Chase Strumpf — OGILVIE

Chase Strumpf3B Iowa Cubs

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%10

BABIP268

ISO56

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	A	South Bend Cubs	—	28	24	3	1	0	1	1	7	2	0	0	125	222	292	514	167	118	25	4	230	42	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	21	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	32	22	4	3	0	0	7	7	2	0	0	182	419	318	738	136	250	22	22	347	121	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	254	213	45	15	0	7	38	65	2	1	0	211	336	380	716	169	268	26	15	325	106	+2	+0	—	—	+6	0.8
2021	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	67	55	17	4	0	0	7	17	4	3	1	309	424	382	806	73	436	25	10	369	136	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	486	393	92	22	2	21	73	162	19	2	2	234	379	461	840	226	336	33	15	376	140	+23	-0	—	—	+11	3.4
2023	25	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	267	217	46	6	1	14	44	90	5	2	1	212	357	442	800	230	281	34	16	357	128	+9	+0	—	—	+6	1.5
2023	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	167	132	34	11	0	7	28	50	5	3	1	258	406	500	906	242	351	30	17	397	155	+11	+0	—	—	+4	1.5
2024	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	326	278	66	13	0	12	44	113	1	1	2	237	344	414	757	176	351	35	13	338	115	+6	-1	—	—	+7	1.2
2025	27	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	392	321	71	16	2	13	63	120	5	10	0	221	357	405	762	184	304	31	16	344	119	+9	+2	—	—	+8	2.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	A MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	28	24	3	1	0	1	1	10	2	0	0	125	222	292	514	167	101	36	4	184	11	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	32	25	3	2	0	0	4	10	2	0	0	120	290	200	490	80	187	31	12	249	55	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	254	226	40	13	0	5	25	80	2	1	0	177	265	301	566	124	242	31	10	252	57	-13	+0	—	—	+6	-0.8
2021	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	67	57	14	3	0	0	5	23	4	3	1	246	348	298	647	53	385	34	7	295	86	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	486	413	75	18	2	15	53	207	19	2	2	182	303	344	647	162	302	43	11	285	79	-12	-0	—	—	+11	-0.2
2023	25	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	267	231	36	4	1	10	30	106	5	2	1	156	267	312	579	156	229	40	11	264	65	-11	+0	—	—	+6	-0.6
2023	25	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	167	142	30	9	0	5	18	60	5	3	1	211	321	380	701	169	309	36	11	312	97	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2024	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	326	290	52	10	0	7	32	136	1	1	2	179	263	286	549	107	298	42	10	249	55	-18	-1	—	—	+7	-1.1
2025	27	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	392	341	60	12	2	8	43	146	5	10	0	176	278	293	571	117	269	37	11	259	61	-18	+2	—	—	+8	-0.8
2019	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	60	49	6	3	0	1	5	20	4	0	0	122	259	245	504	122	167	33	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	60	46	7	4	0	1	8	14	4	0	0	152	328	304	632	152	182	23	13	292	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	321	283	54	16	0	5	30	103	6	4	1	191	282	300	582	110	277	32	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	321	268	62	19	0	7	45	82	6	4	1	231	354	381	735	149	304	26	14	334	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	486	413	75	18	2	15	53	207	19	2	2	182	303	344	647	162	312	43	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	486	393	92	22	2	21	73	162	19	2	2	234	379	461	840	226	336	33	15	376	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	434	373	67	14	1	15	48	166	10	5	2	180	290	343	633	164	267	38	11	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	434	349	80	17	1	21	72	140	10	5	2	229	376	464	840	235	309	32	17	373	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	326	290	52	10	0	7	32	136	1	1	2	179	263	286	549	107	304	42	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	—	326	278	66	13	0	12	44	113	1	1	2	237	344	414	757	176	351	35	13	338	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	392	341	60	12	2	8	43	146	5	10	0	176	278	293	571	117	274	37	11	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	—	392	321	71	16	2	13	63	120	5	10	0	221	357	405	762	184	304	31	16	344	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	60	51	6	3	0	1	5	20	4	0	0	118	259	235	494	118	147	33	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	321	282	54	16	0	5	30	103	6	4	1	191	282	301	584	110	272	32	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	486	411	75	18	2	15	53	207	19	2	2	182	303	345	649	163	302	43	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	434	373	67	14	1	15	48	166	10	5	2	180	290	343	633	164	260	38	11	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	326	290	52	10	0	7	32	136	1	1	2	179	263	286	549	107	298	42	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	392	341	60	12	2	8	43	146	5	10	0	176	278	293	571	117	269	37	11	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	434	373	67	14	1	15	48	166	10	5	2	180	290	343	633	164	260	38	11	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	326	290	52	10	0	7	32	136	1	1	2	179	263	286	549	107	298	42	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	392	341	60	12	2	8	43	146	5	10	0	176	278	293	571	117	269	37	11	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	CHC	10%	20	18	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	167	250	222	472	56	266	35	10	266	66	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	28	MLB CTX	CHC	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						268	50	0	257	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CHC	27%	323	282	52	10	1	8	34	114	4	4	1	184	281	312	593	128	268	35	11	270	69	-12	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.5
