Luke Berryhill — OGILVIE

Luke BerryhillC Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 227 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%11

BABIP304

ISO62

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	41	32	10	1	0	0	7	15	2	0	1	312	463	344	807	31	588	37	17	385	147	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2021	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	110	94	26	10	0	5	10	38	5	1	1	277	376	543	919	266	404	35	9	399	156	+7	-0	—	—	+2	1.0
2021	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	147	118	36	9	0	10	20	37	7	4	0	305	434	636	1.070	331	356	25	14	455	194	+16	+1	—	—	+3	2.1
2022	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	432	352	90	18	0	12	63	122	11	5	2	256	385	409	794	153	348	28	15	357	128	+14	+0	—	—	+9	2.4
2023	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	307	250	57	9	3	8	55	104	2	5	1	228	371	384	755	156	355	34	18	346	121	+8	+1	—	—	+7	1.5
2024	26	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	221	192	45	8	0	6	26	69	2	5	0	234	332	370	702	135	333	31	12	319	102	+0	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	41	34	9	1	0	0	5	19	2	0	1	265	390	294	684	29	549	46	12	300	89	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2021	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	110	97	18	6	0	3	7	52	5	1	1	186	275	340	615	155	327	47	6	268	68	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2021	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	147	124	28	7	0	6	14	50	7	4	0	226	338	427	765	202	296	34	10	330	109	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	432	375	78	15	0	9	40	157	11	5	2	208	303	320	623	112	312	36	9	279	75	-13	+0	—	—	+9	-0.3
2023	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	307	267	47	8	2	6	38	134	2	5	1	176	283	288	572	112	322	44	12	262	63	-13	+1	—	—	+7	-0.6
2024	26	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	221	200	35	6	0	5	18	89	2	5	0	175	250	280	530	105	279	40	8	235	45	-14	+1	—	—	+5	-0.9
2021	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	298	255	55	14	0	10	26	121	14	5	2	216	322	388	710	173	354	41	9	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	3 teams	—	298	244	72	20	0	15	37	90	14	5	2	295	417	561	978	266	401	30	12	424	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	432	375	78	15	0	9	40	157	11	5	2	208	303	320	623	112	321	36	9	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	432	352	90	18	0	12	63	122	11	5	2	256	385	409	794	153	348	28	15	357	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	307	267	47	8	2	6	38	134	2	5	1	176	283	288	572	112	323	44	12	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	307	250	57	9	3	8	55	104	2	5	1	228	371	384	755	156	355	34	18	346	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	221	200	35	6	0	5	18	89	2	5	0	175	250	280	530	105	283	40	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	221	192	45	8	0	6	26	69	2	5	0	234	332	370	702	135	333	31	12	319	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	298	256	55	14	0	10	26	121	14	5	2	215	322	387	709	172	342	41	9	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	432	378	78	15	0	9	40	157	11	5	2	206	303	317	620	111	312	36	9	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	307	264	47	8	2	6	38	134	2	5	1	178	283	292	575	114	322	44	12	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	221	199	35	6	0	5	18	89	2	5	0	176	250	281	531	106	279	40	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	307	264	47	8	2	6	38	134	2	5	1	178	283	292	575	114	322	44	12	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	221	199	35	6	0	5	18	89	2	5	0	176	250	281	531	106	279	40	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	HOU	10%	18	16	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	188	278	250	528	62	302	33	11	284	78	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.5
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	28	MLB CTX	HOU	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						304	50	0	278	78	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	HOU	33%	267	237	51	10	1	6	26	85	2	5	1	215	298	342	640	127	300	32	10	286	80	-6	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	HOU	46%	303	268	58	11	1	7	29	95	3	5	1	216	300	343	643	127	298	31	10	286	80	-7	+1	-2	+5	+7	0.3
2029	31	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	292	259	54	10	1	6	28	91	3	4	1	208	293	324	617	116	295	31	10	284	78	-8	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.2
2030	32	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	273	243	50	9	1	6	26	86	2	3	1	206	288	325	613	119	292	32	10	279	75	-8	+0	-4	+5	+6	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	HOU	33%	87	78	16	3	0	2	8	28	1	2	0	205	287	321	608	115	302	32	9	280	80	-2	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	HOU	46%	139	124	27	5	1	3	13	44	1	2	0	218	297	347	644	129	300	32	9	280	80	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.2
