Jackson Baumeister

Jackson Baumeister P Montgomery Biscuits

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 224 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.0 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION101 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 111

ERA4.97

FIP4.97

K%19.4%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%6.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 107 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5045

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†4550

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	25	23	100	413	135	48	4	92%	4.0	25.2%	13.4%	11.8%	1.2%	2.53	3.32	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	25	23	100	413	135	48	4	92%	4.0	25.2%	13.4%	11.8%	1.2%	2.53	3.32	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	25	23	100	413	135	48	4	92%	4.0	32.7%	11.6%	21.1%	1.0%	2.53	2.36	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	15	15	62	261	51	25	6	100%	4.2	15.8%	10.5%	5.3%	3.0%	4.62	4.74	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	15	15	62	261	51	25	6	100%	4.2	15.8%	10.5%	5.3%	3.0%	4.62	4.74	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	15	15	62	261	51	25	6	100%	4.2	19.5%	9.6%	10.0%	2.3%	4.62	3.92	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	23	23	101	426	109	55	18	100%	4.4	20.7%	14.2%	6.5%	5.1%	5.24	5.93	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	23	23	101	426	109	55	18	100%	4.4	20.7%	14.2%	6.5%	5.1%	5.24	5.93	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	TB	23	23	101	426	109	55	18	100%	4.4	25.6%	12.9%	12.7%	4.2%	5.24	4.89	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	TB	1	1	6	26	5	3	1	100%	6.1	19.4%	12.6%	6.8%	2.8%	4.97	4.97	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	TB	—	—	107	452	114	58	19	—	—	25.2%	12.9%	12.3%	4.1%	5.22	5.88	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TB	17	17	100	424	85	49	12	100%	5.9	20.1%	11.6%	8.4%	2.8%	4.83	4.79	+0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	17	17	100	424	86	48	12	100%	5.9	20.4%	11.3%	9.1%	2.8%	4.75	4.73	+0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	TB	16	16	99	418	85	47	12	100%	6.2	20.5%	11.2%	9.3%	2.9%	4.73	4.74	+0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	TB	16	16	96	405	83	46	12	100%	6.0	20.4%	11.2%	9.1%	3.0%	4.78	4.81	+0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	TB	15	15	92	387	78	44	12	100%	6.1	20.1%	11.5%	8.7%	3.1%	4.88	4.94	-0.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	TB	14	14	86	364	72	43	12	100%	6.1	19.8%	11.8%	8.0%	3.3%	5.03	5.12	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	TB	8	8	44	186	37	22	5	100%	5.5	20.1%	11.6%	8.4%	2.9%	4.88	4.84	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	11	11	67	283	58	32	8	100%	6.1	20.4%	11.3%	9.1%	2.9%	4.80	4.78	+0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	TB	13	13	77	325	67	36	10	100%	5.9	20.5%	11.2%	9.3%	3.0%	4.78	4.79	+0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	TB	14	14	81	342	70	38	10	100%	5.8	20.4%	11.2%	9.1%	3.1%	4.83	4.86	+0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	TB	13	13	80	338	68	39	11	100%	6.2	20.1%	11.5%	8.7%	3.2%	4.93	4.99	-0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	TB	13	13	77	325	64	38	11	100%	5.9	19.8%	11.8%	8.0%	3.4%	5.08	5.17	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		71	71	427	1801	364	206	56	100%	6.0	20.2%	11.4%	8.8%	3.1%	4.89	4.54	+1.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	171	97	26	100%	6.0	20.2%	11.4%	8.8%	3.1%	4.89	4.54	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		63	61	263	1100	234	143	34	97%	4.2	21.2%	13.0%	8.2%	3.1%	4.07	4.67	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	46	200	835	177	109	26	97%	4.2	21.2%	13.0%	8.2%	3.1%	4.07	4.67	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jackson Baumeister (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.97	19.4%	12.6%	2.8%	—	4.75	20.3%	8.9%	300	-0.22	—	—	—
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.05	20.9%	10.9%	132	-0.26	2.54	213	87
David Griffin R 2021 · 4.43 FIP	25	SP	4.43	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.26	15.3%	5.8%	168	+0.83	4.43	239	86
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	86
Dylan Burns R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	25	SP	4.21	17.1%	10.8%	2.2%	.300	4.87	11.6%	-2.4%	41	+0.66	4.21	120	85
John Klein R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	21	SP	4.47	17.4%	11.4%	2.5%	.287	4.09	19.4%	9.7%	290	-0.38	3.21	343	84
Marcelo Perez R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	23	SP	3.84	18.0%	8.6%	2.1%	.288	4.99	14.7%	7.3%	238	+1.15	3.84	306	84
Riley Thompson R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	23	SP	4.69	16.5%	9.4%	3.3%	.288	5.32	21.7%	7.0%	57	+0.63	4.53	340	84
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	83
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	82
Jarred Cosart R 2015 · 5.07 FIP	25	SP	5.07	15.2%	10.8%	3.4%	.274	4.94	13.1%	-0.5%	132	-0.13	4.10	218	82
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	82
Bryce Osmond R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	12.4%	4.4%	.294	7.13	16.7%	3.8%	80	+1.57	5.56	177	82
Jack Noble R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	23	SP	4.42	16.5%	13.1%	1.9%	.258	6.03	20.3%	8.2%	58	+1.61	4.42	125	82
Will Rudy R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	22	SP	4.76	15.2%	9.2%	3.3%	.299	5.28	17.4%	8.6%	113	+0.52	4.76	194	81
Aaron Hernandez R 2021 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP	4.65	20.9%	16.4%	2.2%	.329	5.37	18.7%	5.7%	59	+0.72	4.65	194	81
Chris McElvain R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	22	SP	4.76	15.8%	11.6%	2.8%	.275	5.24	15.8%	4.7%	198	+0.48	4.07	294	81
Trent Palmer R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	23	SP	4.79	22.0%	10.4%	4.1%	.284	4.83	12.8%	-9.4%	22	+0.04	3.51	140	81
Michael Wagner R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.4%	12.3%	1.9%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	149	80
Burch Smith R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	27	SP	3.93	19.5%	12.6%	1.6%	.234	4.43	22.2%	10.5%	192	+0.50	3.50	382	80
Bradley Brehmer R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SP	4.43	14.6%	9.5%	2.5%	.349	3.27	20.0%	11.5%	94	-1.16	2.83	165	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.2	92	20.1%	11.5%	1.14	4.84
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04