2027	29	MLB CTX	CHC	27%	88	78	14	3	0	2	9	31	1	1	0	179	273	295	568	115	270	35	10	261	69	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	88	78	14	3	0	2	9	31	1	1	0	179	273	295	568	115	267	35	10	261	68	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	103	22	0	15	66	229	7	7	0	179	271	295	566	116	265	35	10	261	68	-24	+1	-3	+2	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2362	2049	369	84	6	59	247	899	49	26	8	180	284	313	597	133	281	38	10	268	68	-13	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	102	23	2	16	68	247	13	7	2	181	284	314	598	133	282	38	10	268	68	-24	+1	-3	+2	+14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chase Strumpf (OGILVIE)	28	35	55	50	60	177/273/301	124	266	6	4	36%	11%	66	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Caleb Hamilton 2023 · MLB	28	36	49→45	48→45	48	188/278/328	140	274	17	6	36%	11%	73	-0.6	176/256/294	118	278	14	7	39%	9%	57	-1.8	108/194/188	80	170	12	5	42%	9%	8	-1.3
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB	29	36→40	49→50	46→50	42	189/267/338	149	282	18	7	38%	9%	71	-0.8	189/261/304	115	312	13	8	40%	8%	61	-1.5	166/235/251	85	293	9	8	44%	8%	36	-1.3
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB	27	38	46→50	47→30	41	194/260/321	128	274	14	4	33%	7%	64	-1.3	204/259/337	133	281	15	7	31%	6%	67	-1.1	167/218/340	174	195	23	0	29%	5%	51	-0.4
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	38	47→50	45→40	40	199/259/332	133	276	16	5	33%	7%	65	-1.2	210/269/319	109	308	10	9	33%	7%	66	-1.1	181/242/260	79	275	6	4	34%	7%	41	-0.7
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→45	48→55	45→50	44	207/283/349	141	260	15	8	26%	7%	80	-0.2	210/276/339	129	270	14	11	27%	7%	74	-0.5	201/267/326	125	260	14	11	27%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	39→36	49→50	51→50	37	207/247/351	144	269	17	13	30%	4%	65	-1.2	231/288/355	124	292	12	10	24%	6%	82	-0.0	243/308/345	102	303	9	6	22%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	45	48→40	49	198/286/319	122	254	12	5	26%	9%	74	-0.5	216/298/331	115	289	12	7	27%	9%	80	-0.1	197/296/255	58	267	7	0	26%	12%	61	-0.3
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	49→50	48→45	43	205/263/348	142	263	17	10	29%	7%	71	-0.8	223/279/369	146	284	18	8	27%	7%	82	-0.0	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	86	+0.1
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA	28	39→43	46→50	45→50	42	204/258/334	130	266	14	7	29%	6%	65	-1.2	216/265/341	125	294	14	8	30%	6%	70	-0.9	218/256/337	119	286	16	6	29%	4%	62	-1.0
✕Jeff Mathis 2011 · MLB	28	40→46	43→50	45	43	204/260/310	106	264	12	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	198/248/316	118	260	12	5	28%	6%	57	-1.8	210/260/314	105	285	8	1	28%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Richie Shaffer 2018 · MLB	27	36→39	47→55	46→40	41	187/260/320	133	278	16	5	37%	8%	64	-1.3	183/248/313	130	307	15	6	42%	7%	57	-1.8	117/175/233	116	202	14	0	49%	6%	9	-2.1
✕Michael Rosamond 2006 · AAA	28	41	45→55	48→45	40	210/262/331	121	285	13	10	31%	6%	66	-1.1	215/260/357	142	318	16	9	36%	5%	72	-0.7	204/243/360	156	309	18	6	39%	4%	63	-0.8
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA	27	37→38	48→50	47→45	42	191/262/331	140	285	16	6	37%	8%	68	-1.0	192/256/321	129	288	15	7	37%	7%	63	-1.4	176/241/298	122	260	15	5	37%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Narciso Crook 2023 · AAA	28	43	50	48→50	39	215/284/368	153	314	17	14	36%	7%	84	+0.1	208/286/343	135	332	14	15	39%	8%	79	-0.2	170/265/285	115	293	12	17	42%	9%	57	-1.0
✕John Ryan Murphy 2019 · MLB	28	39→46	46→50	46→40	43	204/252/325	121	249	15	3	25%	6%	61	-1.5	205/257/356	151	281	20	5	33%	6%	71	-0.8	172/222/349	176	212	27	0	34%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Jared Sandberg 2006 · MLB	28	41→44	48→55	42→40	44	209/280/353	144	278	16	4	30%	8%	79	-0.2	192/255/313	121	267	12	7	31%	7%	60	-1.6	170/226/296	126	240	11	6	33%	6%	42	-1.4
✕Taylor Snyder 2023 · AAA	28	35→34	52→50	52→50	34	191/237/352	161	283	21	11	40%	6%	63	-1.4	188/253/306	118	299	13	15	39%	8%	58	-1.7	142/223/229	87	220	11	21	38%	9%	28	-1.8
✕Brandon Waring 2014 · AAA	28	35→39	52→55	45→40	38	191/258/354	164	271	21	2	37%	7%	72	-0.7	191/257/335	144	320	16	5	43%	6%	66	-1.1	159/227/298	138	285	15	2	47%	6%	45	-1.8
✕Jake Hager 2022 · MLB	29	37→47	48→50	52→50	42	197/253/337	140	262	16	10	31%	7%	65	-1.2	204/263/315	111	281	10	9	29%	7%	63	-1.4	194/252/287	94	273	6	7	30%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Brandon Larson 2004 · MLB	28	39→42	47→50	45	52	202/289/335	133	250	16	11	26%	10%	78	-0.3	224/295/372	148	288	17	7	27%	8%	88	+0.5	224/283/376	152	290	20	4	29%	6%	82	+0.0