Jackson Baumeister

P Montgomery Biscuits

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 224 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	AATB	15	15	62	4.62	3.92	19.5%	9.6%	—	K 15.8% · BB 10.5% · FIP 4.74
2026	24	AATB	24	24	103	5.14	4.81	25.7%	12.7%	—	K 20.8% · BB 14.0% · FIP 5.86
2027PROJ	25	MLBTB	1	1	1	5.42	5.42	20.6%	13.6%	-0.0
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBTB	6	6	33	5.29	5.28	21.0%	13.0%	0.0
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBTB	7	7	42	5.23	5.24	21.0%	12.7%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 4.2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 84%

CompsJoel Hanrahan (age 25) · Connor Staine (age 23) · Will Sanders (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.42

FIP5.42

K%20.6%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%7.0%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	25	23	100	413	135	48	4	92%	4.0	25.2%	13.4%	11.8%	1.2%	2.53	3.32	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	25	23	100	413	135	48	4	92%	4.0	25.2%	13.4%	11.8%	1.2%	2.53	3.32	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	25	23	100	413	135	48	4	92%	4.0	32.7%	11.6%	21.1%	1.0%	2.53	2.36	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	15	15	62	261	51	25	6	100%	4.2	15.8%	10.5%	5.3%	3.0%	4.62	4.74	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	15	15	62	261	51	25	6	100%	4.2	15.8%	10.5%	5.3%	3.0%	4.62	4.74	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	15	15	62	261	51	25	6	100%	4.2	19.5%	9.6%	10.0%	2.3%	4.62	3.92	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	24	24	103	432	111	55	18	100%	4.3	20.8%	14.0%	6.8%	5.0%	5.14	5.86	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	24	24	103	432	111	55	18	100%	4.3	20.8%	14.0%	6.8%	5.0%	5.14	5.86	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	24	24	103	432	111	55	18	100%	4.3	25.7%	12.7%	13.0%	4.2%	5.14	4.81	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	TB	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	20.6%	13.6%	7.0%	3.6%	5.42	5.42	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	12	12	74	314	66	41	11	100%	6.2	21.0%	13.0%	8.0%	3.5%	5.29	5.28	+0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	TB	11	11	67	282	59	36	10	100%	6.1	21.0%	12.7%	8.4%	3.5%	5.23	5.24	+0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	TB	10	10	62	262	55	33	9	100%	6.2	21.0%	12.6%	8.4%	3.6%	5.24	5.28	+0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	TB	10	10	57	242	50	31	9	100%	5.7	20.8%	12.7%	8.1%	3.7%	5.31	5.38	+0.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	TB	9	9	56	238	53	29	9	100%	6.3	22.4%	12.2%	10.2%	3.9%	5.30	5.29	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	6	6	33	139	29	18	5	100%	5.5	21.0%	13.0%	8.0%	3.5%	5.29	5.28	+0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	TB	7	7	42	177	37	22	6	100%	6.0	21.0%	12.7%	8.4%	3.5%	5.23	5.24	+0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	TB	8	8	47	198	42	25	7	100%	5.9	21.0%	12.6%	8.4%	3.6%	5.24	5.28	+0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	TB	8	8	47	198	41	25	7	100%	5.9	20.8%	12.7%	8.1%	3.7%	5.31	5.38	+0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	TB	8	8	48	203	45	25	8	100%	6.0	22.4%	12.2%	10.2%	3.9%	5.30	5.29	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		36	36	217	915	195	115	34	100%	6.0	21.3%	12.6%	8.7%	3.7%	5.27	4.91	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	180	106	31	100%	6.0	21.3%	12.6%	8.7%	3.7%	5.27	4.91	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		64	62	265	1106	235	143	34	97%	4.1	21.3%	12.9%	8.3%	3.1%	4.04	4.65	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	47	200	834	177	108	26	97%	4.1	21.3%	12.9%	8.3%	3.1%	4.04	4.65	+0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 103 IPFIP 4.83 → 5.86 (+1.03)K% 25.7% → 20.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.69%	—	×0.810	20.81%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.73%	—	×1.100	14.00%
HR / BF /BF	4.17%	÷1.000	×1.200	5.00%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.83 → 5.86, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 62 IPFIP 3.93 → 4.74 (+0.81)K% 19.5% → 15.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	19.54%	—	×0.810	15.83%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.58%	—	×1.100	10.54%
HR / BF /BF	2.30%	÷0.922	×1.200	2.99%

Result: FIP 3.93 → 4.74, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 100 IPFIP 2.34 → 3.32 (+0.98)K% 32.7% → 25.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	32.69%	—	×0.770	25.17%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.62%	—	×1.150	13.37%
HR / BF /BF	0.97%	÷1.015	×1.250	1.19%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).

Result: FIP 2.34 → 3.32, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jackson Baumeister (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	3.6%	—	5.27	21.0%	8.2%	203	-0.15	—	—	—
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	84
Connor Staine R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	23	SP	4.80	20.3%	12.6%	3.3%	.266	5.19	16.1%	3.4%	230	+0.39	3.86	414	84
Will Sanders R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	22	SP	4.95	19.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.297	4.11	20.1%	12.5%	173	-0.84	3.92	266	83
David Griffin R 2021 · 4.43 FIP	25	SP	4.43	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.25	15.4%	5.9%	168	+0.82	4.43	239	83
Nic Swanson R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	25	SP	4.91	19.3%	11.8%	3.5%	.286	5.43	19.9%	6.5%	132	+0.52	4.29	438	83
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	83
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	83
Bryce Osmond R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	12.4%	4.4%	.294	7.13	16.7%	3.8%	80	+1.57	5.56	177	81
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	80
Luis Quiñones R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	23.5%	17.5%	2.6%	.289	4.80	22.4%	10.8%	160	+0.03	3.69	326	80
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	80
Brett Daniels R 2021 · 4.67 FIP	25	SP-	4.67	22.3%	13.0%	3.3%	.357	4.69	18.9%	3.2%	77	+0.02	3.95	270	80
Josh Bostick R 2024 · 4.65 FIP	22	SP	4.65	19.3%	11.2%	3.2%	.304	5.40	21.7%	12.6%	119	+0.75	4.65	226	79
Zach Fruit R 2024 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	19.3%	14.1%	1.9%	.258	5.03	15.4%	-0.2%	44	+0.74	4.29	151	79
Ricky Salinas R 2021 · 5.08 FIP	25	SP	5.08	20.9%	10.3%	4.5%	.335	5.79	14.3%	-0.8%	71	+0.71	4.77	274	79
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	79
Will Schomberg R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	23	SP	4.85	21.4%	15.6%	2.9%	.266	3.86	23.3%	11.7%	90	-0.99	3.86	206	78
Landon Knack R 2022 · 4.38 FIP	25	SP	4.38	23.0%	10.5%	3.4%	.335	4.41	21.2%	12.3%	382	+0.03	3.64	556	78
Juaron Watts-Brown R 2024 · 5.25 FIP	22	SP	5.25	21.8%	15.4%	3.7%	.294	4.92	22.8%	10.9%	221	-0.33	4.16	324	78
Trace Bright R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	23	SP	4.53	19.9%	13.5%	2.5%	.314	5.03	19.2%	6.3%	210	+0.50	4.26	422	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	64	21.1%	12.8%	1.40	5.30
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*