Zach Peek — OGILVIE

Zach Peek P Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 190 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%19.2%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%7.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	16	90	403	122	35	7	70%	3.9	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	2.1%	3.80	3.62	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	16	90	403	122	35	7	70%	3.9	30.3%	8.7%	21.6%	1.7%	3.80	2.57	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	11	11	45	185	40	13	3	100%	4.1	17.5%	7.7%	9.8%	1.7%	3.57	3.51	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	11	11	45	185	40	13	3	100%	4.1	21.6%	7.0%	14.6%	1.6%	3.57	3.06	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	5	5	11	53	13	9	0	100%	2.1	24.5%	17.0%	7.5%	0.0%	5.91	3.18	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	5	5	11	53	13	9	0	100%	2.1	24.5%	17.0%	7.5%	0.0%	5.91	3.18	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	5	5	11	53	13	9	0	100%	2.1	24.5%	17.0%	7.5%	0.0%	5.91	3.19	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	0	16	64	20	8	0	0%	2.0	31.2%	12.5%	18.8%	0.0%	4.02	2.04	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	0	16	64	20	8	0	0%	2.0	31.2%	12.5%	18.8%	0.0%	4.02	2.04	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	0	16	64	20	8	0	0%	2.0	31.2%	12.5%	18.8%	0.0%	4.02	2.08	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	69	299	75	31	5	0%	1.6	19.9%	11.6%	8.4%	1.7%	3.63	3.82	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	69	299	75	31	5	0%	1.6	19.9%	11.6%	8.4%	1.7%	3.63	3.82	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	69	299	75	31	5	0%	1.6	25.1%	10.4%	14.7%	1.7%	3.63	3.22	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	40	3	51	232	60	20	9	8%	1.3	21.1%	9.2%	11.9%	4.5%	4.76	4.95	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	40	3	51	232	60	20	9	8%	1.3	21.1%	9.2%	11.9%	4.5%	4.76	4.95	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	NYM	32	0	37	169	43	17	5	0%	1.2	25.4%	10.1%	15.4%	3.0%	4.38	3.85	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	NYM	8	3	14	63	17	3	4	38%	1.8	27.0%	4.8%	22.2%	6.3%	5.79	4.91	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	NYM	6	0	6	27	5	3	1	0%	1.0	19.2%	12.2%	7.0%	2.7%	4.90	4.90	-0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	NYM	—	—	57	259	65	23	10	—	—	25.2%	9.0%	16.2%	3.8%	4.78	4.94	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	NYM	63	0	66	280	54	34	8	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.1%	7.3%	2.9%	4.92	4.97	-0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	NYM	59	0	62	263	51	32	8	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.2%	7.2%	3.1%	5.01	5.10	-0.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	NYM	20	0	21	89	17	11	3	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.1%	7.3%	2.9%	4.92	4.97	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	NYM	30	0	32	135	26	17	4	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.2%	7.2%	3.1%	5.01	5.10	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	53	223	43	27	7	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.2%	7.2%	3.0%	4.97	4.67	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	102	27	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.2%	7.2%	3.0%	4.97	4.67	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		130	35	282	1236	266	128	27	27%	2.2	21.5%	10.4%	11.1%	2.2%	3.99	3.80	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		92	25	200	877	189	91	19	27%	2.2	21.5%	10.4%	11.1%	2.2%	3.99	3.80	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach Peek (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	19.2%	12.2%	2.7%	—	5.03	19.4%	7.2%	128	+0.13	—	—	—
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	87
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	86
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	83
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	81
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	81
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	80
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	80
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	80
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	80
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	79
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	79
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	79
Logan Bawcom R 2017 · 4.06 FIP	28	SU	4.06	18.2%	10.7%	2.1%	.298	5.19	15.0%	6.4%	164	+1.13	3.73	399	78
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	78
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	78
Trevor Cahill R 2016 · 4.22 FIP	28	SU	4.22	23.2%	11.8%	2.9%	.274	4.60	21.1%	11.2%	310	+0.38	3.37	556	78
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	78
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	78
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	19.4%	12.2%	1.13	4.94
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64