Zach Peek
P
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 190 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 69 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.87
FIP4.87
K%19.2%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%7.0%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 106 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 16 | 90 | 403 | 122 | 35 | 7 | 70% | 3.9 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 2.0% | 3.80 | 3.57 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 16 | 90 | 403 | 122 | 35 | 7 | 70% | 3.9 | 30.3% | 8.7% | 21.6% | 1.7% | 3.80 | 2.57 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 11 | 11 | 45 | 185 | 40 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 4.1 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 1.5% | 3.57 | 3.40 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 11 | 11 | 45 | 185 | 40 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 4.1 | 21.6% | 7.0% | 14.6% | 1.6% | 3.57 | 3.06 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 5 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 2.1 | 24.5% | 17.0% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 5.91 | 3.18 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 5 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 2.1 | 24.5% | 17.0% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 5.91 | 3.19 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 16 | 64 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 31.2% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 0.0% | 4.02 | 2.04 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 16 | 64 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 31.2% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 0.0% | 4.02 | 2.08 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 69 | 299 | 75 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.9% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 1.5% | 3.63 | 3.70 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 69 | 299 | 75 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.1% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 1.7% | 3.63 | 3.22 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 29 | 2 | 37 | 167 | 40 | 17 | 4 | 7% | 1.3 | 18.7% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.93 | 5.16 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | NYM | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 56 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 4.87 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | NYM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 4.87 | 4.87 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 106 | 460 | 96 | 53 | 12 | — | — | 21.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 4.54 | 4.97 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 19.2% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 4.87 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 54 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | NYM | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 51 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 4.98 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.94 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | NYM | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 26 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 4.98 | 5.07 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 44 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 4.94 | 4.64 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 163 | 104 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 4.94 | 4.64 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 119 | 34 | 268 | 1171 | 248 | 128 | 22 | 29% | 2.2 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 1.8% | 3.83 | 3.70 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 25 | 200 | 875 | 185 | 96 | 16 | 29% | 2.2 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 1.8% | 3.83 | 3.70 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Peek (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.87 | 19.2% | 12.2% | 2.7% | — | 5.00 | 19.4% | 7.2% | 128 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 87 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 85 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 82 |
| Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 81 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 80 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 80 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 79 |
| Drew Hayes R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 13.8% | 10.1% | 1.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 117 | 79 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 79 |
| Chris Leroux R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 78 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 23.2% | 11.8% | 2.9% | .274 | 4.63 | 21.1% | 11.2% | 310 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 556 | 78 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.27 | 18.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .298 | 5.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 164 | +0.82 | 3.76 | 399 | 78 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 78 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 78 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.11 | 14.0% | 11.0% | 3.3% | .250 | 5.81 | 16.3% | 3.1% | 79 | +0.70 | 4.49 | 215 | 77 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 77 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 77 |
| Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 77 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 1.10 | 4.91 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |