Nolan Perry
P
Vancouver Canadians
Age 22
RHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
A+
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 26 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
K%23.0%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%12.1%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 9 | 4 | 38 | 180 | 51 | 16 | 4 | 44% | 4.3 | 19.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 7.28 | 4.57 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 9 | 4 | 38 | 180 | 51 | 16 | 4 | 44% | 4.3 | 28.3% | 8.9% | 19.4% | 2.2% | 7.28 | 3.05 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 14 | 14 | 46 | 207 | 57 | 39 | 2 | 100% | 3.3 | 20.4% | 22.2% | -1.9% | 1.2% | 2.93 | 4.88 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 14 | 14 | 46 | 207 | 57 | 39 | 2 | 100% | 3.3 | 27.5% | 18.8% | 8.7% | 1.0% | 2.93 | 3.73 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 13 | 12 | 55 | 216 | 85 | 19 | 4 | 92% | 4.2 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 2.5% | 2.47 | 3.24 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TOR | 5 | 5 | 26 | 111 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.51 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 81 | 327 | 110 | 31 | 7 | — | — | 33.8% | 9.5% | 24.3% | 2.2% | 3.13 | 3.65 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.13 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TOR | 5 | 5 | 27 | 115 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.7% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TOR | 2 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.7% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 14 | 57 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.7% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 3.94 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 206 | 88 | 29 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.7% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 36 | 30 | 139 | 603 | 139 | 87 | 13 | 83% | 3.9 | 23.1% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 3.95 | 4.20 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 43 | 200 | 868 | 201 | 125 | 19 | 83% | 3.9 | 23.1% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 3.95 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nolan Perry (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 23.0% | 10.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.32 | 23.7% | 13.7% | 27 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 86 |
| Chad Patrick R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 85 |
| Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 85 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 84 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 84 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 84 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2028 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 83 |
| Ricky DeVito R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.36 | 22.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.57 | 21.5% | 2.4% | 151 | +0.21 | 4.05 | 215 | 83 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.67 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .341 | 3.99 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.32 | 3.44 | 259 | 83 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 83 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 83 |
| Mike Vasil R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.71 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .264 | 4.60 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +0.89 | 3.71 | 429 | 82 |
| Christian Roa R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.02 | 19.6% | 12.4% | 3.6% | .321 | 4.92 | 22.7% | 6.2% | 260 | -0.10 | 4.38 | 406 | 82 |
| Chih-Jung Liu R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .331 | 6.04 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 233 | +1.32 | 4.72 | 283 | 82 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 82 |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .292 | 5.42 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.35 | 4.07 | 378 | 82 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 236 | -0.19 | 3.12 | 482 | 81 |
| Jaxon Wiggins R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.61 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .286 | 3.29 | 24.5% | 11.4% | 79 | -0.32 | 3.12 | 132 | 81 |
| TJ Shook R 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.82 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.12 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 296 | +0.30 | 3.36 | 432 | 81 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 23.4% | 10.4% | 1.12 | 4.45 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |