 182303346649 165312 4311 289 82 — — — — — —
202224 AA RAWTennessee Smokies — 486393 9222221 7316219 22 234379461840 226336 3315 376 82 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLE2 teams — 434372 6814116 4916610 52 183295355650 172269 3811 288 81 — — — — — —
202325 AAA RAW2 teams — 434349 8017121 7214010 52 229376464840 235309 3217 373 81 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 326289 531008 331361 12 183269301570 118308 4210 253 57 — — — — — —
202426 AAA RAWIowa Cubs — 326278 6613012 441131 12 237344414757 176351 3513 338 57 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 392340 601228 441465 100 176280294574 118275 3711 260 62 — — — — — —
202527 AAA RAWIowa Cubs — 392321 7116213 631205 100 221357405762 184304 3116 344 62 — — — — — —
201921 ROK MLE2 teams — 6051 6301 5204 00 118259235494 118146 338 217 33 — — — — — —
202123 AA MLE2 teams — 321282 551605 301036 41 195285305590 110277 329 266 66 — — — — — —
202224 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 486411 7519215 5320719 22 182303348651 165306 4311 289 82 — — — — — —
202325 AAA MLE2 teams — 434372 6814116 4916610 52 183295355650 172266 3811 288 81 — — — — — —
202426 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 326289 531008 331361 12 183269301570 118304 4210 253 57 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 392340 601228 441465 100 176280294574 118270 3711 260 62 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 326289 531008 331361 12 183269301570 118304 4210 253 57 — — — — — —
202527 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 392340 601228 441465 100 176280294574 118270 3711 260 62 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLECHC 10% 380332 611218 411314 61 187282308590 122274 3411 270 69 -14 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202729 MLB CTXCHC 10% 1614 3100 260 00 188283309592 121277 3812 271 69 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLECHC 27% 212186 35715 22722 30 186280305585 119272 3410 268 68 -8 +1 -2 +1 +5 -0.4
202830 MLB CTXCHC 27% 5851 9201 6201 10 188281306587 118275 3410 269 68 -2 +0 -1 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5851 9201 6201 10 176276275550 98267 3410 269 70 -2 +0 -1 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650572 10022011 6722411 110 175274271545 96264 3410 269 70 -25 +2 -6 +2 +14 -1.3
Career— MLE — 23862068 37786761 25390348 287 182286319605 137283 3811 271 70 -14 +1 -2 +1 +8 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650563 10323217 6924613 82 183287321608 139283 3811 271 70 -24 +2 -4 +2 +14 -1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAAIowa Cubs · 392 PAwOBA .338 → .260 (−78)K% 30.6% → 37.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.61%÷0.989×1.200——37.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.07%÷1.005×0.690—×1.00311.07%
HBP% /PA1.28%—×0.940—×1.0031.20%
Singles /BIP19.90%÷0.949×0.930×0.974×1.00319.06%
Doubles /BIP7.96%÷1.033×0.830×0.974×1.0036.25%
Triples /BIP1.00%÷0.939×0.970×0.974×1.0031.00%
Home runs /BIP6.47%÷1.125×0.700—×1.0034.04%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 90, 2B 107, 3B 88, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .338 → .260; ISO .184 → .126; BABIP .304 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAIowa Cubs · 326 PAwOBA .330 → .253 (−78)K% 34.7% → 41.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.66%÷0.998×1.200——41.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.50%÷0.949×0.690—×1.0189.99%
HBP% /PA0.31%—×0.940—×1.0180.29%
Singles /BIP24.85%÷0.994×0.930×0.952×1.01822.53%
Doubles /BIP7.88%÷0.962×0.830×0.952×1.0186.59%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.952×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP7.27%÷1.079×0.700—×1.0184.80%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 99, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.

Result: wOBA .330 → .253; ISO .176 → .118; BABIP .351 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAIowa Cubs · 267 PAwOBA .350 → .271 (−78)K% 33.7% → 39.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.71%÷1.019×1.200——39.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.48%÷1.014×0.690—×1.03311.58%
HBP% /PA1.87%—×0.940—×1.0331.82%
Singles /BIP19.69%÷1.025×0.930×0.950×1.03317.54%
Doubles /BIP4.72%÷1.049×0.830×0.950×1.0333.67%
Triples /BIP0.79%÷0.916×0.970×0.950×1.0330.82%
Home runs /BIP11.02%÷0.965×0.700—×1.0338.26%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 110, 3B 83, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .350 → .271; ISO .230 → .174; BABIP .281 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AATennessee Smokies · 167 PAwOBA .392 → .314 (−79)K% 29.9% → 36.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.94%÷1.008×1.220——36.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.77%÷1.059×0.680—×0.99810.74%
HBP% /PA2.99%—×0.840—×0.9982.51%
Singles /BIP19.51%÷0.975×0.920×0.984×0.99818.08%
Doubles /BIP13.41%÷1.023×0.910×0.984×0.99811.72%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.966×0.880×0.984×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP8.54%÷1.082×0.800—×0.9986.30%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 95, 2B 105, 3B 93, K 102, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .392 → .314; ISO .242 → .196; BABIP .351 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AATennessee Smokies · 486 PAwOBA .367 → .289 (−78)K% 33.3% → 42.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷0.958×1.220——42.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.02%÷0.940×0.680—×1.01211.00%
HBP% /PA3.91%—×0.840—×1.0123.32%
Singles /BIP20.35%÷0.982×0.920×0.967×1.01218.66%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷0.929×0.910×0.967×1.0129.13%
Triples /BIP0.87%÷0.973×0.880×0.967×1.0120.77%
Home runs /BIP9.09%÷1.010×0.800—×1.0127.29%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 95, K 92, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .367 → .289; ISO .226 → .174; BABIP .336 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AATennessee Smokies · 254 PAwOBA .319 → .258 (−61)K% 25.6% → 31.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.59%÷0.990×1.220——31.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.96%÷1.066×0.690—×1.0279.95%
HBP% /PA0.79%—×0.850—×1.0270.69%
Singles /BIP15.54%÷0.970×0.940×0.989×1.02715.30%
Doubles /BIP10.14%÷1.015×0.870×0.989×1.0278.83%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.920×0.989×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP4.73%÷1.050×0.780—×1.0273.61%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 94, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .319 → .258; ISO .169 → .136; BABIP .268 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+South Bend Cubs · 67 PAwOBA .366 → .294 (−72)K% 25.4% → 33.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.37%÷1.012×1.350——33.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.45%÷0.968×0.710—×0.9987.65%
HBP% /PA5.97%—×0.810—×0.9984.83%
Singles /BIP34.21%÷0.990×0.910—×0.99831.37%
Doubles /BIP10.53%÷1.080×0.830—×0.9988.07%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.820—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.928×0.830—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .366 → .294; ISO .073 → .053; BABIP .436 → .384. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKAZL Cubs 2 · 32 PAwOBA .351 → .245 (−106)K% 21.9% → 31.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.88%÷1.000×1.440——31.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.88%÷1.000×0.620—×0.98513.36%
HBP% /PA6.25%—×0.720—×0.9854.43%
Singles /BIP6.67%÷1.000×0.820—×0.9855.38%
Doubles /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.98514.18%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .351 → .245; ISO .136 → .105; BABIP .250 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).