Player 804467 — OGILVIE

Player 804467 P Hillsboro Hops

Age — —HP A+ peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINST105

ERA4.20

FIP4.20

K%24.0%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%15.3%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	11	10	30	116	41	7	3	91%	2.7	26.6%	7.3%	19.3%	3.4%	2.73	3.65	—
YTD	—	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	11	10	30	116	41	7	3	91%	2.7	26.6%	7.3%	19.3%	3.4%	2.73	3.65	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	—	ROK RAW	ARI	1	0	2	6	3	0	0	0%	2.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2026	—	A+ RAW	ARI	10	10	28	110	38	7	3	100%	2.8	34.5%	6.4%	28.2%	2.7%	2.93	2.49	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ARI	5	5	30	125	30	11	4	100%	5.9	24.3%	8.6%	15.7%	3.0%	4.18	4.15	+0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	ARI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	24.3%	8.6%	15.7%	3.0%	4.18	4.15	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		0	0	0	1	0	0	0	—	—	24.3%	8.6%	15.7%	3.0%	4.18	3.77	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	0	0	0	100%	5.8	24.3%	8.6%	15.7%	3.0%	4.18	3.77	+2.7
Career	—	MLE		11	10	30	116	31	8	4	91%	2.7	26.6%	7.3%	19.3%	3.4%	2.73	3.65	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	67	200	782	208	57	27	91%	2.7	26.6%	7.3%	19.3%	3.4%	2.73	3.65	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Player 804467 (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.20	24.0%	8.7%	3.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Brendan Beck R 2023 · 3.19 FIP	24	SP	3.19	22.5%	6.7%	2.1%	.289	3.50	21.3%	14.6%	262	+0.31	3.15	293	83
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	76
Ryan Jennings R 2023 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP-	3.43	23.4%	11.9%	1.5%	.316	4.34	22.5%	9.8%	109	+0.91	3.43	142	74
Landon Knack R 2022 · 4.38 FIP	25	SP	4.38	23.0%	10.5%	3.4%	.335	4.44	20.8%	11.9%	382	+0.06	2.77	544	70
Taylor Williams R 2017 · 3.02 FIP	26	SP-	3.02	23.2%	11.1%	0.9%	.333	3.73	23.7%	15.0%	136	+0.71	2.51	309	70
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	68
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	68
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	68
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.07	17.4%	10.5%	280	-0.86	3.90	299	67
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	67
Spencer Howard R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	25	SP	3.76	24.5%	11.3%	2.4%	.311	4.85	23.7%	14.8%	208	+1.09	2.33	484	67
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	66
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	66
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	66
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	65
James Kaprielian R 2019 · 4.17 FIP	25	SP	4.17	20.9%	6.9%	3.6%	.271	4.50	20.5%	11.3%	253	+0.33	2.80	446	65
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	65
Zak Kent R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	25	SP	3.88	20.2%	6.4%	3.0%	.239	3.93	20.8%	10.3%	145	+0.05	3.19	378	65
Darren Bowen R 2023 · 3.82 FIP	22	SP-	3.82	19.0%	12.8%	1.3%	.236	5.41	15.1%	4.2%	223	+1.59	3.82	278	65
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	65