2029	31	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	156	139	30	6	1	3	15	49	1	2	0	216	297	338	635	122	297	31	10	278	78	-4	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.1
2030	32	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	158	141	30	6	1	3	15	50	1	2	0	213	293	333	626	121	294	32	9	273	75	-5	+0	-2	+3	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	540	482	103	20	3	11	51	171	4	8	0	214	294	336	630	122	304	32	9	277	74	-14	+2	-5	+10	+12	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	124	24	4	13	61	206	5	10	0	214	294	336	630	122	304	32	9	277	74	-17	+2	-6	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2411	2120	431	84	6	55	233	864	39	37	9	203	294	326	620	123	309	36	10	278	74	-30	+2	-10	+21	+25	0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	117	23	2	15	63	233	11	10	2	205	296	330	627	126	311	36	10	278	74	-17	+1	-6	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.8	564	12	8	212	291	333	+10	+8	1.0	1.0
/162	664	14	9	+11.9	+9.4	1.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Berryhill (OGILVIE)	28	20	42	50	50	208/292/328	120	302	5	4	33%	10%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→39	44→50	46→45	50	188/283/306	118	262	12	9	31%	11%	70	-0.8	187/282/307	120	260	13	10	31%	11%	70	-0.9	168/270/286	118	229	14	8	31%	11%	59	-1.0
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	45	48→40	49	198/286/319	122	254	12	5	26%	9%	74	-0.5	216/298/331	115	289	12	7	27%	9%	80	-0.1	197/296/255	58	267	7	0	26%	12%	61	-0.3
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB	28	40	47→45	46→30	43	206/271/335	129	277	15	4	31%	8%	71	-0.8	196/261/305	109	342	12	5	43%	7%	61	-1.5	178/245/263	85	331	9	1	46%	8%	42	-0.9
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB	28	37→38	48→50	47→30	43	194/259/330	136	260	16	3	32%	8%	65	-1.2	207/287/346	139	295	16	8	33%	9%	80	-0.2	192/287/316	124	278	15	0	34%	11%	72	-0.2
✕Brett Cumberland 2022 · AAA	27	38→40	44→45	47→30	41	184/302/296	112	290	12	5	36%	8%	77	-0.3	211/300/324	113	312	12	7	34%	7%	80	-0.1	205/288/288	83	300	11	0	32%	7%	64	-0.3
✕Justin Leone 2006 · MLB	29	43→41	46→50	48→55	46	212/289/341	129	297	13	8	31%	9%	80	-0.2	211/289/355	144	273	17	13	28%	9%	83	+0.1	202/286/351	149	254	18	16	27%	10%	79	-0.2
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	38	47→50	45→40	40	199/259/332	133	276	16	5	33%	7%	65	-1.2	210/269/319	109	308	10	9	33%	7%	66	-1.1	181/242/260	79	275	6	4	34%	7%	41	-0.7
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA	28	41	43→45	47→30	44	203/271/323	120	265	10	6	26%	7%	68	-1.0	218/281/348	130	303	14	6	31%	7%	78	-0.3	206/269/329	123	290	16	0	33%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	37→42	48→50	46→40	51	191/287/338	147	263	16	6	32%	11%	78	-0.3	209/288/344	135	322	14	7	36%	10%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	316	13	4	38%	10%	69	-0.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	39→36	49→50	51→50	37	207/247/351	144	269	17	13	30%	4%	65	-1.2	231/288/355	124	292	12	10	24%	6%	82	-0.0	243/308/345	102	303	9	6	22%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	49→50	48→45	43	205/263/348	142	263	17	10	29%	7%	71	-0.8	223/279/369	146	284	18	8	27%	7%	82	-0.0	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	86	+0.1
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	42	44→45	43→40	43	210/274/328	118	283	11	5	29%	7%	70	-0.8	219/287/362	143	261	15	6	21%	8%	83	+0.1	203/270/374	171	212	20	2	16%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Renae Martinez 2021 · AA	27	41→32	42→45	44→40	43	203/267/305	102	272	10	4	28%	7%	63	-1.4	200/269/317	117	306	11	8	36%	8%	66	-1.1	150/230/278	128	233	13	6	39%	8%	40	-0.8
✕Alex Jackson 2023 · MLB	27	40→37	49→55	50→30	40	201/278/354	153	295	17	6	36%	7%	79	-0.2	202/264/364	162	268	20	4	32%	6%	76	-0.4	183/244/345	163	246	21	2	34%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	36→32	50	50	45	188/277/342	154	270	17	12	35%	9%	76	-0.4	180/262/323	143	295	17	12	42%	8%	66	-1.1	156/241/293	137	264	18	12	45%	8%	49	-1.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2023 · MLB	28	36	49→45	48→45	48	188/278/328	140	274	17	6	36%	11%	73	-0.6	176/256/294	118	278	14	7	39%	9%	57	-1.8	108/194/188	80	170	12	5	42%	9%	8	-1.3
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	38→37	51→55	46→40	48	197/289/366	169	263	18	6	31%	10%	86	+0.3	193/283/348	155	247	19	6	29%	10%	80	-0.2	169/266/316	146	205	21	3	29%	10%	64	-0.6
✕David Masters 2021 · AA	28	43→37	47→45	44→40	43	214/279/348	134	291	15	4	31%	7%	77	-0.3	215/275/359	144	308	17	9	34%	7%	78	-0.3	171/232/331	160	227	25	6	37%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	37→35	47→50	50→55	40	194/258/322	128	272	15	14	34%	7%	63	-1.3	219/295/348	129	314	13	16	32%	8%	83	+0.1	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	40→45	43→45	49→55	41	197/267/307	110	285	11	17	34%	7%	63	-1.3	210/296/321	111	330	11	25	36%	10%	78	-0.3	196/292/297	101	315	10	32	37%	10%	69	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps