Trevor Hauver
LF Round Rock Express| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAATEX | 420 | .246/.361/.425 | 11 | 1 | 83 | — | .219/.301/.364 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA/ROKTEX | 458 | .272/.391/.438 | 12 | 3 | 99 | — | .240/.329/.383 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAATEX | 507 | .257/.358/.359 | 8 | 5 | 64 | — | .217/.290/.292 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 28 | MLBTEX | 16 | .222/.301/.331 | 0 | 0 | 80 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 29 | MLBTEX | 58 | .220/.299/.328 | 1 | 0 | 78 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 143 | 122 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 357 | 426 | 783 | 180 | 348 | 33 | 14 | 353 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 299 | 229 | 66 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 64 | 78 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 288 | 449 | 498 | 947 | 210 | 393 | 26 | 21 | 418 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 88 | 61 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 447 | 492 | 939 | 262 | 263 | 25 | 27 | 405 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 359 | 276 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 69 | 90 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 217 | 385 | 413 | 798 | 196 | 260 | 25 | 19 | 356 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 68 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 412 | 400 | 812 | 200 | 269 | 31 | 24 | 376 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 471 | 392 | 102 | 24 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 135 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 260 | 378 | 429 | 806 | 168 | 361 | 29 | 15 | 360 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 420 | 353 | 87 | 28 | 1 | 11 | 59 | 125 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 361 | 425 | 786 | 178 | 347 | 30 | 14 | 352 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 440 | 363 | 100 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 67 | 106 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 275 | 395 | 446 | 842 | 171 | 352 | 24 | 15 | 374 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 188 | 278 | 250 | 528 | 62 | 250 | 22 | 11 | 249 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 507 | 435 | 112 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 64 | 138 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 257 | 358 | 359 | 716 | 101 | 355 | 27 | 13 | 327 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 143 | 127 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 64 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 273 | 323 | 596 | 142 | 298 | 45 | 10 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 299 | 249 | 54 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 106 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 217 | 341 | 369 | 711 | 153 | 326 | 35 | 15 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 88 | 68 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 365 | 441 | 806 | 235 | 233 | 31 | 19 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 359 | 305 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 117 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 170 | 279 | 321 | 601 | 151 | 213 | 33 | 11 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 471 | 413 | 87 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 50 | 163 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 211 | 300 | 346 | 647 | 136 | 309 | 35 | 11 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 420 | 374 | 82 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 140 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 301 | 364 | 665 | 144 | 315 | 33 | 9 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 440 | 383 | 94 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 47 | 117 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 245 | 336 | 392 | 727 | 146 | 314 | 27 | 11 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 118 | 167 | 176 | 343 | 59 | 185 | 33 | 6 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 507 | 456 | 99 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 166 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 217 | 290 | 292 | 582 | 75 | 320 | 33 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 377 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 58 | 170 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 202 | 314 | 347 | 662 | 146 | 323 | 38 | 13 | 295 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 442 | 351 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 84 | 125 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 274 | 419 | 473 | 892 | 199 | 379 | 28 | 19 | 397 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 515 | 430 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 17 | 66 | 165 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 177 | 298 | 340 | 637 | 163 | 228 | 32 | 13 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 515 | 387 | 84 | 18 | 1 | 20 | 109 | 133 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 217 | 399 | 424 | 823 | 207 | 261 | 26 | 21 | 367 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 471 | 413 | 87 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 50 | 163 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 211 | 300 | 346 | 647 | 136 | 316 | 35 | 11 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 471 | 392 | 102 | 24 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 135 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 260 | 378 | 429 | 806 | 168 | 361 | 29 | 15 | 360 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 420 | 374 | 82 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 140 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 301 | 364 | 665 | 144 | 322 | 33 | 9 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 420 | 353 | 87 | 28 | 1 | 11 | 59 | 125 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 361 | 425 | 786 | 178 | 347 | 30 | 14 | 352 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 400 | 95 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 123 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 237 | 327 | 378 | 704 | 140 | 312 | 27 | 10 | 314 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 458 | 379 | 103 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 69 | 110 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 272 | 391 | 438 | 829 | 166 | 347 | 24 | 15 | 369 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 507 | 456 | 99 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 166 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 217 | 290 | 292 | 582 | 75 | 323 | 33 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 507 | 435 | 112 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 64 | 138 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 257 | 358 | 359 | 716 | 101 | 355 | 27 | 13 | 327 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 377 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 58 | 170 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 202 | 314 | 347 | 662 | 146 | 317 | 38 | 13 | 295 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 515 | 436 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 17 | 66 | 165 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 174 | 298 | 335 | 632 | 161 | 217 | 32 | 13 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 471 | 415 | 87 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 50 | 163 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 210 | 300 | 345 | 645 | 135 | 309 | 35 | 11 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 420 | 373 | 82 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 140 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 301 | 365 | 666 | 145 | 315 | 33 | 9 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 402 | 95 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 123 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 236 | 327 | 376 | 702 | 139 | 309 | 27 | 10 | 314 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 507 | 455 | 99 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 166 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 218 | 290 | 292 | 583 | 75 | 320 | 33 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 420 | 373 | 82 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 140 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 301 | 365 | 666 | 145 | 315 | 33 | 9 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 402 | 95 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 123 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 236 | 327 | 376 | 702 | 139 | 309 | 27 | 10 | 314 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 507 | 455 | 99 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 166 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 218 | 290 | 292 | 583 | 75 | 320 | 33 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | TEX | 10% | 380 | 339 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 119 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 301 | 328 | 629 | 107 | 317 | 31 | 9 | 286 | 80 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | TEX | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 301 | 331 | 632 | 109 | 316 | 31 | 6 | 287 | 80 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | TEX | 27% | 212 | 189 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 66 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 299 | 325 | 624 | 106 | 314 | 31 | 9 | 284 | 78 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | TEX | 27% | 58 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 299 | 328 | 628 | 108 | 313 | 31 | 9 | 285 | 78 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 58 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 293 | 308 | 601 | 96 | 303 | 31 | 9 | 285 | 81 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 583 | 123 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 56 | 202 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 292 | 305 | 598 | 94 | 303 | 31 | 9 | 285 | 81 | -17 | +0 | -4 | -7 | +14 | -1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3180 | 2778 | 586 | 129 | 10 | 70 | 337 | 1041 | 32 | 16 | 7 | 211 | 303 | 340 | 644 | 129 | 304 | 33 | 11 | 288 | 81 | -9 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +8 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 119 | 26 | 2 | 14 | 69 | 213 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 210 | 303 | 336 | 639 | 127 | 303 | 33 | 11 | 288 | 81 | -16 | +1 | -2 | -7 | +14 | -1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAARound Rock Express · 507 PAwOBA .321 → .263 (−58)K% 27.2% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.005 | ×0.992 | 26.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×0.992 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.005 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.87% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .321 → .263; ISO .101 → .076; BABIP .355 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAARound Rock Express · 440 PAwOBA .368 → .320 (−48)K% 24.1% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.09% | ÷1.086 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.77% | ÷0.962 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 10.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.29% | ÷1.053 | ×0.930 | ×0.996 | ×1.003 | 22.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷0.881 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.003 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.17% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×1.003 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.67% | ÷0.913 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.59% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 111, 2B 76, 3B 84, K 117, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .368 → .320; ISO .171 → .154; BABIP .352 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Rangers · 18 PAwOBA .244 → .156 (−88)K% 22.2% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.981 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.016 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 6.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.991 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 12.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.017 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 5.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.138 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.302 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 128, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .244 → .156; ISO .062 → .038; BABIP .250 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAARound Rock Express · 420 PAwOBA .344 → .291 (−53)K% 29.8% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.76% | ÷1.069 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.81% | ÷1.040 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.61% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×1.001 | ×1.018 | 19.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.28% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×1.018 | 10.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.44% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.001 | ×1.018 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.82% | ÷0.928 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.71% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 114, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .344 → .291; ISO .178 → .150; BABIP .347 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 471 PAwOBA .354 → .286 (−68)K% 28.7% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.66% | ÷1.009 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.07% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 10.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.64% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.51% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 20.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.34% | ÷0.875 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 8.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.17% | ÷1.074 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.67% | ÷0.974 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.83% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 106, 2B 75, 3B 115, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .354 → .286; ISO .168 → .143; BABIP .361 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Hickory Crawdads · 359 PAwOBA .354 → .269 (−85)K% 25.1% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.07% | ÷1.007 | ×1.310 | — | — | 32.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.66% | ÷0.985 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 11.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.74% | ÷1.039 | ×0.870 | ×1.009 | ×0.988 | 14.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.99% | ÷0.939 | ×0.780 | ×1.009 | ×0.988 | 5.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷0.984 | ×0.850 | ×1.009 | ×0.988 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.99% | ÷1.123 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 5.41% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 97, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .354 → .269; ISO .196 → .164; BABIP .260 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 88 PAwOBA .410 → .353 (−57)K% 25.0% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 27.27% | ÷1.012 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 19.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 14.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.26% | ÷1.030 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 8.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.26% | ÷0.915 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 9.08% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .410 → .353; ISO .262 → .261; BABIP .263 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ATampa Tarpons · 299 PAwOBA .413 → .313 (−100)K% 26.1% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 14.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 21.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 8.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 4.72% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .413 → .313; ISO .210 → .162; BABIP .393 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .